Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
#Somalia: Somalia Republic and “Somaliland” regional authori...
#Somalia: Somalia Republic and “Somaliland” regional authori...: Introduction From the last months of the former transitional government of President Sherif (2009-2012) there was meeti...
#Somalia: Somalia Republic and “Somaliland” regional authori...
#Somalia: Somalia Republic and “Somaliland” regional authori...: Introduction From the last months of the former transitional government of President Sherif (2009-2012) there was meeti...
Somalia Republic and “Somaliland” regional authorities becoming two different legal, “Sovereign entities”? Wait and see
Introduction
From the last months of the former
transitional government of President Sherif (2009-2012) there was
meetings/negotiations between the Somali federal government and the regional “authority”
of Somaliland regions. The government of former President Sherif and the government of President Hassan
Sheik which has been given a full recognition by the international Community
like the UN, EU, US, Arab League as the “sole representative” of the sovereignty
of the Somali Republic have both taken a “wrong legal, political approach” and
strategy in meetings/negotiations vis-vis the regional “Somaliland” authority.
Last Monday/Tuesday (8-9 June 2013) we
had another meeting/negotiations in Turkey between two delegations representing
the “two parties” as their spokesmen telling the Media and the Somali people-citizens.
First of all
let me start with (1) what are the legal Constitutional principles which must
guide the meetings/negotiations,(2) the format of the meetings,(3) including
the Agendas during the negotiations.
Legal
Constitutional Principles.
One of the Somali federal government founding
legal principles is the Rule of the Law (art 3).In other words every act/policy
of the Somali government must be based on the Law and in this special case on what the Constitution says.
The article (4.C1) on the Supremacy of the Constitution says: “After the Shari’ah(Islamic
Law principles) the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Somalia is the
Supreme Law of the Country. It binds and guides Policy initiatives and
decisions in all department of government.”
More to that
at article (7) titled:” The territory of the federal Republic of Somalia “at (C1)”
is written that “The sovereignty of the Fderal Republic of Somalia extends over
all the territory of the federal Republic of Somalia which includes The Land,
Territorial sea, the Islands, the Subsoil, the Airspace and the Continental shelf
and any Land and Waters that join the federal Republic of Somalia. In
accordance with a law that shall be passed by the federal parliament. Also (C2)
says:” the Territory of the federal Republic of Somalia is Inviolable and Indivisible”;
At (C4) says”
The boundaries of the federal Republic of Somalia shall be those described in
the 1960 Constitution of Somalia”.
All this
articles must be the guiding Constitutional principles of the Somali Federal
Republic government in any act/policy or even negotiations. But unfortunately we
can see that maybe for naivety or incompetence doubled by negligence they have
not been considerate even before and during the so-called
meetings/negotiations.
The format of the meetings were totally
wrong because there not any consideration on what are meant this meetings/negotiations.
On what protocols the two delegations were meeting? What is the legal definition
of the Somali federal Republic in these meetings? That Somalia is the “sole sovereign
power of Somalia which has been recognized under International Law”? What is
the Legal definition of “Somaliland”? Where its territory and jurisdiction is situated?
Under what legal definition they are at the meetings? Who recognized them?
The Agendas of the meetings have never
been agreed before hand and prepared by the Somali federal government.The
Somali federal government has not got a clear plan of negotiations and what is
the end-game except the concept of Unity and the recognition it enjoys as
representative of Somalia including the regions of Somaliland and its people-citizens.
While the regional authority of “Somaliland” has a clear two fold game plan of
first getting “recognized” by participating in this meetings as a representative
of “part of the Somali territory and its authority” which can be used as a “Legal precedent “ in a Legal
case at international Forums/Courts. The meetings are hosted by a third party
like Turkey. Secondly to push as a second alternative in the negotiations for a
Confederate system of Governance between Somalia and the regional authority of “Somaliland”.
As Confederate I mean two different States with different sovereignty but under
a Confederate system for Somalia. In that way “Somaliland” regions authority
could have the rights to make new “ concessional Rights” for the Oil and Gas of
the Awdal regions and Sool and Sanag regions which are also claimed by the self
declared regional authority of Khatuma State which it says its part and parcel
of the Somali Federal Republic.
The game
plan of “Somaliland” regional Leaders came clear when they told the representative
of the UN Mission for Somalia that he cannot work and open office in Hargeisa
the capital city of the regional authority. In other words they are saying they
are not in his mandate as they are not part and parcel of Somalia. What has
always missed in their arguments was the legal basis for the “secession or
separation”. Because their narrative was always based on political arguments
like the Civil wars and the Human Rights abuses the Clan communities have suffered
in the 80 under the Siad Barre regime. Now through these meetings/negotiations
they are getting ammunition for a future legal challenge in International
Courts of Law by being “party” to these meetings/negotiations.
The Somali Provisional Constitution.
The Somali provisional constitution
is the supreme law of the land and is quite clear what is says about Somali sovereignty
and the legitimate representative of Somalia.
The Somali provisional Constitution although is incomplete the Constituent
Assembly of the Elders have delegated the federal Parliament “to remake the
Final draft”. But the Clan- Community representative as MP members of the
regions of “Somaliland” are in the Somali federal parliament. In the executive
they have they own share of seats as Ministers and also in the Judiciary.
The Act of Union of 1961 between the Colonial British Somaliland regions
of Somalia and the Italian regions of Somalia are still valid and part of the
Somali legal systems. The government of Hassan Sheik must be careful to handle
legal issues like this
meetings/negotiations concerning the Unity of the Somali “federal “Republic. I
use the word “federal” between brackets because till this Constitution is
approved in an Act of an elected Parliament and
in a national Referendum, we are still”the
Republic of Somalia legally”.
Back to the Drawing Board.
The government of Hassan Sheik Mohamud must go back to the drawing
board and prepare a “White paper” on this negotiations with the regional
authorities of “Somaliland”. When I say a “White paper” I mean a document on the Strategy and Goals approved
by the Council of Ministers or even
submitted and approved by the Somali federal Parliament. This strategy must be
told to all Somali people-citizens who are the national stake-holders including
all Clan- community from all regions of Somalia.
The strategy must be sub-divided in (1) Legal issues(2) Political issues
(3) and Cultural and Economic issues which have been explored and researched by
Somali professionals on those sectors.
If the things go on as they
are now mixing political issues and legal issues and “ recognizing” indirectly
the authority of the regions of “Somaliland” as “ party” or “legal entity”
different from the “indivisible sovereignty” of the Somali federal Republic there will be a “legal catastrophe” for the
Unity and Territorial integrity of the Nation-State called Somalia. Just to give you an example the
control of the Airspace of Somalia falls under the jurisdiction of the Somali Federal
Republic not regional Authorities who have the powers to deal directly with International
organizations like the International Civil Authority.
But in the meetings/negotiations the authority of the regions of
Somaliland has requested to control its regional “Airspace” as it was a “Sovereign
Legal Entity”. What I know is the two “ parties” they even nominated a
technical committee to deliberate later
on the subject.
This is not a “technical issue” but a “legal” one linked to the sovereignty
of the Republic as our Constitution mentions itself. If there are different
airspaces controlled by different authorities it will mean different Sovereign powers
having Jurisdiction on the Somali Republic territory. If the Somaliland
authority have its own Civil Aviation authority who shares the Powers to
control the air spaces of that region it will also mean two different Sovereign
States.
I hope the Somali federal government would understand that they do not
have the “legal authority” to Change the Territorial integrity and Unity of
Somalia if it’s not mandated by an Act of parliament and a National Referendum which
all Somali people-citizens have voted in a free and fair manner.
I suspect some of the
entourage of President Hassan Sheik, the so- called Salafist group called “Damu
Jadid”party, which controls this meetings/ negotiations as Ministers who are the natural allies of the
Somali Salafist Business cartels allied to what I call the hegemonic group of
Ethiopia-IGAD are behind this “Legal catastrophe” .This “legal -political
catastrophe “ in which the sovereignty ,territorial integrity and Unity of the
Somali federal Republic is amended/changed is illegal and in contravention of
the Somali Federal Constitution.
I do not believe the “Ruling Elites” of Mogadishu is not aware of this
Big Blunder/Legal treason but there is a “legal soft coup” they planned and executed
without the Knowledge of the Somali people-citizens. My conclusions is this
meetings/negotiations are all linked and part of the Old Plans of Ethiopia –IGAD
group and their sponsors of China,Iran,Russia,France and Italy to subdivide the
Somali Republic in five or six new Sovereign states to get its Oil and Gas.
Wait and see.
#Somalia: Short rebuttal to Matt Bryden interview on the Dai...
#Somalia: Short rebuttal to Matt Bryden interview on the Dai...: Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
Short rebuttal to Matt Bryden interview on the DailyNation.
Mr.
Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a
very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing the plans
of the Salafist Business Cartels and Ethiopia-IGAD for the
recolonization of Somalia and its subdivision in
Clan -Enclaves to be called regional- autonomous States in a
Confederate Somalia. Just for example he says the establishment of
Jubbaland is Illegitimate but in the end he says the government must
compromise.Why?. Compromise with Ethiopia and Kenya who would like to
have a sovereign-Vassal state in south Somalia and control the OIL and
Gas of that region of |Somalia?. If we do not talk about the real Agenda
of the
Hegemony of Ethiopia and IGAD countries in Somalia we will miss the
entire narrative of the Somali conflict and why Somalia is in a
perpetual failed State situation from 1991 and why IGAD is working together with the
other group the Salafist made of Al-Shabaab and the Salafist Business
Cartels.The former transitional
State for Somalia have failed because the IGAD countries wonted them to
fail and never wonted a Somalia at Peace with its neighbors and with
itself. The Federal( Confederate) system he is talking about was chosen
by Ethiopia -
IGAd to subdivide and control Somalia .The narrative that the Clans of
Darod,Hawiya and Issak could not reconcile is all a myth supported and
implemented by the Hegemonic powers of the region and their Global
allies like China,Russia,Iran,France and Italy to own at the end the
Somali National resources like OIL and Gas. Somalis are of the same
language ,culture,ancestry and Religion.In Africa states in which the
communities are of different nationalities are living together but for
Somalia is not possible which is one of the truly State-Nation in
Sub-sahara Africa if we follow the model of the European state-Nation
where the people,the language and the ancestry are one.Mr. Bryden I
believe himself came to believe
in the lies propagated by the Somalis puppet leaders,Warlords and mainly
the Ruling Elites of the Salafist Business Cartels who control the
economy of all regions of Somalia that Somalia would never be again as
One but different States.Could he explain why Ahmed Madobe the Ruler of
Kismayo /Jubbaland of today must go for consultation to Addis-Abeba and
Nairobi and not Mogadishu( where he has never been) every fortnight?
He is a product of the
hegemonic Agenda to subdivide Somalia in Clan-Enclaves and the Armies
he uses to control the City of Kismayo where he Rules are
Somali-Ethiopians and soldiers trained in Kenya but some came from
Garissa town and Mandera of Kenya.One thing I know
is the Americans who hold the biggest portfolio of Oil and Gas
Concession rights
all over Somalia( last signed by Siad Barre in 1989) must tell the
regional powers and their backers that the Somali must be free to rule
on their own destiny and not be governed by IGAD and Ethiopia. The main reasons the Somalis are being recolonized is to change the ownership of the concessional Rights with the emergence of new states.Last but
not least MR. Bryden must know what he thinks are Clans-Communities
Agendas are
Salafist Business Cartels Agendas which are linked to the Global
Jihadist Agenda which itself would like to control the OIL and GAS of
Somalia.He must revisit his own analysis of Somalia and accept that the
narrative he used all this years is not valid anymore and Somalia have
the
Right to associate with whoever they like as a free Nation-State and not
as vassal to Ethiopia and IGAD. The political fight today in Somalia is
between the Somali federal government which wants a devolved system of
government with one Sovereign State and the Puppet Leaders and their
IGAD and Salafist associate who like to have a subdivided Somalia in new
sovereign states to get the OIL and Gas. My opinion is not to have any
borders between Somali region if there are not for administrative
reasons and the meeting President Hassan Sheick had with the so-called
the Leaders of the regions of Somaliland was wrong if its based on the
concept of having two sovereign states in Somalia. Instead President
Hassan Sheick must meet the Clan-communities of Somaliland regions and
agree with them the future reconciliations plans and their Leaders in
the federal parliament. Wait and see.
This comment was written in replay to an interview Mr. Matt Bryden had with the nation on 25 June 2013.
This comment was written in replay to an interview Mr. Matt Bryden had with the nation on 25 June 2013.
#Somalia: Oil and Gas,Mini-Clan-encaves and Ethiopia-IGAD He...
#Somalia: Oil and Gas,Mini-Clan-enclaves and Ethiopia-IGAD He...: The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
Oil and Gas,Mini-Clan-encaves and Ethiopia-IGAD Hegemony.
The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other for the political and economical supremacy of their own country.The word citizenship or the one I usually use of people-citizens of a country called Somalia have been abolished in our vocabulary for a very long time.Who had this "heinous" idea to subdivide the Somalis? Somalis being only one tribe with the same (language and culture,Religion) instead of the numerous Tribes who vie for power and economic empowerment in other African countries they have to find other Achilles heels for the Somalis.The week spot is the famous clan culture which has predominated our political thinking and social thinking.It has its good side when is made of pride and cultural diversity and the uniqueness of the Somalis in Africa and the Arab world but it is easily manipulated by the Ethiopians and Al-ttixad political movement from almost the 80". Today the Somalis are fed with lies that the only way their Clan can survive and prosper is to have its own Clan enclave and subdivide Somalia in Mini-clan enclaves under the hegemony of Ethiopia-IGAD. Some of our warlords and puppet leaders they started to believe and practice this agenda from the 90' for opportunistic reasons and we arrived at the point that every month or fortnight they go for consultation to Addis-Abeba or Nairobi. Some they said in public that the Somalis are not brothers and sisters but only different groups which can only be United in a Confederation of Enclaves of clan-communities.That is the Agenda of so-called leaders like Farole(regions of Puntland) and Mr.Silanyo( regions of somaliland). Now the Ethiopia-IGAD group have added to the list the self-proclaimed regions of Jubbaland which is under the protection(?) of the Kenya army and New police militia from Ethiopia.In Jubbaland regions the Kenya army is only in the lower Jubba the other regions are almost entirely under Al-Shabaab and some parts of Gedo are under the Somali federal government.How the Kenya army under Amisom can contravene to the UN mandate for the African troops stationed in Somalia? WHY the Ethiopians are still holding to their dreams to subdivide Somalia in mini-clan-enclaves?Its simple . They made a long standing secret deals with Big oil companies like Total Oil of France,ENI of Italy and the Chinese Oil giants called China National Oil Corporation. Secondly the Ethiopians have told themselves that to subjugate the Somali regions of Ethiopia( one third of that country)they also need to subjugate The Somalis of the Somali Republic.In that regions of Ethiopia inhabited by the Somalis there one of the biggest reserves of Oil and gas in the world which have never been exploited but explored by the Americans from the 50".Some years ago the Ethiopians gave new rights to explore to Chinese companies but it backfired when the Ogaden National liberation Front- a separatist group- fought against the Chinese. The Tigre Regime of Ethiopia would not like and have not any plans to give those Somali communities their right share in the royalties from the future profits of the exploitation of that resources.Therefore to succeed in their plans they need to subdivide and subjugate Somalia and its people-citizens.They are also are planning to change the Colonial Borders of Somalia by making new sovereign states within the Somali borders. This was the game plan of Minghiste and Meles Zenawi for the Horn of Africa and supported by European Union.and the Chinese government. The Regional states and in particular the Ethiopia-IGAD group are making a big mistake that the Somalis will ever be subdivided in Clan-enclaves. Their alliance with the Al-ittixad business cartels will backfire.because this Somali-Salafist groups have their own separate agendas of financing global Jihad and their alliance with Ethiopia-IGAD is temporary.. Another point is the Somalis cannot be losers and manipulated for ever and may came the day that they will say no as already is trying the government in Mogadishu..For Everybody is good to have a Somalia which is at peace with the region and a nation-State where the Rule of the law and democracy is practiced, which is sovereign for its own affairs.Wait and see.
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
-
The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
-
In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
-
The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
-
INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
-
INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
-
In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
-
This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
-
My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
-
Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
-
T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...