#Somalia: The Criminal motives Behind the Car-Bombing of Ahm...

#Somalia: The Criminal motives Behind the Car-Bombing of Ahm...: If you follow  with keen interest the Murky Somali Politics-an interconnections of Jihadist groups  , Business cartels/Organized crimes/Dru...

The Criminal motives Behind the Car-Bombing of Ahmed Madobe in Kismayo,Somalia.

If you follow  with keen interest the Murky Somali Politics-an interconnections of Jihadist groups  , Business cartels/Organized crimes/Drug-cartels  and Ethiopian intelligence manipulation,plots- you will be puzzled even at the latest assassination attempt on the convoy of Mr. Ahmed Madobe by a suicide car- bomb in the middle of Kismayo town last Thursday Sept 12 /2013  . On 27 August 2013 , before the attempt, there has been  a political deal in Addis-Ababa in which ,strangely the Ethiopian government is guarantor, and  Mr. Ahmed Madobe was recognized by the Somali federal government  as Leader and chairman ( of the executive,legislative and judiciary,Security) of the Jubba administration made of lower Jubba,middle Jubba and Gedo regions. The Somali government got in exchange to be the "sole representative of Somali sovereignty and Nation-State".It was a biased deal which has not taken into account the will of the people of the regions and was not  even made in good faith by the Ethiopians which were directing the whole saga.Also  they were diplomatically told that the Somali government will never accept Subdivision and they have to change their Plans by the international community.Why you would ask? The main reason being that the Ethiopians-Tigre Elites and some of the  Somali-Kenyan establishment,Kenyan Business tycoons  were allied with some groups who were representing Big Oil companies  like Statoil of Norway represented by a former PM and Total oil which was represented by a former Minister of defence,Clan Communities  in this political kaleidoscope of this regions  and  were advocating for an Independent and Sovereign Somali regional state in Jubba regions in a Confederate Somali State.This  new  deal makes Jubba regions Part and Parcel of Somalia but gives exorbitant powers to Mr. Madobe as Leader.This was not good for this groups and they had their own game plans which were are now being  executed by the Ethiopian Intelligence using Al-Shabaab in this car-bombing. First they have putted  in the deal this exorbitant powers of the Leader must not be changed in following negotiations and it must be intact. Secondly they wont " a political and security crisis" in which Mr. Ahmed Madobe will accept their own game- plan and will not accept any negotiation to bring in more clans -communities in the administration  and security services. That is the reason the car- bomb by Al-shabaab was organized by the Ethiopian Intelligence community. My theory has always been that the Ethiopians had contacts within the Al-Shabaab of Ahmed Godane and the Salafist Business cartels which are linked with Al-Shabaab.  Ahnmed Madobe was transported from the airport in a armoured vehicle made of steel  by Amisom while his staff and others travelled in his own car-convoy.The man-Ahmed Madob- will be made to believe in this  pre-planned operation  and accept all the suggestions,game plans  of the Ethiopian intelligence and the Hawks in the Somali clans community,representatives of Oil companies who are against any agreement unless its the recognition of a new sovereign state in South of Somalia.The other motivation  at work its the Ethiopians  would like as stated in the Kampala communique only the Amisom African armies to be stationed in Kismayo without the Re-hatting to UN blue helmets. Therefore with this bombing any UN intervention/deployment  would be scared. More to that at Art. 33 of the Kampala Communique its approved that Amisom and" the Chiefs of Staff of Ethiopia" within the framework of "Amisom Military operations.........to work out the modalities and development of an Amisom Multinational force to deployed to Kismayo". We can see  Ethiopians are back in the security issues and my opinion is they are  against any Multinational force be it African or UN multinational force.Their game plan is to be involved directly in the security issues of the Jubba regions now with  a UN mandate to make legitimate their own security game-plans.With this car-bombing they are telling the world that the place is so dangerous that  they are the Only state who can afford and capable to fight against this dangerous extremism group of Al-Shabaab. All  lies made to confuse and scare the Intentional community and even the Somali government which they hold hostage thanks to IGAD Organization and Amisom Armies. From the timing of the Operation the  car-bomb,the detailed execution,the knowledge of the arrival of Ahmed Madobe,the exact car  to bomb all makes this operation being -pre-planned by the Ethiopians but executed by Al-Shabaab.If you ask me how its possible this Unholy alliance ? First I will direct you to read some of my blogs like " History of the alliance between the Somali Al-Ittixad movement and the Ethiopians" going back to the 80". and other more recent in which I spoke in detail about the strategic  importance for Ethiopia and its backers -China,France, Iran,Italy- of the Jubba regions. The other Scenario behind this car- bombing , is one in which the Salafist business cartels/Drug-Cartels who were using the port of Kismayo together with Al-Shabaab have seen endangered their interests of exporting charcoal to the  Arab Gulf states in which al-Shabaab and this Salafist cartels were making enormous profits in tandem with the Ras-Kamboni Militia of Ahmed Madobe(  Please read last UN report  on Somalia) and importing Heroin from Afghanistan and Pakistan in which they  were re-exporting using Somali Drug-cartels active in Somalia  to Europa,US via the great Horn of Africa countries. This two criminal activities are in danger to be stopped if the agreement/ deal reached in Addis-Ababa came into effect after six months and the Somali government stops the charcoal export and brings its owns Staff and security to the airport and  Kismayo port..Al-Shabaab and the Salafist Business Cartels/Dug-cartels  will loose enormous amounts of millions of Dollars therefore its most likely they have decided to have this car-bombing to scare any involvement which will change the Status Quo. The Third option is Al-Shabaab itself  has seen a window of opportunity in the opposition of this agreement by the majority of clan-communities of the regions and with this car bombing show them their power and capacity  and tell them  that the only way they can get the resources of the regions is to ally themselves with AL-Shabaab-Al-Qaeda. All this options- scenarios are interlinked and have as a base the main alliance of the Salafist Business cartels/Organized crimes groups  and "The Ethiopian intelligence". Al-Shabaab one time is "tool" other time protagonist but never its missing its connections with the Salafist groups/Organized crimes of all over Somalia.Wait and see.

#Somalia: AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.

#Somalia: AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.: There is a Meeting going on at this time at the compound of the Presidency which is the main office of the president and almost all mi...

AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.

There is a Meeting going on at this time at the compound of the Presidency which is the main office of the president and almost all ministers present on what we call "Radical Religious Extremism” in Somalia.. At 500 hundred meters from the meeting place Al-Shabaab explodes this morning ( Saturday 07/09/2013)  a deadly Bomb which kills at least 15 "citizens”. I think the President and his Prime Minister, Ministers must make a honest analysis of the situation and accept the facts that they cannot fight Al-Shabaab without the assistance/cooperation  of Somali citizens and not  with "security services" controlled by Ethiopians-IGAD and sympathizers of Religious Fundamentalism-Extremism. At the meeting live on Somali TVs( even in Nairobi,Eastleigh) were articulate religious arguments by Sheicks, so-called Salafist politicians ,religious scholars, Clan Elders,  who were blaming only "youngsters and few misguided individuals"  for the extremism which have made Somalia "Safe Haven" to Terrorist and Organized crimes/Drug-cartels. There were not any mention of the Structural and Institutional systems which produce, promote, and their supportive Business Cartels companies. The Madrasas , schools, Colleges which have produced hundreds and hundreds of young Somalis ready to be used by terrorist or assist them and are still training Somali youngsters with Curriculums not prepared or supervised, approved by Somali federal government..There were not any mention of the alliance between this groups the Extremist and the Ethiopia-IGAD group who would like to have a week Somali state which must always rely on the assistance and support of the AMISOM armies. President Hassan Sheick, His Prime Minister  and the real friends of Somalia( the US ,EU, Turkey, UK, Arab Nations) must go back to the  drawing board and make clear cut policies to have a clean-security services (armies, police, intelligence) from the infiltration of the Extremist and which can stand for the National Public Interest of Somalia. Why not recruit the Ahlu-Sunna waljameca groups ( not those  allied to Ethiopia?) which are the majority of Somalis and are against this extremist? Why not have a clear policy on  the Somali National federal Agenda and tell the neighboring Nations that a Somalia which is the Save haven of Terror and Organized crimes/Drug-cartels is against the wishes of the Somali people-citizens and cannot be tolerated by Somalis and the international community? To do all this things its needed the intervention and stationing in Somalia of professional soldiers from a Muslim country like Turkey as advisers and mentors  together with the Americans and the Europeans trainers for the Somali security services (Police, Army, Intelligence).The Somali Salafist Business Cartels/Organized Crimes must came to realize that they alliance with Amisom and Ethiopia is unsustainable and could not be implemented. They are the ones who are giving Al-shahaab the support base and using it as "Tool" to destabilize Somalia till they reach their goal to subdivide Somalia in Clan-Enclaves and control its national resources like OIL and GAS
with their ally Ethiopia-IGAD countries. They need a week Somali state which is corrupt, mismanaged( till know there is not even a national tax code or a any taxation paid by this groups who own the entire Somali economy) ,which do not have any economic public sector even health and education must be under their control as its now. The real friends of Somalia must have a concerted plan for Somalia. The honest elites cannot have a voice and the Somali commoner is not consulted. Only so-called clan advocates and Salafist Business Cartels have the capacity to influence and direct the Somali policies. Wait and see.

In ka badan 15-qof oo ku dhintay Qaraxyo Ismiidaamin ahaa oo goor-dhow ka dhacay barxad weyn oo...

hiiraan.com

Sabti, September 07, 2013 (HOL) — Qaraxyo ismiidaamin ah oo xooggan ayaa ka dhacay barxadda iskaashatooyinka oo kasoo horjeedda dhismaha ex-fiyoore oo ku dhow maqaayadda Village oo horay qaraxyo ismiidaamin ah ay uga dhaceen.

#Somalia: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By S...

#Somalia: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By S...: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND  RECOMMENDATIONS.                   Sept.2-6-2013-Mogadishu Somalia. Preamble: The Vision 2016 Confe...

VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By Somali government Conference)

VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.

                  Sept.2-6-2013-Mogadishu Somalia.

Preamble:

The Vision 2016 Conference (hereinafter referred to as "the Conference") was convened by the

President of the Federal Republic of Somalia, His Excellency, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in

Mogadishu from 2-6 September 2013 in which His Excellency called for the first of many national dialogues on the transition towards democratic legitimacy.

The conference delegates deliberated the following thematic issues

·   Constitutional Development: Review, oversight, and implementation ·   Options on Models of Federalism

·   Reform and Good Governance

·   The Electoral Process and Party Politics

·   Political Outreach, Public Engagement, Reconciliation, and Transitional Justice

The objective of the Conference was to advance the political process and to solicit the opinions of
the Somali people including members of parliament, regional authorities, civil society groups and
experts, as well as members of the diaspora to ensure the constitutional review and implementation
process, together with the process of transitioning to democratic legitimacy, is Somali-owned.

The Conference was officially opened by the President of the Federal Republic of Somalia, His
Excellency, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud who welcomed the conference delegates, thanked them for
responding to his Excellency's call for national dialogue on political processes and requested them
to offer concrete proposals and recommendations that can be translated into policies that will
contribute towards the review and implementation of the Provisional Constitution, the transition to
democratic legitimacy, and the finalization of the Constitution by way of referendum.

The Conference recognized that the road map laid out in the Provisional Constitution provides concrete steps towards these objectives.

The Conference recalls the priorities outlined in the New Deal Compact for Somalia, which include advancing inclusive political dialogue, finalizing and adopting the Federal Constitution by
December 2015, and preparing for and holding credible elections by 2016.

The Conference expressed concern that the government is behind on important political milestones. The Conference acknowledges that there are some areas of textual ambiguity in the Provisional Constitution that need to reviewed and revised.

The Conference, therefore, adopts the following core principles:

·   A Somali-owned, inclusive, and transparent political process, led by the Somali Federal
      Government and consistent with the Provisional Constitution.

·   A rigorous, spirited review process of the Provisional Constitution gaining public legitimacy
      through a referendum.

·   A federal political system that brings government closer to the people, and safeguards unity
      and stability.

·   Free and fair electoral processes based on one person, one vote.

·   A commitment to, and the promotion of, integrity and good governance.

·   A comprehensive reconciliation process that brings about national cohesion and integration.

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Recommendations

1. Priorities for review and Implementation of the Constitution

The Conference agrees:

·   There is a sense of urgency in the review and implementation of the Provisional Constitution.
      

The Conference therefore recommends:

·The establishment of the constitutionally mandated Constitution Review and
      Implementation Commission within 60 days.

·   The establishment of the constitutionally mandated Constitutional Court within 90 days. ·   The establishment of all other institutions necessary to review and implement the
      Constitution within 90 days.

·   That the government ensures the independence, integrity, and credibility of the
      constitutionally mandated commissions.

·   That the government, in establishing these commissions, shall appoint commissioners with
      competence, integrity, and diversity.

·   That the government develop a communication strategy on the constitutional process and
      launches a comprehensive civic education campaign.

·   That the government ensures the process to be participatory, involving civil society, and
      owned by the Somali people.

2. Models of Federalism and Resource Sharing

The Conference agrees:

·   That a federal system shall bring government closer to the people. The Conference therefore recommends:

·   That the government shall establish the Boundaries and Federations Commission as directed
      by the Provisional Constitution within 60 days.

·   That Federal units shall be based on economic viability, demographic diversity, and

geographic integrity in line with the framework of the Provisional Constitution.

·   That the Somali Federal Government should take leadership of the process and launch a
      civic education campaign.

3. The Electoral Process and Party Politics

The Conference agrees:

·   That the government shall create an enabling environment for multi-party politics. The Conference therefore recommends:

·   That the government should establish the Independent Electoral Commission within 6
      months.

·   That the Political Party Law shall be passed within one year.

·   That the government shall launch civic education on the electoral process.

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·   That political parties shall have a national character, and shall not be based on clan, hate
      and/or violent extremism.

·   That the House of the People shall pass laws regulating campaign financing based on
      accountability and transparency.

·   That  the international community shall provide technical, political and financial support to
      the proposed electoral processes.

·   That contingency plans shall be agreed upon if one person one vote elections are not
      possible in 2016.

4. Reform and Good Governance

The Conference agrees:

·   That the government shall promote a culture of integrity, transparency, and accountability. The Conference therefore recommends:

·   The establishment of an Anti-Corruption Commission as directed by the Provisional
      Constitution within 90 days.

·   The establishment of a National Office of Ombudsman as directed by the Provisional
      Constitution within 90 days.

·   The establishment of a National Human Rights Commission within 90 days.

·   The establishment of a National Civil Service Commission within six months.

·   The establishment of a National Archive to serve as a repository of information for
      government documentation within one year.

5. Political Outreach, Public Engagement, Reconciliation and Transitional Justice

The Conference agrees:

·   That the government shall initiate a comprehensive reconciliation process that brings about
      national cohesion and integration.

The Conference therefore recommends:

·   That the government shall engage in a dialogue with opposition groups.

·   That the government shall reach out to, and open a constructive dialogue with regional
      administrations.

·   That the government shall continue talks with Somaliland.

·   That the government shall work towards empowering traditional elders in their role as
      peacemakers.

·   That the government shall institutionalize gender equality and the representation of
      minorities in all government institutions.

·   That the government shall establish a Truth and Reconciliation Commission, as stipulated in
      the Provisional Constitution, within six months.

·   That the government shall establish a Land and Property Commission within six months.

Finally the conference agrees:

·   That the government shall produce a comprehensive and realistic work plan for the
      implementation of the above recommendations within 30 days.

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·   That the House of the People shall hold the government accountable to the implementation
      of the work plan.

Adopted in Mogadishu on Friday - (06/09/2013)

#Somalia: The Addis-Abeba Agreement: The Beginning of a Co...

#Somalia: The Addis-Abeba Agreement: The Beginning of a Co...: Introduction:         For a very long time everybody who is involved with Somali issues( including the US, EU, UK, Turkey, Arab nati...