Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...
On Somalia: "A month is a very long time in Politics"The begin...: The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club ( S.Y...
"A month is a very long time in Politics"The begining of the end for Somali troubles?
The month of May is when all the mother of Somali politics was
started in 1943,excatly on 15 May.It was when the Somali Youth Club (
S.Y.L ) was opened in Mogadishu which was the first nationalist
political movement in Somalia.Other groups will came up in other regions
in British Somali land and the Bay and Bakol regions which later will
culminate in the struggle to liberate the entire nation from colonialism
and "establish" the Somali nation-State in 1960 fore all Somalis.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
Now lets came to May 2012 in Addis-Abeba where the pro console( as Meles sees them) of Somalia are meeting and two items are on the Agenda: the new constitution of the Somali Republic and the the new incursion of Meles to take over Kismayo in the South of Somalia.Meles the PM of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia has from the 1991 had a clear-cut policy for Somalia: subdivide that state nation in at least five or six mini-clan-enclaves States which will will be a confederate State under his Hegemony.In other words Somali will have five or six Presidents which will fall under his area of influence like one of the so-called federal states of Ethiopia.The Majority of the Somali leaders at the meeting decided on a Federal-regional system of Governance but this will be applied only after a referendum in which the Somalis of every clan-communities will be asked their opinions and what they would like for their Nation.
Two of the Leaders Mr. Farole and Mr. Caalin sided with the Meles project but they were defeated by the Majority and told that nobody have the right to sub-divide the Somalia Nation without a referendum.
the other item was decided that Amisom have the mandate to decide about the Military operations against Al-Shabaab and already an Amisom contingent is close to Kismayo area.In other words another hegemonic incursion by the Ethiopians was vetoed .Period.
The other good news all coming in May is the convening in Mogadishu of the new Somali Constituent Assembly Elders which has brought some acrimony and recrimination from those allied to Meles but at the end started its working .This Elders with some members of Somali civil society like Women, Diaspora ,business people will all be part of the constituent assembly which will approve the new proposed constitution and will choose the next interim members of Parliament which will elect in mid August the next interim president.
The new Big Brother of the Somalis the Turkey Government opened on Istanbul a meeting from the 28 of May for the Somali Civil society and Elders which made nervous and irascible the Meles Regime and his closest allies Mr. Farole of Puntland and Mr. Calin of Galmudug.Both of them after a technical discussions with the Turkish government ambassador in Mogadishu went to Istanbul for the big meetings which the international community will participate on Somalia.
My hope is that the Ethiopian government have seen the Light and there will never be a country called Somalia under the hegemony of Ethiopia. Secondly I also believe that with the new Constitution things will be clear in Governance and the administration of the country.The so- called transitional Charter of Mbaghati Nairobi was a piece of document which as meant to sub -divide the Country because there was not any clear mandate of the central government and the regions.
I think after the new constitution has been approved the Mandate of Amisom have to be re-negotiated by the new Somali government and the Somalis will direct the strategy and operations of Amisom and this new agreement have to be passed through the Parliament. As things stand now the African Union and IGAD are the Supra-National entities which decide the future of Somalia and the fight against al-shabaab.With the new constitution it could be started a project of Nation-Building in which the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Warlords-drug---barons could be made accountable and the process of Governance would be made more National and transparent.I do not think things will be solved all in one time but is the beginning for Somalia and the re-establishment of the institutions of the Somali Republic.Wait and see.
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
On Somalia: Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against hu...
On Somalia: Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against hu...: Why the ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlords,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army? In the year of 19...
Why The ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlods,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army?
Why the ICC is not investigating crimes against humanity committed by Warlords,Al-Shabaab and Ethiopian Army?
In the year of 1993 the Somali Jurist association in a letter given to UNITAF( the international forces) and the United Nations which were running the country under a U.N Security Resolution asked for Accountability for the Human Rights abuses and war crimes committed during the Civil war by the Warlords and organized groups including the Siad Barre regime which collapsed 1991.It was discussed at the first Humanitarian conference organized by the U.N made in Addis-Abeba that same year but unfortunately the Somali groups/Warlords which were controlling spates of territory sub-divided in Sub-Clans refused any accountability for the crimes committed during the 1991-93 period. I believe this warlords which were supported by Ethiopia mostly did not wont any real peace and reconciliation at that time nor they wont it now. A lot of water has passed under the bridge and the crimes have multiplied ten times and we are at a point that everybody believes that the" Norm is impunity" and not the exception if you are an officer in the so-called TFG or so-called regional states. The Ethiopians and IGAD have adopted the same culture of killing Somalis as they were Colonial forces trying to subjugate the people-citizens of Somalia. I am writing about this groups( Igad and Ethiopians) because they are signatories of international covenants on human rights and the officers of Somali government are under also international Laws concerning the rights of Somali-citizens even when the State is Failed like in Somalia. Still armed militia representing different groups who says are representing Authorities inside Somalia are killing people-citizens and for the last four months five journalist have been killed in Somalia including the region of Punt land.There is also the Al-Shabaab which is committing heinous crimes all the time against children and women like everybody and it also committing crimes of war, act of terrorism and has never been made accountable.But the main problem is that from 2004 (the Nairobi conference in which the TFG was installed) the Meles regime and IGAD have sanctioned for Somalia a political architecture were the Warlords-Drug-Barons are the ultimate powers in Somali State affairs.Be it in the so-called state regions and the TFG .During the Ethiopian occupation of Somalia of the 2006-2009 the Ethiopian army have killed 17.000 Somali as has been reported by Human rights watch and Amnesty international. Maybe lets say 10.000 thousands Somalis ( I am giving the benefit of the doubt to the Ethiopians) were enemy combatants of Al-Shabaab but what about the rest which is more than 7.000 thousands civilians killed ? Why they have to be killed in in- discriminatory way? Why the U.N and all international Human rights organization have not done anything about Somalia all this years? What kind of hidden agenda is at work? The United Nations security Council must pass a mandate in which all crimes against humanity ,all rapes against women ,recruiting of children in militias, the indiscriminate killing of civilians by Warlords,Ethiopian Army and all Shabaab must be investigated and prosecuted by ICC.If we don't have justice and the perpetrators of all that injustices/crimes are the "puppet leaders" installed by Ethiopia and IGAD for the Somali Republic, how we can have Rule of law and a functioning federal State? The London Conference as "usual" has accepted and sanctioned the warlords/Drug-barons,'puppet parliamentarians" installed by Ethiopia to also run the next government of Somalia after the 2012 August mandate.Wait and see.
In the year of 1993 the Somali Jurist association in a letter given to UNITAF( the international forces) and the United Nations which were running the country under a U.N Security Resolution asked for Accountability for the Human Rights abuses and war crimes committed during the Civil war by the Warlords and organized groups including the Siad Barre regime which collapsed 1991.It was discussed at the first Humanitarian conference organized by the U.N made in Addis-Abeba that same year but unfortunately the Somali groups/Warlords which were controlling spates of territory sub-divided in Sub-Clans refused any accountability for the crimes committed during the 1991-93 period. I believe this warlords which were supported by Ethiopia mostly did not wont any real peace and reconciliation at that time nor they wont it now. A lot of water has passed under the bridge and the crimes have multiplied ten times and we are at a point that everybody believes that the" Norm is impunity" and not the exception if you are an officer in the so-called TFG or so-called regional states. The Ethiopians and IGAD have adopted the same culture of killing Somalis as they were Colonial forces trying to subjugate the people-citizens of Somalia. I am writing about this groups( Igad and Ethiopians) because they are signatories of international covenants on human rights and the officers of Somali government are under also international Laws concerning the rights of Somali-citizens even when the State is Failed like in Somalia. Still armed militia representing different groups who says are representing Authorities inside Somalia are killing people-citizens and for the last four months five journalist have been killed in Somalia including the region of Punt land.There is also the Al-Shabaab which is committing heinous crimes all the time against children and women like everybody and it also committing crimes of war, act of terrorism and has never been made accountable.But the main problem is that from 2004 (the Nairobi conference in which the TFG was installed) the Meles regime and IGAD have sanctioned for Somalia a political architecture were the Warlords-Drug-Barons are the ultimate powers in Somali State affairs.Be it in the so-called state regions and the TFG .During the Ethiopian occupation of Somalia of the 2006-2009 the Ethiopian army have killed 17.000 Somali as has been reported by Human rights watch and Amnesty international. Maybe lets say 10.000 thousands Somalis ( I am giving the benefit of the doubt to the Ethiopians) were enemy combatants of Al-Shabaab but what about the rest which is more than 7.000 thousands civilians killed ? Why they have to be killed in in- discriminatory way? Why the U.N and all international Human rights organization have not done anything about Somalia all this years? What kind of hidden agenda is at work? The United Nations security Council must pass a mandate in which all crimes against humanity ,all rapes against women ,recruiting of children in militias, the indiscriminate killing of civilians by Warlords,Ethiopian Army and all Shabaab must be investigated and prosecuted by ICC.If we don't have justice and the perpetrators of all that injustices/crimes are the "puppet leaders" installed by Ethiopia and IGAD for the Somali Republic, how we can have Rule of law and a functioning federal State? The London Conference as "usual" has accepted and sanctioned the warlords/Drug-barons,'puppet parliamentarians" installed by Ethiopia to also run the next government of Somalia after the 2012 August mandate.Wait and see.
Somali Politics
Somali Politics.
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...
On Somalia: " Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia...: For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and cou...
" Regime Change or "Business as Usual" for Somalia?
For at least the last three years i am writing on Somali issues but till
now I cannot find the reasons the International Community and countries
like the U.K government which used to colonize parts of the Somali
Republic could not came up with a viable policy originating from Somalis
of all political shades on Somalia. To give just one example in
Somalia and in the Diaspora there are the left( yes
the Left and some of the them are based in London like the Kasmo.com
newspaper.)) the right wingers( those who preach only sub-clan based
policies and are best friend of Meles). ,The Nationalist, The Islamist who accept Rule of Law and
participatory democracy, and the Jihadist( who are sub-divided in two groups like the All_ittixad Business Cartels and the Al-Shaabab group). But unfortunately the West
and the U.S have always followed blindly the policies of the Tigre
Regime of Ethiopia for the last twenty years. To make short my brief the
last conference in London of February was a total failure as is the The
Mahiga Plan nicknamed the Road map,the Kampala Accord and lately the
GaroweI &II and Galkayo agreement between the so-called presidents of
Somalia.All this political “game plans” are founded on the “basic” ‘game
plan” of Meles of Ethiopia to have Somalia Sub-divided in Clan- and
sub-clan Mini enclaves which at the end will be a Confederation( with sub-divided Sovereignty) in one Supra- State, which have the territory of the Somali Republic,
controlled by the Ethiopians.In the meantime the economies of this mini
States are controlled by All-ittixad business Cartels who already own
all big corporations and have the biggest share of the economy like 80%
percent( including the education sector,Health sector,agriculture sector, Real Estate and constructions,Hotels,Trade,Telecommunication ,Banking, Energy like electricity and now Oil and Gas ).You cannot talk of human rights when the So-called mini-states
are there to subvert the basic rights of the people citizens by
superimposing on them an Agenda which works for their enemy. The
Ethiopians would like to-have in-Somalia a mini-failed States and the
Al-shabaab the terror group ever present in Somalia.Already they have
sent Mr. Silanyo to China and Mr.Sherif Hassan the Speaker of TFG to
Iran.. There have been a political strategic convergence between All-ittixad Business Cartels and the Tigre regime of Ethiopia on the issue of Oil and Gas which Somalia has great underground reserves onshore and Offshore. By seeking this new alliances with Iran and the China the puppet
Elites of Somalia are running away from the West and looking for
friendship and alliances to States which will not ask or even talk about
Human Rights and an accountable and transparent Somali Republic . Also in this way those American,British Companies which in 1989 for the last time have renewed their Oil concessions with the Siad barre regime will be defrauded of their rights with this new Mini-States acquired new Sovereignty. I
think that Somali problems must be resolved by Somalis and not so-called
presidents of so-called regional states which are uttering all the time
the Agenda of foreign countries.Somalis do not like the terror group
Al-Shabaab but they need an "Alternative" which does not include the
Ethiopians and IGAD.The Alternative is a “Transitional government made
of technocrats ” from all Shades of political spectrum with the
introduction of Chapter VII of the United nations Charter.The armies
could be IGAD with out the front-line States plus Muslim countries,and
other third world states.Their Mandate could be for Three years for
ending the terror menace and do nation Building-Institution Building
where Somalis are at the fore front.Things will not be easy but if the
current plans succeed let me tell you things will get worse and will be
a consolidation of power of this anti-democratic groups.The All-ittixad
business Cartels and Ethiopians will be the kingmaker of Somali
politics for years to came and the Somali people citizens of The Somali
Republic will never get their rights as citizens.Wait and see.
Somali Politics
Somali Politics.
On Somalia: "Why in Mogadishu there is Total Upheaval?"
On Somalia: "Why in Mogadishu there is Total Upheaval?": Last Saturday I went to a meeting in which a friend and relative of mine was opening a Forum for Somali Intellectuals and business people a...
"Why in Mogadishu there is Total Upheaval?"
Last Saturday I went to a meeting in which a friend and relative of mine was opening a Forum for Somali Intellectuals and business people at Laico Regency in Nairobi..I would not like to be nepotistic about this but that has given me the opportunity for me the see and listen to the most seasoned Somali Politician of this days.Actually is Mr. Ali Khalif Galeir a Professor at an American University in Minnesota. Mr. Galeir spoke about what we need today in Somalia and how things will get worse if there is not a Total Regime Change in the Somali Republic .He used the words of Tsunami and earthquake as the type of " change" we need in Somalia. In other words he spoke about of what I call "Gang of six" but added their Master team-leader Mr.Mahiga.and how their are planning to consolidate power for the Groups in Power.He spoke about the Igad Armada now in Somalia which controls the Somali territory and nobody knows when they will live.I add that also they have at Ransom the Somali sovereignty and territorial integrity..
He spoke also about the upcoming new Transitional Constitution and the "new game plan of the Gang of Six".He totally rejected everything on the pipeline by this "corrupt and rapacious" clique allied to the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the New colonizers of East Africa the Tigre Regime of Ethiopia
If you look at the so-called Somali media this days you will get that there is a so-called upheaval in the political circles of Mogadishu.The Warlords-Drug-Barons,the Islamist Warlords,petty Ruling elites are all rebelling against the new order. I mean people which were allied and linked to the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Tigre regime are starting to talk and look like they were in the opposition. They started Using the most Foolish and criminal language like " our Clan or Sub-Clan will use never accept this and that". In reality this groups have never reperesented anybody except in the Media which is used by the ruling elites to communicate its criminal agendas camouflaged as National and sub-clan interests.In few words everybody is afraid and anxious of the "Change" to came and is trying to react to manipulate and make it for the interest of the Ruling Cliques. The Ruling elites allied to Ethiopia and All-Ittixad business Cartels will never relinquish power easily which they were controlling for the Last twenty years.Furthermore they dread the Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter to be used to make real" Change" in Somalia.This Elites has become so rich they can buy everybody linked, working on Somali issues to the tune of Millions of Dollars including the Armada of IGAD in Somalia. Mr. Mahiga is just doing their bidding..The Somali -people citizens have been exploited and sub-divided in Clans and Sub-clans and the international community has been deceived and defrauded of millions of shillings all this years.Who controls the economy controls the Nation-State.. As in America the Industrial-Military groups which controls the political systems in Somalia the All-ittixad business Cartels control the economy of Somaliland, Punntland and the the South-Central including Mogadishu which is the center of this groups.
If the International community is serious about Somalia we need " a new transitional government of Technocrats" made of vetted and honest Somalis with the introduction of the Chapter VII of the United Nations Chapter in Somalia including by making blue helmets the so- called Armada of Igad.But most importantly the Tigre regime of Ethiopia must be kicked out of Somali affairs at all..Wait and see.
.
He spoke also about the upcoming new Transitional Constitution and the "new game plan of the Gang of Six".He totally rejected everything on the pipeline by this "corrupt and rapacious" clique allied to the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the New colonizers of East Africa the Tigre Regime of Ethiopia
If you look at the so-called Somali media this days you will get that there is a so-called upheaval in the political circles of Mogadishu.The Warlords-Drug-Barons,the Islamist Warlords,petty Ruling elites are all rebelling against the new order. I mean people which were allied and linked to the All-Ittixad business Cartels and the Tigre regime are starting to talk and look like they were in the opposition. They started Using the most Foolish and criminal language like " our Clan or Sub-Clan will use never accept this and that". In reality this groups have never reperesented anybody except in the Media which is used by the ruling elites to communicate its criminal agendas camouflaged as National and sub-clan interests.In few words everybody is afraid and anxious of the "Change" to came and is trying to react to manipulate and make it for the interest of the Ruling Cliques. The Ruling elites allied to Ethiopia and All-Ittixad business Cartels will never relinquish power easily which they were controlling for the Last twenty years.Furthermore they dread the Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter to be used to make real" Change" in Somalia.This Elites has become so rich they can buy everybody linked, working on Somali issues to the tune of Millions of Dollars including the Armada of IGAD in Somalia. Mr. Mahiga is just doing their bidding..The Somali -people citizens have been exploited and sub-divided in Clans and Sub-clans and the international community has been deceived and defrauded of millions of shillings all this years.Who controls the economy controls the Nation-State.. As in America the Industrial-Military groups which controls the political systems in Somalia the All-ittixad business Cartels control the economy of Somaliland, Punntland and the the South-Central including Mogadishu which is the center of this groups.
If the International community is serious about Somalia we need " a new transitional government of Technocrats" made of vetted and honest Somalis with the introduction of the Chapter VII of the United Nations Chapter in Somalia including by making blue helmets the so- called Armada of Igad.But most importantly the Tigre regime of Ethiopia must be kicked out of Somali affairs at all..Wait and see.
.
Somali Politics
Somali Politics.
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
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The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
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In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
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The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
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INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
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INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
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In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
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This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
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My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
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Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
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T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...