For the New PM of SOMALIA:Lessons from a recent Past. Part 1..Wait and see

                   Saturday(21-!2-2013) the Somali federal  Parliament accepted the nomination by President Hassan Sheik to the post of new PM of Mr.Abdiweli.Sheik Ahmed. The vote verged on unanimity by all sides-groups-within the Somali federal parliament.It was 186 the yes vote, the N0 vote were just 2 and abstention just mere 2 votes. .At most  very few times a new PM  has been endorsed by this kind of overwhelming majority.Why this time? What are the lessons from the first government of President  Hassan Sheik and PM Abdi  Farah Shirdoon? How it weathered down its first big crisis the Presidency of Hassan Sheik who was  elected in September 2012? Who is the Head of government and the Head of the State according to the Constitution? What were the major obstacles in the tenure of the PM Abdi Farah Shirdon? Why Damu Jadid  the pro-Salafist group has ousted former PM Shirdoon just one year in Office?
        Let me first start by saying the CV of Mr. Abdiweli Sheik Ahmed PM elect  is overwhelming when it came to experiences in the Consultancy sector/private sector but he has not any meaningful experience in the Somali murky, conspiratorial, Clan based politics and in part crime based.. ( The last casualty of this criminality instigated by some members who are themselves Drug- Barons and bosses to organized crimes is MR."Faisal" an MP who dared to challenge them and was spokesman for the Shirdoon side during the Dispute between the president and PM Shirdoon).Maybe this will be an advantage if he can restrain in joining any group of the two main groups of the Clan- based Nationalist and the Clan based Puppet Leaders linked to ETHIOPIA-IGAD allied to Salafist Business Cartels/ Organized Crimes/Damu/Jadid..He can claim that he is technocrat who will follow the Constitution and the Agenda set by the President. Any way I don't see any Change unless he asserts himself and the international community asserts themselves.At the end they are the ones paying AMISOM and for the reestablishment of a Somali viable state in  the HORN of Africa.
        The main political  actors in the Somali context- I mean in the parliament and in general- are the ones I said above and unfortunately the President in this days is full time member of the group I called the Damu Jadid a pro-Salafist side who for Machiavellian  reasons of power and finance is allied with the ETHIOPIA-IGAD States. To be fair the group of the Clan based Puppet Leaders/ pro- Salafist members  allied to the Salafist Business cartels/Organized Crimes/Drug cartels  has  the Majority-almost 200  out of 275 members parliamentarians combined group in the parliament- and running the federal  administration and security services in Mogadishu. They  needed  an outsider like Mr Abdiweli  the new PM  to cover up their  own Agenda and manipulate the International Community/Donor Agencies/EU/Arab-Muslim world/UN,US and UK. The rest of the members  of the parliament are 75 and at least we can find what I call the Clan based Nationalist number not more of 65 to 70. This group which is in the minority in the parliament( but enjoys the real support of the silent  majority of Somali people-citizens and international community except the ETHIOPIA-IGAD GROUP) is the one who sided with the last PM Abdi Farah Shirdoon in the last vote of no confidence in which he was ousted by the combined alliance of the pro-salafist Damu Jadid,Salafist Cartels representative linked parliamentarians and the Clan based Puppet leaders allied to ETHIOPIA-IGAD..
        The real powers in the so-called Somali state are the Somali Elites Puppet Leaders which are the majority in the Federal parliament.They have been selected from the Nairobi conference of 2004 by Ethiopia and IGAD countries and been reselected in the last Conference of 2012. They are individuals who are corrupt and immoral for their  political beliefs but Loyal to their masters the ETHIOPIAN government and some IGAD countries.The two precess I am mentioning above were both controlled and manipulated by the Ethiopian intelligence and the last one Mr. GABRE a Tigre general who works for IGAD was overseeing all is done in their interest.More to that  MR. GABRE is well know in Somali Elite political/Business Salafist  circles why he was the  Political Commissar czar of The ETHIOPIAN ARMY who occupied  the south of Somalia in 2006-2009. That occupation/invasion was sanctioned by the international community in the naive belief the Ethiopians were fighting Al-Shabaab and not  trying to colonize SOMALIA. In that way we have in Somalia a parliament which is controlled by Foreign powers and only for a few times has stood for the interest of the Somali people-citizens.But all is not rigid and when some times things become emotional, national and  there is real  involvement of the Somali citizens as One community the Salafist and Puppet leaders  are beaten at their own game like the time of former PM Mr. Formajo and  some  times  in the government of Shirdoon.The other  two groups are the Clan based  pro-salafist members of parliament which are small but allied with the puppet parliamentarians. The third is the what I call the Clan based Nationalist which as numbers cams  second but does not have any political influence unless there is time of crises specially of matters of national importance.
(To be continued)
        

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