Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
#Somalia: AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.
#Somalia: AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.: There is a Meeting going on at this time at the compound of the Presidency which is the main office of the president and almost all mi...
AMISOM,Salfist Cartels,Ethiopia-IGAD All in One.
There is a Meeting going on at this time at
the compound of the Presidency which is the main office of the president and almost
all ministers present on what we call "Radical Religious Extremism” in
Somalia.. At 500 hundred meters from the meeting place Al-Shabaab explodes this
morning ( Saturday 07/09/2013) a deadly
Bomb which kills at least 15 "citizens”. I think the President and his
Prime Minister, Ministers must make a honest analysis of the situation and
accept the facts that they cannot fight Al-Shabaab without the assistance/cooperation
of Somali citizens and not with "security services" controlled
by Ethiopians-IGAD and sympathizers of Religious Fundamentalism-Extremism. At
the meeting live on Somali TVs( even in Nairobi,Eastleigh) were articulate
religious arguments by Sheicks, so-called Salafist politicians ,religious
scholars, Clan Elders, who were blaming
only "youngsters and few misguided individuals" for the extremism which have made Somalia
"Safe Haven" to Terrorist and Organized crimes/Drug-cartels. There
were not any mention of the Structural and Institutional systems which produce,
promote, and their supportive Business Cartels companies. The Madrasas ,
schools, Colleges which have produced hundreds and hundreds of young Somalis
ready to be used by terrorist or assist them and are still training Somali
youngsters with Curriculums not prepared or supervised, approved by Somali
federal government..There were not any mention of the alliance between this
groups the Extremist and the Ethiopia-IGAD group who would like to have a week
Somali state which must always rely on the assistance and support of the AMISOM
armies. President Hassan Sheick, His Prime Minister and the real friends of Somalia( the US ,EU,
Turkey, UK, Arab Nations) must go back to the drawing board and make clear cut policies to
have a clean-security services (armies, police, intelligence) from the
infiltration of the Extremist and which can stand for the National Public
Interest of Somalia. Why not recruit the Ahlu-Sunna waljameca groups ( not
those allied to Ethiopia?) which are the
majority of Somalis and are against this extremist? Why not have a clear policy
on the Somali National federal Agenda
and tell the neighboring Nations that a Somalia which is the Save haven of Terror
and Organized crimes/Drug-cartels is against the wishes of the Somali
people-citizens and cannot be tolerated by Somalis and the international
community? To do all this things its needed the intervention and stationing in
Somalia of professional soldiers from a Muslim country like Turkey as advisers
and mentors together with the Americans and the Europeans trainers for the
Somali security services (Police, Army, Intelligence).The Somali Salafist
Business Cartels/Organized Crimes must came to realize that they alliance with
Amisom and Ethiopia is unsustainable and could not be implemented. They are the
ones who are giving Al-shahaab the support base and using it as
"Tool" to destabilize Somalia till they reach their goal to subdivide
Somalia in Clan-Enclaves and control its national resources like OIL and GAS
with their ally Ethiopia-IGAD countries. They need a week Somali state which is corrupt, mismanaged( till know there is not even a national tax code or a any taxation paid by this groups who own the entire Somali economy) ,which do not have any economic public sector even health and education must be under their control as its now. The real friends of Somalia must have a concerted plan for Somalia. The honest elites cannot have a voice and the Somali commoner is not consulted. Only so-called clan advocates and Salafist Business Cartels have the capacity to influence and direct the Somali policies. Wait and see.
with their ally Ethiopia-IGAD countries. They need a week Somali state which is corrupt, mismanaged( till know there is not even a national tax code or a any taxation paid by this groups who own the entire Somali economy) ,which do not have any economic public sector even health and education must be under their control as its now. The real friends of Somalia must have a concerted plan for Somalia. The honest elites cannot have a voice and the Somali commoner is not consulted. Only so-called clan advocates and Salafist Business Cartels have the capacity to influence and direct the Somali policies. Wait and see.
#Somalia: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By S...
#Somalia: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By S...: VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS. Sept.2-6-2013-Mogadishu Somalia. Preamble: The Vision 2016 Confe...
VISION 2016: PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.( By Somali government Conference)
VISION 2016:
PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS.
Sept.2-6-2013-Mogadishu Somalia.
Preamble:
The Vision 2016 Conference (hereinafter referred to as
"the Conference") was convened by the
President of the Federal Republic of Somalia, His
Excellency, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in
Mogadishu from 2-6 September 2013 in which
His Excellency called for the first of many national dialogues on the transition towards democratic
legitimacy.
The conference delegates deliberated the following
thematic issues
· Constitutional Development: Review,
oversight, and implementation · Options on Models of Federalism
· Reform and Good
Governance
· The Electoral
Process and Party Politics
· Political
Outreach, Public Engagement, Reconciliation, and Transitional Justice
The objective of the Conference was to
advance the political process and to solicit the opinions of
the Somali people including members of parliament, regional authorities, civil society groups and
experts, as well as members of the diaspora to ensure the constitutional review and implementation
process, together with the process of transitioning to democratic legitimacy, is Somali-owned.
the Somali people including members of parliament, regional authorities, civil society groups and
experts, as well as members of the diaspora to ensure the constitutional review and implementation
process, together with the process of transitioning to democratic legitimacy, is Somali-owned.
The Conference was officially opened by the President of
the Federal Republic of Somalia, His
Excellency, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud who welcomed the conference delegates, thanked them for
responding to his Excellency's call for national dialogue on political processes and requested them
to offer concrete proposals and recommendations that can be translated into policies that will
contribute towards the review and implementation of the Provisional Constitution, the transition to
democratic legitimacy, and the finalization of the Constitution by way of referendum.
Excellency, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud who welcomed the conference delegates, thanked them for
responding to his Excellency's call for national dialogue on political processes and requested them
to offer concrete proposals and recommendations that can be translated into policies that will
contribute towards the review and implementation of the Provisional Constitution, the transition to
democratic legitimacy, and the finalization of the Constitution by way of referendum.
The Conference recognized that
the road map laid out in the Provisional Constitution provides concrete steps towards these objectives.
The Conference recalls the
priorities outlined in the New Deal Compact for Somalia, which include
advancing inclusive political dialogue, finalizing and adopting the Federal
Constitution by
December 2015, and preparing for and holding credible elections by 2016.
December 2015, and preparing for and holding credible elections by 2016.
The Conference expressed concern that the government is behind on important political
milestones. The Conference acknowledges
that there are some areas of textual ambiguity in the Provisional Constitution that need to reviewed and revised.
The Conference, therefore, adopts the following core principles:
· A
Somali-owned, inclusive, and transparent political process, led by the Somali
Federal
Government and consistent with the Provisional Constitution.
Government and consistent with the Provisional Constitution.
· A
rigorous, spirited review process of the Provisional Constitution gaining
public legitimacy
through a referendum.
through a referendum.
· A
federal political system that brings government closer to the people, and safeguards
unity
and stability.
and stability.
· Free and fair
electoral processes based on one person, one vote.
· A commitment to,
and the promotion of, integrity and good governance.
· A comprehensive
reconciliation process that brings about national cohesion and integration.
1
Recommendations
1. Priorities for
review and Implementation of the Constitution
The Conference agrees:
· There is a sense of urgency in the review and
implementation of the Provisional Constitution.
The Conference therefore recommends:
·The
establishment of the constitutionally mandated Constitution Review and
Implementation Commission within 60 days.
Implementation Commission within 60 days.
· The
establishment of the constitutionally mandated Constitutional Court within 90
days. · The
establishment of all other institutions necessary to review and implement the
Constitution within 90 days.
Constitution within 90 days.
· That
the government ensures the independence, integrity, and credibility of the
constitutionally mandated commissions.
constitutionally mandated commissions.
· That
the government, in establishing these commissions, shall appoint commissioners
with
competence, integrity, and diversity.
competence, integrity, and diversity.
· That
the government develop a communication strategy on the constitutional process
and
launches a comprehensive civic education campaign.
launches a comprehensive civic education campaign.
· That
the government ensures the process to be participatory, involving civil
society, and
owned by the Somali people.
owned by the Somali people.
2. Models of
Federalism and Resource Sharing
The Conference agrees:
· That
a federal system shall bring government closer to the people. The Conference
therefore recommends:
· That
the government shall establish the Boundaries and Federations Commission as
directed
by the Provisional Constitution within 60 days.
by the Provisional Constitution within 60 days.
· That Federal
units shall be based on economic viability, demographic diversity, and
geographic integrity in line with the framework of the
Provisional Constitution.
· That
the Somali Federal Government should take leadership of the process and launch
a
civic education campaign.
civic education campaign.
3. The Electoral
Process and Party Politics
The Conference agrees:
· That
the government shall create an enabling environment for multi-party politics. The Conference therefore recommends:
· That
the government should establish the Independent Electoral Commission within 6
months.
months.
· That the
Political Party Law shall be passed within one year.
· That the
government shall launch civic education on the electoral process.
2
· That
political parties shall have a national character, and shall not be based on
clan, hate
and/or violent extremism.
and/or violent extremism.
· That
the House of the People shall pass laws regulating campaign financing based on
accountability and transparency.
accountability and transparency.
· That
the international community shall provide technical, political and
financial support to
the proposed electoral processes.
the proposed electoral processes.
· That
contingency plans shall be agreed upon if one person one vote elections are not
possible in 2016.
possible in 2016.
4. Reform and Good
Governance
The Conference agrees:
· That
the government shall promote a culture of integrity, transparency, and
accountability. The Conference therefore recommends:
· The
establishment of an Anti-Corruption Commission as directed by the Provisional
Constitution within 90 days.
Constitution within 90 days.
· The
establishment of a National Office of Ombudsman as directed by the Provisional
Constitution within 90 days.
Constitution within 90 days.
· The
establishment of a National Human Rights Commission within 90 days.
· The
establishment of a National Civil Service Commission within six months.
· The
establishment of a National Archive to serve as a repository of information for
government documentation within one year.
government documentation within one year.
5. Political Outreach,
Public Engagement, Reconciliation and Transitional Justice
The Conference agrees:
· That
the government shall initiate a comprehensive reconciliation process that
brings about
national cohesion and integration.
national cohesion and integration.
The Conference therefore recommends:
· That the
government shall engage in a dialogue with opposition groups.
· That
the government shall reach out to, and open a constructive dialogue with
regional
administrations.
administrations.
· That the
government shall continue talks with Somaliland.
· That
the government shall work towards empowering traditional elders in their role
as
peacemakers.
peacemakers.
· That
the government shall institutionalize gender equality and the representation of
minorities in all government institutions.
minorities in all government institutions.
· That
the government shall establish a Truth and Reconciliation Commission, as
stipulated in
the Provisional Constitution, within six months.
the Provisional Constitution, within six months.
· That the
government shall establish a Land and Property Commission within six months.
Finally the
conference agrees:
· That
the government shall produce a comprehensive and realistic work plan for the
implementation of the above recommendations within 30 days.
implementation of the above recommendations within 30 days.
3
· That
the House of the People shall hold the government accountable to the
implementation
of the work plan.
of the work plan.
Adopted in Mogadishu on Friday - (06/09/2013)
#Somalia: The Addis-Abeba Agreement: The Beginning of a Co...
#Somalia: The Addis-Abeba Agreement: The Beginning of a Co...: Introduction: For a very long time everybody who is involved with Somali issues( including the US, EU, UK, Turkey, Arab nati...
The Addis-Abeba Agreement: The Beginning of a Confederate Somalia.(Part.1)
Introduction:
For a very long time everybody who is involved with Somali issues( including
the US, EU, UK, Turkey, Arab nations)the international community was wondering
if the southern Regions of Somalia called Jubbaland or Jubba regions(
Gedo,middle Jubba, South Jubba) will (ever)settle and get Peace? Who will
succeed in the Zero-Sum-Game to control the sovereignty, Institutions and
National Resources like OIL and GAS of those regions of Somalia? The Somali
National federal government or the Triad of Ethiopia-IGAD countries-UGANDA who
have Armies in Kismayo,Jubba regions of Somalia?
For me and this following analysis the Clans who won and the others who lost
within the contest of Leader-Making and institutions-making is not part of my
argument. Why in the agreement the so-called Clan- Community- are made a
“musical chair play” by making some Clans “ more equal than others”, with some
Clans “more powerful” thanks to their alliance, closeness to the Tigre Regime
of Ethiopia and IGAD countries Agenda to subdivide Somalia in a sovereign
Confederation of Clan-Enclaves.
Here I will try to analyze the articles of this agreement
and its literal, legal and political interpretation as they are in the
agreement signed in Addis-Ababa, Ethiopia. While taking some of articles of the
agreement for a legal political/ analysis I will touch in the meantime on the
different issue in the agreement vis-a- vis the Somali federal Constitution. On
such issues like Security in the federal system, Laws regulating the financial
management-taxation in general and regional state, Rule of law in the
constitution and in this agreement, federalism in general(What the Somali
communities wont and the Ethiopia-IGAD-Uganda Agenda). What are the norms to be
applied in the agreement in running the Trade, Land ownership including
agriculture, Education, Health, Public utilities like water and electricity of
the regions? What are the powers of the regional state Parliament? Who will
legislate these powers? The federal government or will be made by this new
authority? Who will allocate the quotas-members of the parliament for each
Clan-community-constituency? What are the powers of the executive? Who will
legislate it? Who will appoint the Judges and what will be the Organization of
the Judiciary? What will be the laws to be administered like the Penal Code,
Civil Code, administrative Laws etc. of the Somali Federal Republic or we are
going to have a Salafi interpretation as a Legal system? At the end I will try
to answer were we are going if this agreement is implemented as its now on the
issues of Institution- Building for regional states in a devolved federal
system.
The Preamble
of the Agreement:
I will not comment/analyze each one of
the preamble paragraphs but the most important without quoting them another
time.
The Jubba
delegation mentioned in this paragraph was only made up of the Ras-Kamboni
Clan-Militia groups who are the self-declared rulers of Kismayo-Lower Jubba
region, from the middle last year thanks to their Close alliance with Ethiopia
and Amisom Armies with which they fought against Al-Shabaab. Therefore from the
beginning the talks were biased and not representative of all the Clans-
communities of the three Regions (Lower Jubba, Middle Jubba and Gedo region).
Secondly the Somali federal government cannot be part of any agreement in which
Somali Clan- communities are involved as they were from different nationalities
of different countries in a third country. If the issue is reconciliation,
Institution-making it must be made on Somali national territory with mediation
made by Somali elders from every Clan-community and the Somali state which is the
sole sovereign representative of these communities.
The principles of this meeting were
those in the Communiqué of the meeting of IGAD heads of state adopted at its extraordinary
summit on 24th May 2013 held in Addis-Abeba,Ethiopia.From here we
can see how the Tigre-Ethiopian Ruling elites see Somali issues: different
nationalities which needs to be mediated but not as we see ourselves as One Somali Community.
The first of the principles is “Leadership of the government of the Republic of
Somalia in the process”. As I wrote before in my comment analysis of the
Kampala Communiqué I wonder Why the Somalis have to be ”given” the authority to
lead the affairs of their own Country? Why not say “ownership” of the process? This
means the so-called Somali federal government has accepted other regional
sovereign powers to “dictate” to it their “political agenda “without the
Consent of Somali Parliament and the Somali people-citizens. The second of the
principles is “Respect of the Provisional constitution of the federal Republic
of Somalia”. Why “Respect” ?The Somali federal government is the only authority
constitutionally in charge of the implementation and enforcement of all Somali
laws including the Somali provisional constitution.
Why not write as principle” Abide to the Somali Laws and federal organs’ of the
provisional Constitution”? The other controversial principle is written as” All
inclusive consultative process with the Peoples’ of Somalia”. We can see the
real Agenda of the Ethiopians which are to divide the Somalis in different “Somali
peoples” as they were from different nationalities with different Ethnic groups,
Religion and Culture. Somalis are one “People” as is also stated in the Provisional
Federal Constitution (art .1) and also One Ethnic group with one Religion Islam
and One Somali culture. The Somali federal government by accepting this “False statements”
on our Nationality is contravening the Pillars of the Somali federal Constitution
and being made party to conspiracies to subdivide the Somali people-citizens in
different Nationalities by making every Clan-Communities a New Ethnic group therefore
to bring in the concept of “Self-determination of Peoples” in International Law
sanctioned by the United Nations Charter. In that way the different Somali
clan-communities living in different regions in the future can request for “secession”
from the Republic of Somalia by being a different People- Nationality. The last of the so-called principles is” fighting
Al-Shabaab as the primary Focus of the Somali federal government, regional an
international partners”. It’s almost a joke. The Somali federal government cannot
have one focus and must have multiple agendas which the fight against Al-shabaab
is one of the majors but not the only one. There is the issue of Nation-Institution-Building,
fight against corruption and mismanagement, fight against cultural and
religious extremism, Reconciliation and transitional justice, Institution building
of the federal institutions like Army, Police, Intelligence, the economy, remaking
of all Somali Laws, etc. For IGAD bringing this silly paragraph is to cover up
the real issues facing our Somali Nation-State and in the meantime make the
Agenda of the Jubba Regional State only to fight Al-Shabaab . In that way the agreement
will not cover the real issues which we will see in the next pages.
(To be
continued)
Why there is Endemic Sexual Violence in Somalia.
The Somali Elites Ruling Somalia must be ashamed of how things are when it came to endemic Sexual violence. This violence stems first from the culture of Impunity( which till now has not been addressed in a transitional justice Courts ) of the civil wars of 1991-2009 in which Clan-warlords allied to Ethiopia and Salafist-Warlords,Organized Salafist groups used young Somali men to kill and rape in the name of Clans conquest and Religious extremism. That criminal culture to Rape Women has became almost part of the young men upbringing woven together with the extremist concept of women and the week are dispensable part of society. Those former Militia,young/Old men trained in Madrases on that misguided cultural beliefs are the officers of the Army,Police,Intelligence services and sometimes Salafist officers, Judges of the Somali Courts.Secondly the so-called Ruling business Elites/Cartels which is Salafist itself do not like the participation of women in Society and in civil-political spheres.Therefore women must always feel in danger unless they stay at home and follow their misguided ideologies. Its part of the repressive culture brought by the Civil wars and the Salafist culture/Agenda in Somalia.Third is the issue of the State and its political officers,civil servants and its Institutions not seeing this as a National priority which must be brought in the front line issues like fighting Al-Shabaab,Corruption and National Institution Building.But all this institutions and officers cannot do anything unless from the pulpit of our Mosques there is campaign to fight against this rapist culture and the Sheiks( be the Sunni-Sufi Sunna al-Jameeca and the Sunni- Salafist) start strongly to Stand for the rights of women to participate freely in civil political affairs of society and the State and have a true Justice by stopping the Culture of Impunity. Wait and see.
http://www.hiiraan.com/news4/201...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
-
The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
-
In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
-
The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
-
INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
-
INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
-
In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
-
This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
-
My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
-
Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
-
T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...