Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...: The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club ( S.Y...
"A month is a very long time in Politics"The begining of the end for Somali troubles?
The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was
started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club (
S.Y.L ) was opened in Mogadishu which was the first nationalist
political movement in Somalia.Other groups will came up in other regions
in British Somali land and the Bay and Bakol regions which later will
culminate in the struggle to liberate the entire nation from colonialism
and "establish" the Somali nation-State in 1960 fore all Somalis.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
On Somalia: Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against hu...
On Somalia: Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against hu...: Why the ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlords,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army? In the year of 19...
Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlods,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army?
Why the ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlords,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army?
In the year of 1993 the Somali Jurist association in a letter given to UNITAF( the international forces) and the United Nations which were running the country under a U.N Security Resolution asked for Accountability for the Human Rights abuses and war crimes committed during the Civil war by the Warlords and organized groups including the Siad Barre regime which collapsed 1991.It was discussed at the first Humanitarian conference organized by the U.N made in Addis-Abeba that same year but unfortunately the Somali groups/Warlords which were controlling spates of territory sub-divided in Sub-Clans refused any accountability for the crimes committed during the 1991-93 period. I believe this warlords which were supported by Ethiopia mostly did not wont any real peace and reconciliation at that time nor they wont it now. A lot of water has passed under the bridge and the crimes have multiplied ten times and we are at a point that everybody believes that the" Norm is impunity" and not the exception if you are an officer in the so-called TFG or so-called regional states. The Ethiopians and IGAD have adopted the same culture of killing Somalis as they were Colonial forces trying to subjugate the people-citizens of Somalia. I am writing about this groups( Igad and Ethiopians) because they are signatories of international covenants on human rights and the officers of Somali government are under also international Laws concerning the rights of Somali-citizens even when the State is Failed like in Somalia. Still armed militia representing different groups who says are representing Authorities inside Somalia are killing people-citizens and for the last four months five journalist have been killed in Somalia including the region of Punt land.There is also the Al-Shabaab which is committing heinous crimes all the time against children and women like everybody and it also committing crimes of war, act of terrorism and has never been made accountable.But the main problem is that from 2004 (the Nairobi conference in which the TFG was installed) the Meles regime and IGAD have sanctioned for Somalia a political architecture were the Warlords-Drug-Barons are the ultimate powers in Somali State affairs.Be it in the so-called state regions and the TFG .During the Ethiopian occupation of Somalia of the 2006-2009 the Ethiopian army have killed 17.000 Somali as has been reported by Human rights watch and Amnesty international. Maybe lets say 10.000 thousands Somalis ( I am giving the benefit of the doubt to the Ethiopians) were enemy combatants of Al-Shabaab but what about the rest which is more than 7.000 thousands civilians killed ? Why they have to be killed in in- discriminatory way? Why the U.N and all international Human rights organization have not done anything about Somalia all this years? What kind of hidden agenda is at work? The United Nations security Council must pass a mandate in which all crimes against humanity ,all rapes against women ,recruiting of children in militias, the indiscriminate killing of civilians by Warlords,Ethiopian Army and all Shabaab must be investigated and prosecuted by ICC.If we don't have justice and the perpetrators of all that injustices/crimes are the "puppet leaders" installed by Ethiopia and IGAD for the Somali Republic, how we can have Rule of law and a functioning federal State? The London Conference as "usual" has accepted and sanctioned the warlords/Drug-barons,'puppet parliamentarians" installed by Ethiopia to also run the next government of Somalia after the 2012 August mandate.Wait and see.
In the year of 1993 the Somali Jurist association in a letter given to UNITAF( the international forces) and the United Nations which were running the country under a U.N Security Resolution asked for Accountability for the Human Rights abuses and war crimes committed during the Civil war by the Warlords and organized groups including the Siad Barre regime which collapsed 1991.It was discussed at the first Humanitarian conference organized by the U.N made in Addis-Abeba that same year but unfortunately the Somali groups/Warlords which were controlling spates of territory sub-divided in Sub-Clans refused any accountability for the crimes committed during the 1991-93 period. I believe this warlords which were supported by Ethiopia mostly did not wont any real peace and reconciliation at that time nor they wont it now. A lot of water has passed under the bridge and the crimes have multiplied ten times and we are at a point that everybody believes that the" Norm is impunity" and not the exception if you are an officer in the so-called TFG or so-called regional states. The Ethiopians and IGAD have adopted the same culture of killing Somalis as they were Colonial forces trying to subjugate the people-citizens of Somalia. I am writing about this groups( Igad and Ethiopians) because they are signatories of international covenants on human rights and the officers of Somali government are under also international Laws concerning the rights of Somali-citizens even when the State is Failed like in Somalia. Still armed militia representing different groups who says are representing Authorities inside Somalia are killing people-citizens and for the last four months five journalist have been killed in Somalia including the region of Punt land.There is also the Al-Shabaab which is committing heinous crimes all the time against children and women like everybody and it also committing crimes of war, act of terrorism and has never been made accountable.But the main problem is that from 2004 (the Nairobi conference in which the TFG was installed) the Meles regime and IGAD have sanctioned for Somalia a political architecture were the Warlords-Drug-Barons are the ultimate powers in Somali State affairs.Be it in the so-called state regions and the TFG .During the Ethiopian occupation of Somalia of the 2006-2009 the Ethiopian army have killed 17.000 Somali as has been reported by Human rights watch and Amnesty international. Maybe lets say 10.000 thousands Somalis ( I am giving the benefit of the doubt to the Ethiopians) were enemy combatants of Al-Shabaab but what about the rest which is more than 7.000 thousands civilians killed ? Why they have to be killed in in- discriminatory way? Why the U.N and all international Human rights organization have not done anything about Somalia all this years? What kind of hidden agenda is at work? The United Nations security Council must pass a mandate in which all crimes against humanity ,all rapes against women ,recruiting of children in militias, the indiscriminate killing of civilians by Warlords,Ethiopian Army and all Shabaab must be investigated and prosecuted by ICC.If we don't have justice and the perpetrators of all that injustices/crimes are the "puppet leaders" installed by Ethiopia and IGAD for the Somali Republic, how we can have Rule of law and a functioning federal State? The London Conference as "usual" has accepted and sanctioned the warlords/Drug-barons,'puppet parliamentarians" installed by Ethiopia to also run the next government of Somalia after the 2012 August mandate.Wait and see.
Somali Politics
Somali Politics.
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
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The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
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In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
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The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
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INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
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INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
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In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
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This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
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My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
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Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
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T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...