Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
#Somalia: Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not S...
#Somalia: Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not S...: Fight against al Shabaab instructive model for future: U.S. general www.hiiraan.com (Reuters) - The African Union war against al Shaba...
Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not Somali people-citizens.
Fight against al Shabaab instructive model for future: U.S. general
(Reuters)
- The African Union war against al Shabaab in Somalia this past year
has left the Islamist group "largely in a survival mode" and is
instructive for confronting the......
The
Americans are as usual naive on Somali issues.The African Union or
Amisom did not drive out Al-Shabaab without a big fight.My humble
opinion is The Wahhabi-salfist of Somalia has divided themselves in
different groups and the two main
groups are:Al-Shabaab the
most radical which have foreign fighters and its policies are "partly"
made by Al-Qaida.The other group is Al-ittixad business cartels made up
of Business people,Organized crimes groups,puppet leaders all in this
time allied with Ethiopia-IGAD,China,Russia,Ira n
and some western countries.From the 80" this two groups have a parallel
lives with the Business cartels and puppet leaders leading from 1991
till 2006.From 2006 the more radical group of Al-shabaab emerged from
the ashes of Al-Ittixad political movement and I.C.U and started having
its leadership Role asserted with the Union of Islamic Courts. .From
2009 the Al-Ittixad business cartels/Puppet leaders made a strong
alliance with E
thiopia-IGAD-China-Iran-Russia
and started the strategy of weakening economically Al-shabaab to whom
they where the main financiers domestically..Al-ittixad business cartels
now was totally controlling the economy of all the Somali Republic and
for them was strategically more convenient being allied to states who
approved their long term interest to dominate the Somali economic
infrastructure and indirectly the political system. There were now
States ready to ally themselves with al-Ittixad business cartels,Puppet
Leaders/Warlords-.Drug barons/Organized crimes to get in exchange the
Somali national resources by subdividing Somalia in new Republics and
support this groups. You can see this policy in the last U.N security
council debate on the Somali Charcoal issues. States Like Russia and
China stood for the project of Ethiopia-IGAD to waive the ban on the
selling of charcoal.But I suspect things are not all clear cut and
Al-Shabaab has started using the nationalist card plus the clan/regional
cards to tell the local Ittixad Business cartels that they role will be
usurped if the" Foreign Armies" succeed and bring new groups to control
their regional economies and Foreign countries taking over their
territory.The other factor is the Somalis are clan based society and
sufi-Islam has been their main affiliation in Islam and the radical
policies of Al-Shabaab have aliened them.But still those Clans who see
their interest is better served with Al_shabaab are still part of it and
fighting for it.But this fight is not Ideological but political by
nature with also business interest connotations.
The African armies
will never succeed in defeating Al-shabaab because their are part of the
problem and would like with al-ittixad Business cartels to have a
vassal-mini-clan-enclaves states under the hegemony of Ethiopia-IGAD and
China.Wait and see.
Written on 5/ December 2012.
The African armies will never succeed in defeating Al-shabaab because their are part of the problem and would like with al-ittixad Business cartels to have a vassal-mini-clan-enclaves states under the hegemony of Ethiopia-IGAD and China.Wait and see.
History of the alliance between Ethiopia and Al-ittixad political movement.
Thursday, October 11, 2012
History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-Ittixad political movement.Wait and see.
Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business dealings Al-Ittixad business cartels which are allied with Ethiopia and Al-Shabaab. Somali politics
is very complicated for those which are new comers and at first-sight if you think in black and white you will never understand it. Myself who has being involved in it for a very long time as a human rights lawyer and activist and lately as a blogger it took me a very long time to understand it and came to know how the Islamist of Al-Ittixad business cartels could be allied with States like Ethiopia, China, Iran, and France. First was about the hegemony of Ethiopia of the Somali territories but it became from the 90’ about the Oil and Gas of Somalia. For this reasons atheist State like China and Islamist-radicals like All-Ittixad business cartels are allied. The masterminds of this alliance were Somali elites warlords-drug-barons linked to All-Ittixad political movement and in the same time members of the so-called movement-oppositions based in Ethiopia in the late
80".Later during the first conference for Somalia to reestablish a transitional government in Nairobi from 2004 the alliances was remade
and strengthened including some”‘Ruling elites" of IGAD( Ethiopia,Uganda,Kenya,Tanzania,Sudan, Professional Elites in politics, business, professionals in media-print and TV and Organized crimes groups of those countries.) and the governments of China, Iran, France, Italy, Russia. From 2004 the main agenda was to outsmart the Americans, The Arab world, the Islamic world and have total control of all Somalia with sub-clans groups who call themselves autonomous regions-breakaway States and at the end have a Confederation of Somali States with names like Somaliland,Puntland,Jubbaland,Hiiraanland,Bay/Bakol land,Benadir land etc.In that way there is not anymore the Somali Republic but new states with new sovereignty and then the spoils would be divided between this international groups and Al-ittixad business Cartels who would control the economies of this new satellites states while the Ethiopians and IGAD will install leaders of their liking.
In the 80” when this quasi inhuman agenda was hatched the Regime of Menghiste needed to control Somalia by subdividing it in sub-clan based States. The two main leaders of the U.S.C- Manifesto group who said no to the Ethiopian hegemony were assassinated in Italy, masterminded by Somali Ittixad leaders’ members of the U.S.C and the Ethiopians, with the complicity of Italian mafia and the Italian intelligence services in April and July1990. The two were my late father Ali Mohamed Ossoble who was one time vice-president of The S.N.M(1984-1987) and later president of the U.S.C Roma( 1989-1990) and DR. Ismail Giumale Ossoble who started the Manifesto group(1990). After
the assassination of these two leaders the U.S.C was taken over in Ethiopia-Nairobi by pro-Ethiopian groups and in Mogadishu by the All-Ittixad political movement members masquerading as U.S.C leaders. That is main reason instead of fighting against the Siad Barre regime for" regime change" the U.S.C started a civil war and the total destruction of the State infrastructures in Mogadishu and all over Somalia. The Militia of the U.S.C in Mogadishu and the S.N.M( in the north) and S.S.D.F in (northeast) were looting and destroying every system connected with the Somali state and started as a policy to have sub-Clan Based regions-areas.
The other policy of Al-Ittixad is to take over the economies of all regions of Somalia specially the Trade, Communication Hawilaad/money-remittances,the education systems starting from the madrasa to the universities. The policy of the Ethiopians to subdivide the Somalis in sub-clans groups which are fighting each other,have borders between themselves and ruled by Warlords/puppet leaders was made the main agenda. The ittixad Movement accepted this model agreed with the Ethiopian and conceal any accusation that they were controlling the political spheres in all regions and central government.
(To bee continued)-next piece the will be about(1) Organized crimes,(2)How the Ethiopians made the alliance with All_ittixad business Cartels(3)The economic expansion of the All-ittixad business cartels and their connection with International companies and Organized crimes.
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T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...