Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
On Somalia: Finally the U.S Flexes its Muscles for the Somali ...
On Somalia: Finally the U.S Flexes its Muscles for the Somali ...: Last week the Government of the United states has finally came out of the sit in the sidelines of Somali issues and they have shown they ...
Finally the U.S Flexes its Muscles for the Somali Poeple-Citizens.
Last week the Government of the United states has finally came out of the sit in the sidelines of Somali issues and they have shown they are the only power which can have a "big" stick for the solution of the Somali long-time nightmare.
The Istanbul resolutions have reiterated the long held international stand that the Somali sovereignty ,territorial integrity and Unity are inviolable( therefore putting for the time being things in clear perspective) but has not made any declaration on how to end the long Rule of the Somali "puppet leaders" and bring to conclusion the fight against Al-Shabaab.The three things the U.S have done in the last week are some how Historical: a) going to Mogadishu,b) Putting the Al-shabaab terror group leadership in reward scheme for whoever gets information on them, c) Telling the warlord-drug-barons and" puppet Leaders' that if they obstruct the Somali "Regime change"of August 2012 they will have their accounts frozen as a reward. Anyway the money owned by this warlords-drug-barons and Somali "puppet leaders" is stolen ,ill-gotten wealth from the Somali state and people.
Lets start with the visit.By going to Mogadishu Mr.Carson the U.S "boss" for Africa has shown the world the geopolitical interest of the U.S for Somalia and how they are serious, committed on Somali issues.Miss Frazier has visited Mr. Abdullahi Yusuf the president of Somalia at that time in 2006-2007 time in Baidowa(Central -west regions) but nobody came to Mogadishu all this years except a black-American senator some years ago. Its true that the U.S was the biggest donor in the Somali scene in relief / humanitarian aid plus paying for the African contingent Amisom but that was not enough when the Somali Political Agenda was set in a quasi-colonial mode by the regional powers specially the Ethiopian regime of Meles Zenawi.
By going to Mogadishu directly and stating their aim to the Somali-people citizens the U.S can bring hope to Somalia.Secondly by putting money on the head of the most powerful leaders of the terror group Al-shabaab the U.S have shown that they are the only country which have the "Big stick" and can assist in concrete ways the demise and defeat of this Jihadist groups. But we must be careful in thinking the Salafist/Jihadist Al-Shabaab are the only group which are anti-democratic and against the Rule of law and participatory democracy.There are also the All-Ittixad business cartels,Warlords-drug-barons and the Puppet leaders who have been allied to Al-Shabaaab for a very long time and still control the economy and the Political scene.
The other big change in U.S politics is going out clearly against the spoilers which we all know are the warlords-drug-barons and the "puppet leaders " who have been installed by the Ethiopian regime of Meles .By stating clearly that if this groups obstruct the Somali political process geared toward a New Constitution and a "'Regime change" their Banks accounts will be frozen it was a Big Knock Out for those groups. This criminal groups "purporting" to be politicians and administrators of Somalia have amassed a vast amounts of Money( together with the Al-ttixad business cartels my estimate is about between 4- to 6 billions U.S Dollars) which is deposited in countries where the Rule of Law protects them and they are in the same time having Hostage the Somali people-citizens rights to have rule of law and Democracy in Somalia.
I believe by having International accountability for this criminal gangs is the only way the Somali people can be saved from the continuous Failed State status and they can choose the regime and individuals they would like to ruled upon.Some steps have been taken forward but we can never think the game is over or we are half the road but this maybe is the first big salvos in the long struggle to have Somali people-citizens rights restored and the Re-establishment of a viable Somali Republic State.Wait and see.
On Somalia: Miscellaneous: British on Somalia,Voa Somali missi...
On Somalia: Miscellaneous: British on Somalia,Voa Somali missi...: The British government efforts on Somalia political process and re-establishment of a viable State could be praised . But we must take ...
Miscellaneous: British on Somalia,Voa Somali missing Borders, Ethiopia and Eritrea.
The
British government efforts on Somalia political process and
re-establishment of a viable State could be praised . But we must take
into account and be aware of those States and Somali Warlords-Puppet
leaders which have made Somalia what is
now: a totally failed state and a society which its economy and culture
are dominated by Salafist groups.We need a long term Partnership between
true and honest Somali leaders and the International community,a real
Ownership of the process by the Somali people-citizens and the most
important subject of National Institution Building , Nation Building in
partnership with the Real-friends and brothers of Somalia.States like
Turkey,U.S .Egypt,U.K,Saudi Arabia, and Qatar must be part of the
process to rebuild the Somali national Army,the public institutions like
education and health . The U.N must help the Somalis with a program to
re-train the public service like those programs they have done in the
50' and 60" when they participated in preparing the future leaders of
Somalia before independence. The Sovereignty ,Unity and territorial
integrity of Somalia must be respected by the front-line states like
Ethiopia,Kenya and Djibouti. The project of sub-dividing the Somali
republic in Mini-Clan -enclaves which are called regional states looking
for International recognition must be ended .Somali troubles could have
been resolved a long time ago if the regional States mainly Ethiopia
have stayed out and not meddled in Somalia Affairs from1991. The
meddling of the Ethiopians have helped establish in Somalia the
Salafist/Jihadist groups which are now waging an insurgency campaign and
controlling large spates of the territory of the Republic as the
Al-Shabaab and All-Ittixad Business cartels which controls all the economy of Somalia and East Africa owned by
Somalis. Wait and see.
I have listened to the Voa Somali radio program on new Somali
constitution Yesterday about the "missing borders" in the draft
constitution. Let me add the Transitional Charter of 2004 made in
Maghabati, Nairobi there were not a clear delineations of Borders.There
is not also in the new one .Why? For the simple reasons the Ethiopian
government would like one day to recognize the so-called regional
States of Somali land and Puntland therefore by putting the borders in
the new Constitution will hinder that process. If you put the borders in
the nw constitution and the Ethiopian government recognizes the Somali
State means they recognize also the borders. The other thing is we have
borders with Ethiopia and Kenya already by what we call in Law "de
facto" which means there are the borders made by he colonial times and
are used in all Maps of Somalia and international maps.In other words
the borders are there but not recognized by the Somali State of Siad
barre and the one of the 60".We must put the borders in the new Somali
Constitution "de jure" by Law to forestall any future Ethiopian Agenda and leave in peace with our neighbors.Somalia today and in the future will not have as a plan any territorial ambition but our neighbors must respect our territorial ingrity and our Unity as a Nation -State.Wait and see.
If the regional powers-mostly Ethiopia and IGAD stop meddling in Somali
affairs and standing by the Warlords-drug-barons and the so-called
Regional Leaders in their secessionist Agendas Somalia will have a hope.
If not the things will be more
difficult to solve.The Ethiopians and Eritrea would like Somalia to be
in this state for a long time to came to cover up their dictatorial
regimes and exploit the wars in Somalia to prop up their economies and
get Kick backs for their corrupt elites. The Other group is the
Salafist/Jihadist which are the Masters of Somalia economy ,education
systems,Culture and are fighting against the Somali fragile
government.The International community and the Somalis must find
concrete plans and strategies to solve all these Problems.Wait and see.
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...: The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club ( S.Y...
"A month is a very long time in Politics"The begining of the end for Somali troubles?
The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was
started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club (
S.Y.L ) was opened in Mogadishu which was the first nationalist
political movement in Somalia.Other groups will came up in other regions
in British Somali land and the Bay and Bakol regions which later will
culminate in the struggle to liberate the entire nation from colonialism
and "establish" the Somali nation-State in 1960 fore all Somalis.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
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The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
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In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
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The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
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INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
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INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
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In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
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This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
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My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
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Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
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T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...