Did the Election of Dr.Abdiweli Ali Gaas bring "Change" to Puntland regions and Somalia? Wait and see

            The words of Mr. Nicholas Kay- UN representative for Somalia and Head of the United Mission for Somalia- after the Election of MR.Dr. Abdiweli  M.Ali Gaas as new Elect- president of the Regional state of Puntland were the best to illustrate the mood, anxiety and relief of  the members of the Puntland Parliament, politicians representing Clan communities,Clan community Elders  and in general the population at large of the entire region and of Somalis of the Somali Republic in general wherever they live or were at that particular moment. Mr. Kay post election remarks included the words like “You will sleep well tonight……. Now you are part of the process to develop Somalia etc”. This is my shortening of quotes of the entire speech. There was relief, hope for a well done election in which all the political and social forces including the Salafist Business cartels- all Clan based- of the regions of Puntland were involved and was sometime on the brink to collapse and  in part civil war  was averted after the annulment of the direct  elections prepared and organized by the incumbent President MR. Abirahman Mohamed “Farole” of July 2013. There was at that time  a popular uprising of the cities of Qardho,Bosaso and Galkayo who represented  the major Clans and the Kaleidoscope of Salafist groups and Sunna-waljamaca,Clan nationalist,Organized crimes groups etc..
            This regional Election was watched carefully by all Somalis and specially  by  the Leadership of Somaliland regions, the Federal government in Mogadishu, the so-called Khatuma regional state and the regional powers like ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries, foreign powers like CHINA, IRAN, ITALY,  AUSTRALIA, FRANCE  and the big OIL & GAS  Companies of this world and  the minnows companies in OIL  like Africa OIL Co. with  which “Mr.Farole” the incumbent made illegal  concessional Rights  deals. And also  Big US companies who owns  the OIL and GAS concessional  rights of the regions from the  60” and have for the last time been   renewed by the Siad Barre  government in 1989. Also there were the keen interests of the US,EU  the UK and the Arab/Muslim world like Saudi Arabia,Qatar and Turkey.The UN ,IGAD-AU and the international community were all represented at the Election venue. These were all the  Regional and Global actors involved indirectly in this contest. But the domestic Actors were those who were taking and playing a political game that was sometimes so brutal, emotional that all the tricks of the Somali Politics were used.
        Let me make a short timeline of the basic events of the existence of the state of PUNTLAND regions of Somalia. In that way we can understand better the so-called social and political forces at play in this last political contest which are  in general the real Power-Brokers in those regions.
        Puntland was established in 1998 by former members of the SSDF an opposition Clan-based (like all the Somali opposition Clan based political movements sponsored by Ethiopia  like SNM, USC and SPM) movement sponsored/ based in Ethiopia between 1979-1986. Mr. Abdulllahi Yusuf one of the founders of the movement and Chairman was arrested by the Ethiopians around 1984-1986 times and was released from jail in Ethiopia in 1991. He restarted the Political Clan based movement in 1991 in the Puntland regions and he self-proclaimed himself as Leader with the acknowledgement/ support of the Elders of the regions . In 1992 he fought a Salafist insurgency in the one of the first Al-Ittixad Militias-(there was a compromise agreement between the SSDF and the Salafist who were supported by some local Clan Leaders to administer the PORT of Bosaso ) who took over the Port of Bosaso and defeated them in a bloody battle which was one of the first civil wars between Somalis with a  Religious divide( the others were in middle Juba ,Lower Shabelle  regions between the USC of Gen. Aided  and other Salafist in as early as 1991 but later Aidid will revert  to his strategic  alliance with the Salafist militants to fight the UN/US mission in Somalia). This was one of the main phases of the political Struggle for power between the Salafist and the so-called Clan Nationalist-Ahlu-Sunna (Sufi  Islam groups) of the Regions State of PUNTLAND. In that battle the members of the Salafist Militia were from all regions of Puntland and other parts of Somalia and they were led by the man  who later will become their National leader with the ISLAMIC COURTS UNION in 2006.
             Mr. Abdullahi Yusuf became president of the Somali Republic with the first transitional Charter which envisioned the Federal System in 2004 in Nairobi, Kenya with the support of ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries but recognized by the UN and international community. In Puntland the new Leader was Mr. General Cadde Musse  who was elected in 2005 by MPs selected by Elders . For the first time  the Salafist groups  and Organized crimes who were controlling the Trade/Hawilad-remittances/Telecom / education /Health   and had surplus cash, came back in the scene by financing the “ the criminal menace” of the “Piracy” based in that regions in which almost 300 to 400 millions of US dollars was paid as Ransom between 2005 and 2011 by the Owners of hijacked ships( UN report 2013). Part of that money( its an open secret)  in 2009  will be part of the finances   given to  Mr. Farole to be elected as the next President of Puntland by the Organized crimes groups and the Salafist Business Cartels. But there was also another factor which came into play in Puntland politics at that time which will bring “into the open” the game –Plan of Ethiopia- to Subdivide the Somalis of the Somali Republic in territorial Clan-Enclaves which will call themselves “sovereign” Regional States”. There was already the self-proclaimed- secessionist Agenda of the Ruling SNM Elites  in the regions of Somaliland but in the North east of Puntland that was a novelty.
            What brought in that new  factor was the OIL and GAS concessions to Petroleum Companies for the drilling of OIL in the Dharoor Valley( later Mr. Farole also will include the Nugal Valley where Conoco Philips had rights from 1989) by Mr. Cadde Musse. To Drill for the Oil the regional state of  PUNTLAD  will require being a “Sovereign State” under  INTERNATIONAL LAW  and therefore will renegade even on the “transitional Charter” of the new Somali Federal government of 2004.   That is what MR. Farole will try by making a new Constitution for Puntland and “bringing in the new concept of a Confederate Somalia” in which all regional states are “sovereign” in 2010 after just one year after his election but without any legal backing and legal  adoption by the federal government  or any acceptance by all Somali Clan-communities-people-citizens  of the Somali Republic by a Referendum . The subsequent political ‘matching” between him and  the so-called leaders of the federal  government in Mogadishu  was all a charade to give Mr. Farole “ the legal precedent’ and reasons to start drilling for OIL in contravention of all Somali Laws and International Laws which did not  recognize  a new Somali state called Puntland in the North east regions of the Somali Republic.
          The recent history is Mr. Farole failed with his ambitions to divide the Somalis because in the meantime in 2012 there was a new constitution in which the Somali Clan Community Elders agreed to have a federal system of governance after it was pushed under their throats by the UN and the So- called international community under  the  influence of ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries. Till today we don’t know what means a federal system in a clear way in the constitution.
          The Election of MR. Abdiweli M.Ali Gaas as president of the regional state of Puntland  will bring to the fore all the problems of the so- called Somali Federal State and the internal dynamics of the power struggle of domestic actors within Somalia in general and in particular the regions of Puntland.
          When I said the domestic actors I mean the Clan Based groups in all of Somalia be them Salafist Business Cartels ,Ahlu-Sunna waljameca, Puppet Elite  leaders politicians  allied  to Ethiopia-IGAD, Clan -Nationalist  Elite-Leaders Elders and politicians , Organized crimes groups in Business  which were part and parcel of the last election in Puntland and the main actors in all of Somali Republic including the regions of Somaliland.The only group which was not influential in the Election were the Jihadist groups of Al-Shabaab  but which have an ideological connections with some of the  Salafist Cartels  and a business connections with the Organized crimes groups in Business and Piracy in Puntland regions.It was printed in some internet sites and rumored by political pundits that one of the main contenders was an ex-fighter of the Salafist Movement of 1992 in Puntland and now he was a well know- respectable businessman  and there was also  another Salafist businessman, All in all the contenders were eleven(11) and the three main contenders who succeeded to reach the second round were Mr. Dr. Abdiweli M.Ali Gaas who represented  the Clan based Ahlu-Sunna-Waljameeca,Clan nationalist Elites but  he is in  good  relationship  with the Ethiopia-IGAD countries.Mr. Abdirahman "Farole" who represented the interests of the Elite Puppet leaders allied to Ethiopia-IGAD, Salafist business cartels who were allied with Ethiopia who wonted the economic and political  the Status Quo and  Organized crimes groups.The other third group was Clan based Salafist Business cartels who for the first time had their own  candidate openly and were proposing their Own Agenda.They were represented by Mr. Ali Hagi Warsame. In the last round for "political reasons" he  gave Mr. Abdiweli  the Chance to win. by adding his votes to Dr.Abdiweli..Did Abdiweli made horse trading politically? Did the Salafist Business cartels group divided themselves in different groups with different agendas? We will wait for sometime to know the real game-plan.

            What next for Abdiweli  in Puntland? The main Challenges for his administration and also for Somalia is what Type of Federalism we need? A question which has never been answered at national level and at regional level in a democratic manner. How to solve the Clan-communities of Buhodle,Las-Canod and Taleh self-proclamation that they are part of a  regional government called Khatuma state?How to solve the intricate web of dominance of the economy by a group of Salafist which would not like a national central-federal  government like the  puppet leaders allied to Ethiopia? How to fight the Jihadist groups in the midst of the regions of Puntland like Mr. "Atom" Al-Shabaab linked group which is stationed at Galgalo mountains and can attack the main town of Bosaso when they like? How to stop the extra-judicial killings organized by the Ethiopian Intelligence but executed by Puntland forces and bring justice to the people-citizens of Galkayo and Bosaso? How to reorganize the quasi-criminal intelligence services trained by the Ethiopian intelligence under the  control of Ethiopian intelligence officers based in Garowe? How to have a professional security services not sub-clan based who are part of the federal  national Army of Somalia?
             There are other main issues like the  youth unemployment, reorganization of the civil servants and mostly importantly  a new the political and cultural narrative which stands for the national interests  of the all Somali people-citizens.Dr. Abdiweli must link with the Clan nationalist elites of all of Somalia to sell his own vision of a federal Somalia and not be partisan like Mr. Farole who liked to represent only some Clans within the large Somali clans. In that way he stood for a Clan-Based vision of Confederate Somalia in which just like in the Jubba regions some Clans were more  "equal than others"A Confederate system in which Somalis are divided in Clan enclaves and have borders between them.Where he will stand  Dr. Abdiweli? He will stand for Somali Nation-Hood and STATE-HOOD in a United State but with  a devolved Federal system or as propagated by the "Somali puppet Leaders" he will be for the subdivision of Somalia in a new Confederate Somalia under the Hegemony of Ethiopia and IGAD countries? Wait and see.
       
       

#Somalia: For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Pa...

#Somalia: For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Pa...: Tuesday, December 24, 2013 For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Past. Part 1..Wait and see                    Saturday...

For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Past. Part 1&2..Wait and see .

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Past. Part 1..Wait and see

                   Saturday(21-!2-2013) the Somali federal  Parliament accepted the nomination by President Hassan Sheik to the post of new PM of Mr.Abdiweli.Sheik Ahmed. The vote verged on unanimity by all sides-groups-within the Somali federal parliament.It was 186 the yes vote, the N0 vote were just 2 and abstention just mere 2 votes. .At most  very few times a new PM  has been endorsed by this kind of overwhelming majority.Why this time? What are the lessons from the first government of President  Hassan Sheik and PM Abdi  Farah Shirdoon? How it weathered down its first big crisis the Presidency of Hassan Sheik who was  elected in September 2012? Who is the Head of government and the Head of the State according to the Constitution? What were the major obstacles in the tenure of the PM Abdi Farah Shirdon? Why Damu Jadid  the pro-Salafist group has ousted former PM Shirdoon just one year in Office?
        Let me first start by saying the CV of Mr. Abdiweli Sheik Ahmed PM elect  is overwhelming when it came to experiences in the Consultancy sector/private sector but he has not any meaningful experience in the Somali murky, conspiratorial, Clan based politics and in part crime based.. ( The last casualty of this criminality instigated by some members who are themselves Drug- Barons and bosses to organized crimes is MR."Faisal" an MP who dared to challenge them and was spokesman for the Shirdoon side during the Dispute between the president and PM Shirdoon).Maybe this will be an advantage if he can restrain in joining any group of the two main groups of the Clan- based Nationalist and the Clan based Puppet Leaders linked to ETHIOPIA-IGAD allied to Salafist Business Cartels/ Organized Crimes/Damu/Jadid..He can claim that he is technocrat who will follow the Constitution and the Agenda set by the President. Any way I don't see any Change unless he asserts himself and the international community asserts themselves.At the end they are the ones paying AMISOM and for the reestablishment of a Somali viable state in  the HORN of Africa.
        The main political  actors in the Somali context- I mean in the parliament and in general- are the ones I said above and unfortunately the President in this days is full time member of the group I called the Damu Jadid a pro-Salafist side who for Machiavellian  reasons of power and finance is allied with the ETHIOPIA-IGAD States. To be fair the group of the Clan based Puppet Leaders/ pro- Salafist members  allied to the Salafist Business cartels/Organized Crimes/Drug cartels  has  the Majority-almost 200  out of 275 members parliamentarians combined group in the parliament- and running the federal  administration and security services in Mogadishu. They  needed  an outsider like Mr Abdiweli  the new PM  to cover up their  own Agenda and manipulate the International Community/Donor Agencies/EU/Arab-Muslim world/UN,US and UK. The rest of the members  of the parliament are 75 and at least we can find what I call the Clan based Nationalist number not more of 65 to 70. This group which is in the minority in the parliament( but enjoys the real support of the silent  majority of Somali people-citizens and international community except the ETHIOPIA-IGAD GROUP) is the one who sided with the last PM Abdi Farah Shirdoon in the last vote of no confidence in which he was ousted by the combined alliance of the pro-salafist Damu Jadid,Salafist Cartels representative linked parliamentarians and the Clan based Puppet leaders allied to ETHIOPIA-IGAD..
        The real powers in the so-called Somali state are the Somali Elites Puppet Leaders which are the majority in the Federal parliament.They have been selected from the Nairobi conference of 2004 by Ethiopia and IGAD countries and been reselected in the last Conference of 2012. They are individuals who are corrupt and immoral for their  political beliefs but Loyal to their masters the ETHIOPIAN government and some IGAD countries.The two precess I am mentioning above were both controlled and manipulated by the Ethiopian intelligence and the last one Mr. GABRE a Tigre general who works for IGAD was overseeing all is done in their interest.More to that  MR. GABRE is well know in Somali Elite political/Business Salafist  circles why he was the  Political Commissar czar of The ETHIOPIAN ARMY who occupied  the south of Somalia in 2006-2009. That occupation/invasion was sanctioned by the international community in the naive belief the Ethiopians were fighting Al-Shabaab and not  trying to colonize SOMALIA. In that way we have in Somalia a parliament which is controlled by Foreign powers and only for a few times has stood for the interest of the Somali people-citizens.But all is not rigid and when some times things become emotional, national and  there is real  involvement of the Somali citizens as One community the Salafist and Puppet leaders  are beaten at their own game like the time of former PM Mr. Formajo and  some  times  in the government of Shirdoon.The other  two groups are the Clan based  pro-salafist members of parliament which are small but allied with the puppet parliamentarians. The third is the what I call the Clan based Nationalist which as numbers cames  second but does not have any political influence unless there is time of crises specially of matters of national importance.
(To be continued) 

Everything is Clan based: Salafist Groups,Elite Puppet leaders and Organized Crimes/Drug-Cartels.Part2.  
          In  the Somali murky and conspiratorial politics where ideologies be Islamic or secularist are used and organized with Clan affiliations/loyalty the most prominent is the Salafist Movement which is the most powerful economically and the most influential politically being allied with the Clan based Puppet Elites-Allied to Ethiopia0-IGAD- who control the parliament , security,administration of the Federal government and regional administrations like Puntland and Somaliland.Even there the real power behind the Clan regional  Leader who rules the region is the Salafist Business Cartels.
        Why the Salafist Movement have acquired this kind of unlimited power and influence? How it started? When they decided to have this strategic partnership with the Ethiopia and IGAD countries when it came to State powers(federal and regional level)? Why partner with Ethiopia and IGAD while having a manipulative relationship at the Federal state and regional level with the US, EU and the international community in general?Why the Salafist  Movement was divided in three  main groups from the beginning in the late seventies-70": 1-The Islamic Scholars/Preachers/Imaam of Mosques,2- The Salafist Business Cartels linked to organized crimes and Drug-cartels,3-The Jihadist Militant group and other smaller groups like the Al-Islaah, Al-Tabliq- later allied to Al-Shabaab and Al-Tafkiir and many more which were individual ventures to have power and money by Somali individuals.
          We have to go back when this movement was started and being a movement banned in Somalia. The religious groups and the Clan based Nationalist were the first to stand against the Siad Barre regime  brand of Socialism and Military dictatorship.More to that  the religious groups were the first in Somalia to have had their members executed in Public in 1974. It was born  in a  clandestine way  and this made it to have different Agendas within the same brand of  Wahabi Salafist Islam.Till today their are secretive and undemocratic in their dealings and never embraced the tenets of Rule of Law.Democratic institutions,transparent and accountable systems in Private matters and Public affairs. Even with  the Salafist Business Cartels which operates in public and have investment in all East- Africa,Central Africa and South Africa.Let me take them  one by one.The first I mentioned   made of Islamic scholars was the most prepared when it came to the knowledge of Islam and its Role in Society but they have their Salafist interpretation which were "contrasting" with the Shafici interpretation of Islam which the Somalis have practices for centuries and centuries.They were  divided on  how to approach their role in Politics and the firebrand/Radical  within them took over the leading role.They started asserting themselves from the 80" in Somalia ,Arab countries,East Africa.Some of them linked/infiltrated  with the Clan based opposition groups of the SSDF, SNM, USC who were all based in Socialist Ethiopia of Menghiste allied to  Russia and Warsaw pact. From  there you can see the manipulative political Agenda of the Ethiopian regime who permitted a Salafist movement to work and oppose Siad Barre regime from inside Marxist Ethiopia.Usually those in the opposition who went to Ethiopia were of three different types: the Salafist, The Clan Based groups,the Opportunist and the Left-wingers who were dreaming that Ethiopia will help them to take power in Somalia. Only the Clan based groups had  the real numbers and the support base  inside Somalia where they started to operate. The Salafist groups  were more successful  in  participating first in the SNM clan based movement( in 1992 after they came inside Somalia and running what we call  the regions of Somaliland  today, there were the first executions by stoning of Somali women by a judge appointed by the Ruling Elites of the SNM)  and later  in the Clan based  USC they putted  in the Charter of the USC the concept of Political Islam for the first time-it was in 1989.I was in Nairobi,middle of 1989, when some USC members brought to my late  father Ali Mohamed Ossoble-newly elected as Chairman of the USC-ROMA-the new Charter document prepared in Mogadishu and Roma,Italy by the Salafsit groups who were financing the USC.When I asked him this new political concept he told me this was prepared by people he never met but was worried.( please read by blog titled "History of the alliance between the Ittixad movement and the Ethiopia-IGAD") .Any way the USC from its inception were made of different groups:(a) that of Rome in Italy which comprised of opposition memebers who were mostly Clan based but secularist, nationalist, old politicians of the 60" with a minority of Salafist financiers from Mogadishu ( the first business cartels individuals) and puppet leaders based in Nairobi allied to Ethiopia,it was led by Ali Mohamed Ossoble assassinated in Rome in 1990.The man supposed to be his successor Mr. Ismail Giumale was also assassinated in Roma after three months.,(2)the USC of Mogadishu which were made mostly of Salafist groups mainly Elite Clans first Business cartels( they were called in Somali "Baqarey" which means owners of whole-sale business") and rich Clan Based Elites who were allied strangely with Ethiopia and the Italians government of that time,It was led by Ali Mahdi and other business individuals,.(3) The USC based of Ethiopia-( which had  strong links with the Salafist movement) which were the more famous  and led by General Aidid- which were the last to came in action and totally supported by the Mensghiste regime and from 1990 by the Meles regime of Ethiopia.We can say  with certainty there was a continuity in the policy of Ethiopia in supporting the  opposition groups and have executed the "Grand Plan" to destroy SOMALIA and subdivide it in Clan based regional/sovereign  entities under the hegemony of ETHIOPIA and later IGAD.From the origins we also can see the interplay and sometime alliances of the Ethiopian regimes with Somali salafist groups who were part and parcel of the opposition movement.
( to be continued)

For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Past. Part 1..Wait and see

                   Saturday(21-!2-2013) the Somali federal  Parliament accepted the nomination by President Hassan Sheik to the post of new PM of Mr.Abdiweli.Sheik Ahmed. The vote verged on unanimity by all sides-groups-within the Somali federal parliament.It was 186 the yes vote, the N0 vote were just 2 and abstention just mere 2 votes. .At most  very few times a new PM  has been endorsed by this kind of overwhelming majority.Why this time? What are the lessons from the first government of President  Hassan Sheik and PM Abdi  Farah Shirdoon? How it weathered down its first big crisis the Presidency of Hassan Sheik who was  elected in September 2012? Who is the Head of government and the Head of the State according to the Constitution? What were the major obstacles in the tenure of the PM Abdi Farah Shirdon? Why Damu Jadid  the pro-Salafist group has ousted former PM Shirdoon just one year in Office?
        Let me first start by saying the CV of Mr. Abdiweli Sheik Ahmed PM elect  is overwhelming when it came to experiences in the Consultancy sector/private sector but he has not any meaningful experience in the Somali murky, conspiratorial, Clan based politics and in part crime based.. ( The last casualty of this criminality instigated by some members who are themselves Drug- Barons and bosses to organized crimes is MR."Faisal" an MP who dared to challenge them and was spokesman for the Shirdoon side during the Dispute between the president and PM Shirdoon).Maybe this will be an advantage if he can restrain in joining any group of the two main groups of the Clan- based Nationalist and the Clan based Puppet Leaders linked to ETHIOPIA-IGAD allied to Salafist Business Cartels/ Organized Crimes/Damu/Jadid..He can claim that he is technocrat who will follow the Constitution and the Agenda set by the President. Any way I don't see any Change unless he asserts himself and the international community asserts themselves.At the end they are the ones paying AMISOM and for the reestablishment of a Somali viable state in  the HORN of Africa.
        The main political  actors in the Somali context- I mean in the parliament and in general- are the ones I said above and unfortunately the President in this days is full time member of the group I called the Damu Jadid a pro-Salafist side who for Machiavellian  reasons of power and finance is allied with the ETHIOPIA-IGAD States. To be fair the group of the Clan based Puppet Leaders/ pro- Salafist members  allied to the Salafist Business cartels/Organized Crimes/Drug cartels  has  the Majority-almost 200  out of 275 members parliamentarians combined group in the parliament- and running the federal  administration and security services in Mogadishu. They  needed  an outsider like Mr Abdiweli  the new PM  to cover up their  own Agenda and manipulate the International Community/Donor Agencies/EU/Arab-Muslim world/UN,US and UK. The rest of the members  of the parliament are 75 and at least we can find what I call the Clan based Nationalist number not more of 65 to 70. This group which is in the minority in the parliament( but enjoys the real support of the silent  majority of Somali people-citizens and international community except the ETHIOPIA-IGAD GROUP) is the one who sided with the last PM Abdi Farah Shirdoon in the last vote of no confidence in which he was ousted by the combined alliance of the pro-salafist Damu Jadid,Salafist Cartels representative linked parliamentarians and the Clan based Puppet leaders allied to ETHIOPIA-IGAD..
        The real powers in the so-called Somali state are the Somali Elites Puppet Leaders which are the majority in the Federal parliament.They have been selected from the Nairobi conference of 2004 by Ethiopia and IGAD countries and been reselected in the last Conference of 2012. They are individuals who are corrupt and immoral for their  political beliefs but Loyal to their masters the ETHIOPIAN government and some IGAD countries.The two precess I am mentioning above were both controlled and manipulated by the Ethiopian intelligence and the last one Mr. GABRE a Tigre general who works for IGAD was overseeing all is done in their interest.More to that  MR. GABRE is well know in Somali Elite political/Business Salafist  circles why he was the  Political Commissar czar of The ETHIOPIAN ARMY who occupied  the south of Somalia in 2006-2009. That occupation/invasion was sanctioned by the international community in the naive belief the Ethiopians were fighting Al-Shabaab and not  trying to colonize SOMALIA. In that way we have in Somalia a parliament which is controlled by Foreign powers and only for a few times has stood for the interest of the Somali people-citizens.But all is not rigid and when some times things become emotional, national and  there is real  involvement of the Somali citizens as One community the Salafist and Puppet leaders  are beaten at their own game like the time of former PM Mr. Formajo and  some  times  in the government of Shirdoon.The other  two groups are the Clan based  pro-salafist members of parliament which are small but allied with the puppet parliamentarians. The third is the what I call the Clan based Nationalist which as numbers cams  second but does not have any political influence unless there is time of crises specially of matters of national importance.
(To be continued)
        

The True Agenda of the Rulers of Kismayo,Jubba Regions.Wait and see.

Wareegto kasoo baxday Xafiiska hoggaamiyaha Jubba oo lagu magacaabay Ciidamo la Wareegaya Amniga Kismaayo [SAWIRRO]

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Khamiis, December 05, 2013(HOL) :- Xilli mudooyinkii u danbeeyay ay magaalada Kismaayo ka dhacayeen falal liddi ku ah ammaanka, ayaa wareegto kasoo baxday xafiiska madaxweeynaha maamulka Jubba Sheekh Axmed Max'ed Islaam (Axmed Madoobe) ayaa lagu amray guutada 94-aad ee ciidamada maamulka in maanta wixii ka danbeeyay ay masuul ka yihiin amniga magaalada Kismaayo. Wareegtadan ayaa waxa warbaahinta u aqriyay Jen. Cabdi Madoobe oo kamid ah saraakiisha maamulka Jubba, wuxuuna kula dardaarmay ciidamada iyo saraakiishooda in ay sugaan amniga magaalada, isalamrkaana ay ka hortagaan wax walba oo dhibaato u keeni kara shacabka iyo hantidooda.

"Maanta wixii ka danbeeyo adinka ayaa masuul ka ah ammanka magaalada Kismaayo, waxaa la idinka doonayaan in cadowga iyo naftiinaba aad ka ilaalisaan hantida shacabka, waxaa la doonayaa in aad tallaabo ka qaadaan cid walba oo aad u aragtaan in ay qatar ku tahay nabadgelyada," ayuu masuulkan hadalkiisii raaciyay.
Jen. Cabdi Madoobe ayaa dhinaca kale sheegay in maanta wixii ka danbeeyo aan la arki karin askari hub ku dhex wata Kismaayo oo aan ka ahayn ciidamadan cusub ee loo xilsaaray ammaanka, wuxuuna amar ku siiyaan saraakiisha ciidamadan in ay gacanta kusoo dhigaan askarigii ay arkaan isagoo hub sharci darro ah ku dhex wata magaalada.
Sidoo kale goobta waxaa ka hadlay Mustaf Cabdi Sheekh Cali oo kamid ah saraakiisha nabadsugidda maamulka Jubba, wuxuuna xusay in ay soo dhaweynayaan ciidamadan cusub ee la wareegi doona ammaanka islamarkaana ay la shaqeyn doonaan, wuxuuna ugu baaqay shacabka in ay gacan ku siiyaan ilaalinta nabadgelyada.

Digreetadan kasoo baxday xafiiska madaxweeynaha maamulka Jubba ayaa kusoo beegmeysa xilli xarunta madaxtooyada Kismaayo ay ka soconayaan shirar iyo tashiyo ku aadan guddi fulin oo lagu wado in hogaamiyaha maamulka Jubba uu dhawaan ku dhawaaqo, kuwaasoo sii wadi doona howlaha maamulka inta laga dhameystirayo golayaasha ka dhiman maamulka.


Xasan Nuur, Hiiraan Onlinehnur@hiiraan.com
Kismaayo-Soomaaliya.


 Here in this document you will see how the So- called Agreement of Addis-Ababa between the Somali Federal government and the regional Authority of Jubba regions being misinterpreted by the so- called Ruler of Kismayo.By Law there is not any Authority called Jubbaland and there is not any President of that regions only a Chairman as stated in the now infamous Agreement..From this document you can see the true Colors of Mr. Ahemd Madobe and the real Agenda they have for the Jubba regions. Personally I wrote before in my blog how this agreement was a" game" of the Tigre Regime of ETHIOPIA and their associate IGAD countries to subdivide and control at the end the OIL and GAS of the JUBBA regions of Somalia..Wait and see.

Last UN Security Council Resolution on Somalia.Wait and see.

The Security Council today extended the mandate of the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) to 31 October 2014, requesting the African Union to increase the troop strength of that regional peacekeeping body from 17,731 to a maximum of 22,126 uniformed personnel as part of overall efforts to combat the increasingly asymmetrical tactics of Al-Shabaab rebels in the country. Unanimously adopting resolution 2124 (2013) under the Charter’s Chapter VII, the 15-member body also expanded the logistical support package for AMISOM for a maximum of 22,126 uniformed personnel until 31 October 2014. It agreed with the Secretary-General that conditions in Somalia were not yet appropriate for the deployment of a United Nations peacekeeping operation, taking note of benchmarks for such efforts outlined in his 14 October letter (document S/2013/606). By other terms, the Council underlined that increases in force strength were to provide enhancement of AMISOM’s military capacity for 18 to 24 months, and further, were part of the Mission’s overall exit strategy, after which a decrease in force strength would be considered. It agreed with the Secretary-General on the critical need for sourcing contingent-owned equipment, including force enablers and multipliers, either from existing AMISOM troop contributors or other States, citing the particular need for up to 12 military helicopters. It encouraged Member States to respond in that regard. Further, the Council requested the Secretary-General to work with the African Union to improve by 1 January 2014 the strategic management of AMISOM by strengthening command and control structures, the coordination of contingents, joint operations with the Somali National Army (SNA) and information management. As for Somali institutions, the Council requested the United Nations Support Office for AMISOM to provide – as exceptional support — food, water, fuel, transport, tents and “in-theatre” medical evacuation to front-line units of the Somali National Army, the funding for which would be provided from an appropriate United Nations trust fund. Regarding United Nations personnel, the Council took note of the Secretary-General’s intention to deploy a guard force to strengthen security at the United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM). It requested details on its deployment “as soon as possible” and emphasized, in that context, the importance of AMISOM’s protection of Mogadishu International Airport Compound within the troop ceiling. On the political front, it urged increased collaboration among the African Union, United Nations and Somali Government towards a comprehensive approach to peace, security and development. Speaking after adoption, the representative of the Russian Federation said he had voted in favour of the resolution to support African Union efforts in fostering settlement in Somalia, based on the key role that its mission had played in that regard. However, some of his Government’s concerns had not been borne in mind. He was seriously concerned by the wording in paragraph 21, which outlined the Somali Government’s requirement to provide full access to humanitarian organizations, which ran counter to the principles of humanitarian assistance. He went on to say that the Federal Government was not in a position to control a significant part of the country and that humanitarian organizations were leaving Somalia not because they had been hindered by the Government, but rather, because of the security situation. In establishing humanitarian principles, the Council was getting into an area not covered by its remit — standard setting, which was covered by the General Assembly. Therefore, he did not consider the wording in paragraph 21 as setting a precedent. The representative of Somalia said that, over the last year, the important parts of his country’s six-pillar policy had been implemented. While the Council had “sustained” Somalia for a long time, there was now a light at the end of the tunnel. Its partnership in support of critical priorities was at a turning point. Indeed, the Council had noted the achievements of AMISOM to liberate Somalia from the scourge of Al-Shabaab, as well as the assistance and training that had enabled his Government to liberate the residual components of that group. He went on to express hope that the Somali Army contingent fighting with AMISOM to defeat Al-Shabaab would be supported in a more consistent and timely manner by the United Nations, raising questions over when resources from the United Nations trust fund would arrive. AMISOM had been given 18 to 24 months to complete its mandate and he wondered if the trust fund would allow Somali armed forces to liberate the country in enough time for preparations for elections in 2015-2016 to proceed. All means should be applied to ensure those funds arrived as soon as possible. "Otherwise it will be a disaster for Somalia once again," he cautioned. The meeting began at 10:10 a.m. and ended at 10:25 a.m. Resolution The full text of resolution 2124 (2013) reads as follows: “The Security Council, “Recalling its previous resolutions on the situation in Somalia, in particular resolutions 2036 (2012), 2093 (2013) and 2111 (2013), and statements of its President on the situation in Somalia, “Reaffirming its respect for the sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence and unity of Somalia, and reiterating its commitment to a comprehensive and lasting settlement of the situation in Somalia, “Taking note of the Joint African Union (AU)-United Nations Mission on the benchmarks for a United Nations Peacekeeping Operation in Somalia and their assessment of the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) and Somali National Security Forces, and underlining the importance it attaches to greater peace, prosperity and stability in Somalia, “Taking note of the AU Peace and Security Council’s 10 October Communiqué on the Joint AU-United Nations Review of AMISOM and the benchmarking exercise, and welcoming in particular its call to all AU Member States to contribute financially to AMISOM, “Welcoming the constructive manner in which both the Secretariat and the AU conducted the joint review, “Underlining its gratitude for the work of AMISOM, in particular the extraordinary sacrifices made by AMISOM forces and personnel in pursuit of peace in Somalia, “Welcoming the support of the international community to peace and stability in Somalia, in particular the European Union for its substantial contribution in supporting AMISOM, and emphasizing the importance of new contributors sharing the financial burden of supporting AMISOM, “Noting with appreciation recent high-level events on Somalia which have generated substantial pledges of support, and underlining the importance of delivering on any support pledged at these events, “Condemning recent Al-Shabaab attacks in Somalia and beyond, which serve to undermine the peace and reconciliation process in Somalia, and expressing its solidarity with the people and Governments of Somalia and the region, “Expressing serious concern at the Secretary-General’s assessment in his 14 October letter to the Security Council that recent security gains against Al‑Shabaab are at serious risk of being reversed, and noting that the Somali National Army (SNA) and AMISOM have now assumed a more defensive posture, “Noting the Secretary-General’s assessment that there is an urgent need to resume and strengthen the military campaign against Al Shabaab, which requires an enhancement of international support to the Somali National Security Forces and to AMISOM, “Noting the Secretary-General’s assessment that a comprehensive strategy that includes political, economic and military components is needed to reduce the asymmetrical threat posed by Al-Shabaab, “Acting under Chapter VII of the charter of the United Nations, AMISOM “1. Decides to authorize the Member States of the AU to maintain the deployment of AMISOM, as set out in paragraph 1 of resolution 2093 (2013), until 31 October 2014, which shall be authorized to take all necessary measures, in full compliance with its obligations under international humanitarian law and human rights law, and in full respect of the sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence and unity of Somalia, to carry out its mandate; “2. Agrees with the Secretary-General that conditions in Somalia are not yet appropriate for the deployment of a United Nations Peacekeeping Operation, takes note of the benchmarks for a United Nations Peacekeeping Operation as set out in the Secretary-General’s 14 October letter, and endorsed in the 11 October letter of the AU Commission Chairperson, and requests that the Secretary-General keeps progress against the benchmarks under continuous review, in consultation with the AU, and with a view to creating conducive conditions for the potential deployment of a United Nations Peacekeeping Operation and the hand-over of security responsibilities to national authorities; “3. Requests the AU to increase AMISOM’s force strength from 17,731 to a maximum of 22,126 uniformed personnel as set out in the Secretary-General’s 14 October letter; “4. Decides to expand the logistical support package for AMISOM, referred to in paragraph 4 of resolution 2093 (2013), for a maximum of 22,126 uniformed personnel until 31 October 2014, ensuring the accountability and transparency of expenditure of the United Nations funds as set out in paragraph 6 of resolution 1910 (2010), and consistent with the requirements of the Secretary-General’s Human Rights Due Diligence Policy; “5. Underlines that, in line with the Joint United Nations-AU Review of AMISOM, the increases in the force strength decided in this resolution are to provide a short-term enhancement of AMISOM’s military capacity, for a period of 18 to 24 months and as part of an overall exit strategy for AMISOM, after which a decrease in AMISOM’s force strength will be considered; “6. Agrees with the Secretary-General on the critical need for sourcing contingent owned equipment including force enablers and multipliers as provided for in paragraph 6 of resolution 2036 (2012) either from existing AMISOM Troop-Contributing Countries or other Member States, emphasizes in particular the need for an appropriate aviation component of up to twelve military helicopters, and encourages Member States to respond to AU efforts to mobilize such equipment; “7. Reiterates paragraphs 5 of resolution 2093 (2013) regarding logistical support to AMISOM; “8. Further reiterates paragraph 13 of resolution 2093 (2013) on the strengthening of women and children’s protection in AMISOM operations and activities; “9. Requests the Secretary-General to work closely with the AU in order to support the implementation of this resolution, in particular by improving efficiency in the planning and strategic management of AMISOM, including strengthening command and control structures, the operational coordination of contingents, joint operations with the SNA, and information management, through a new Concept of Operations by 1 January 2014, with a view to enabling AMISOM to respond to the increasingly asymmetrical tactics used by Al-Shabaab, through an effective resumption of the military campaign against Al-Shabaab, which would rapidly reduce its capacity to control key strategic locations, and further requests the Secretary-General to continue to provide technical and expert advice to the AU in the planning, deployment and management of AMISOM through the United Nations office to the AU, and reiterates its request to the Secretary-General, in view of the substantial increases in AMISOM capabilities and support to the SNA, to enhance the provision of technical advice to the AU through existing United Nations mechanisms; “10. Requests the AU to advance efforts to implement a system to address allegations of misconduct, which includes clear mechanisms for receiving and tracking allegations, as well as for following up with troop-contributing countries on the results of the investigations and disciplinary actions taken as applicable, and requests the United Nations to redouble its efforts to advise and provide guidance to the AU in this endeavour; “11. Reiterates its request, and that of the AU Peace and Security Council, for AMISOM to develop further an effective approach to the protection of civilians, and stresses in particular the urgent need for AMISOM to establish and use a Civilian Casualty Tracking, Analysis and Response Cell, as requested in resolution 2093 (2013); “12. Underlines the importance of AMISOM abiding by all requirements applicable to it under international human rights and humanitarian law, further underlines in particular the need for AMISOM to ensure that any detainees in their custody, including disengaged combatants, are treated in strict compliance with applicable obligations under international humanitarian law and human rights law, including ensuring their humane treatment and further requests AMISOM to allow appropriate access to detainees by a neutral body, and to establish Standard Operating Procedures for the handover of any detainees, including children, who come into their custody during a military operation; “13. Reiterates its call for new donors to support AMISOM through the provision of additional funding for troop stipends, equipment, technical assistance and uncaveated funding for AMISOM to the United Nations Trust Fund for AMISOM, and underlines the AU’s call for their Member States to provide financial support to AMISOM; Somali federal security institutions “14. Takes note of the Secretary-General’s recommendation of the need to provide targeted support to front line units of the Somali National Army (SNA), requests UNSOA to support the SNA through the provision of food and water, fuel, transport, tents and in theatre medical evacuation, decides that this exceptional support shall be provided only for joint SNA operations with AMISOM and which are part of AMISOM’s overall Strategic Concept, further decides that funding for this support will be provided from an appropriate United Nations trust fund, and encourages Member States to make uncaveated contributions to the trust fund; “15. Underlines that the support outlined in paragraph 14 of this resolution must be in full compliance with the United Nations Human Rights and Due Diligence Policy (HRDDP), further underlines its expectation that the Secretary-General will report on all UNSOA support to the SNA including on the implementation of the HRDDP, and also requests AMISOM to use its Civilian Casualties Tracking Analysis and Response cell as part of its reporting on joint AMISOM operations with the SNA; “16. Underlines that all forces supported by UNSOA shall act in compliance with the Secretary-General’s Human Rights and Due Diligence Policy (HRDDP), and in that context further underlines its expectation that the Federal Government of Somalia will give its assurance to the Security Council, including in writing, that any Government forces being supported by UNSOA on joint operations with AMISOM will act in compliance with the HRDDP, and recalls the importance of training in this regard; “17. Requests that to assist UNSOM to fulfil its mission, the Head of UNSOA shall keep the Special Representative of the Secretary-General informed on the implementation of the AMISOM support package, and further requests the Secretary-General to include this information in his regular reporting to the Security Council; “18. Calls upon the Federal Government of Somalia to continue its efforts, with the support of the United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), AMISOM (in accordance with their respective mandates), and other international partners to strengthen the Somali National Security Forces including by mapping the structure of these forces, establishing clear command and control systems, implementing appropriate procedures, codes of conduct and training including to ensure the safe storage, registration, maintenance and distribution of military equipment and finalizing and implementing a national program for the treatment and handling of disengaged combatants and promoting respect for human rights, including through implementing the relevant Somali Government action plans on children and armed conflict; “19. Further requests UNSOM, in accordance with its mandate, to continue to assist in the rebuilding of Somali security institutions, and reiterates in particular UNSOM’s role in providing strategic policy advice on security sector reform (SSR) and assisting the Federal Government of Somalia in coordinating international donor support on SSR; “20. Requests UNSOM, working closely with the AU, to assist the Federal Government of Somalia in developing broad principles on the nature of policing in Somalia with a view to proposing further options to support the development of an effective police force in Somalia; “21. Requests the Federal Government of Somalia to ensure the protection and well-being of all internally displaced persons, including from sexual violence and exploitation, paying particular attention to ensuring that the human rights of internally displaced persons in Somalia are respected in relation to relocations, and to ensure a fully consultative process, providing prior notice and ensuring safe, sanitary new sites that have basic services, as well as full, safe and unhindered access for humanitarian organizations; Security of United Nations personnel “22. Takes note of the Secretary-General’s intention to deploy an appropriate United Nations Static Guard unit to strengthen security at UNSOM compounds, looks forward to receiving further details of its deployment as outlined in the Secretary-General’s 14 October letter as soon as possible, and strongly emphasizes the importance of AMISOM’s protection of Mogadishu International Airport Compound within the troop ceiling authorized in this resolution; Political process “23. Urges increased collaboration between the AU, United Nations and Federal Government of Somalia, including on a comprehensive approach to peace, security and development which integrates political, security, peacebuilding and development activities, recognizing that none can succeed in isolation; “24. Recalls its 13 September 2013 statement welcoming the agreement between the Federal Government of Somalia and the Interim Jubba Administration, emphasizes the importance of all parties ensuring that the timelines as stipulated in the agreement are met, and further emphasizes the importance of the Federal Government of Somalia ensuring the right political conditions are in place to ensure greater peace and stability in Somalia; “25. Welcomes in this context the efforts undertaken by the Federal Government of Somalia to consolidate security and establish the rule of law in areas secured by AMISOM and the Security Forces of the Federal Government of Somalia, and encourages it to continue to lead an inclusive national dialogue, with the support of UNSOM, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), and the AU to clarify and settle relations between the Federal government of Somalia and existing and emerging local administrations and initiate processes of national reconciliation in order to accelerate efforts to establish sustainable, legitimate and representative local governance structures across the country, especially in areas recovered from Al-Shabaab; “26. Encourages the Federal Government of Somalia to finalize and adopt a federal Constitution by December 2015, to prepare for and hold credible elections in 2016; and to ensure the equitable participation of women, youth, minority groups and other marginalized groups in national political processes; “27. Further encourages the Federal Government of Somalia to implement its “Vision 2016” agenda which sets out the importance of a Somali-owned, inclusive, and transparent political process and economic recovery, consistent with the Provisional Constitution and including an effective federal political system and a comprehensive reconciliation process that brings about national cohesion and integration; Sanctions “28. Expresses concern at continuing violations of the Security Council charcoal ban requests the Secretary-General and his Special Representative to raise awareness amongst relevant Member States on their requirements to abide by the charcoal ban, as set out in resolution 2036 (2012); “29. Underlines the importance of the Federal Government of Somalia and Member States complying with all aspects of the arms embargo, including the reporting and notification requirements set out in resolution 2111 (2013); Reporting “30. Requests the Secretary-General to report on the implementation of all aspects of this resolution as part of his regular reporting to the Security Council on the situation in Somalia; 31. Decides to remain actively seized of the matter.”  Somali news leader  www.jowhar.com  jowharcom@hotmail.com  golfyare@gmail.com Hanad on November 14 2013

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