Why Somali Republic is a "Perpetual Failed State" for the last 30 years?In this blog I try to answer to that question and in particular of the failure of Somali politics.How Clan Elites have been used by Regional powers and the Somali Salafist Movement and the end game plan to make Somali Republic Clan Enclaves.Who controls Somali economy and political control of Clans in Clan Enclaves.
#Somalia: Why there is Endemic Sexual Violence in Somalia.
#Somalia: Why there is Endemic Sexual Violence in Somalia.: The Somali Elites Ruling Somalia must be ashamed of how things are when it came to endemic Sexual violence. This violence stems first f...
#Somalia: In Defense Of Somali Territorial waters-from Somal...
#Somalia: In Defense Of Somali Territorial waters-from Somal...: In defense of Somali territorial waters-from Somalitalk.com pages Public Friends Friends except Acquaintances Only Me Custom Close Fr...
#Somalia: Kampala Communiqué: Sell out of Somali National So...
#Somalia: Kampala Communiqué: Sell out of Somali National So...: Kampala Communiqué: Sell out of Somali National Sovereignty and self-government. (Part 1) Here I will make a legal, politi...
#Somalia: Why there is Endemic Sexual Violence in Somalia.
#Somalia: Why there is Endemic Sexual Violence in Somalia.: The Somali Elites Ruling Somalia must be ashamed of how things are when it came to endemic Sexual violence. This violence stems first f...
#Somalia: #UAE Government Meetings for Somali #CLAN #ENCLAVE...
#Somalia: #UAE Government Meetings for Somali #CLAN #ENCLAVE...: I did not write for some time on my blog for the simple reason that I thought that I had almost answered all pertinent questions and answer...
#UAE Government Meetings for Somali #CLAN #ENCLAVES Leaders.A short Analysis Part 1.
I did not write for some time on my blog for the simple reason that I thought that I had almost answered all pertinent questions and answers about the so-called tragic Somali Issues.I decided to rest till things maybe start to change.I also had some problems with my "legal status" as a person in Kenya. Now with the so-called election/selection by Clan communities of new members for the so-called Somali Federal Parliament and the crucial election of the Somali Republic next President all in this year or next January things are looking some how changed for different reasons .
More importantly it looks even the Political landscape in the Horn of Africa is on the verge of a new political paradigm.What I mean and hope is the Political upheaval going on in ETHIOPIA will bring a political Change in the long term for the sub colonizing Agenda of the Tigre Regime for the Somali Republic. The Tigre Regime of Ethiopia has started taking back some of its Armies- specially those well trained Tigre officers - and I hope in the long run it will realize that its policy toward Somalia has totally failed. But for them to recognize their wrong policies we have to wait for a change in the internal political dynamics of ETHIOPIA Will Ethiopia become more democratic with Rule of Law and respect Colonial Borders and give up on its sub colonizing Agenda for Somali Republic? Or will continue in its "Old school" politics for Somalia which started from the days of Menelik, Haile Selassie, Menghistu and continued by Meles Zenawi and the recent regime of subdividing and sub colonizing the Somali Republic to get the vast reserves of OIL and GAS offshore and onshore inside the Somali Republic? The puppet Clan Enclaves Leaders made by Ethiopia- called President- for Somali Republic are already feeling the repercussions of the Oromo protest inside Somalia and started asking where they will get the next Protegee.Did the EU and US be more assertive in their dealings with the African Union, IGAD and Ethiopia vis a vis Somalia? Will some Arab countries to whom Somalia sees as brothers will change their Old politics of supporting the Somali Salafist movement particularly the Somali Salafist Business Cartels in their Agenda to have influence and hegemony in Somali Republic? Will they Change some Arab- rich individuals who profess to be Salafist themselves who support the Salafist Jihadist part of the Somali Salafist Movement? And start supporting a democratic Somali Nation State with Rule of Law in a devolved federal system part of the Arab countries and Arab League? All this Questions and others more radical like the emergence of the dreaded terrorist group #ISIL inside Somali Republic ( some factions of the extremist/Jihadist group #AlShabaab have declared allegiance to #ISIL in north est of Somalia region of Puntland and in Jubbaland region making the Salafist Jihadist groups based in sub-Clans territory and membership) are being asked at this meeting by #UAE government with the Somali Clan Enclaves Leaders in DUBAI this last week. I believe the Arab countries have came to know that the Somali Salafist movement- specially the Somali Salafist Business Cartels with their allies the Drug Cartels/ Organized crimes groups- has had a historical political convergence and strategical alliance with the Tigre regime of ETHIOPIA. For a very long time some members of the Somali Salafist movement started in the 70" in Somalia had relationships and links with the Menghiste regime and later was reinforced during the Meles era to become a strategic alliance which its main aim was to subdivide Somali Republic in Clan Enclaves where Elite Clan Puppet leaders allied to Ethiopia control the political spheres and the Salafist Business cartels the entire economy of this so-called Lands who will become a real sovereign states in the long rum.See my post like "OIL and GAS,Clan Enclaves and ETHIOPIA- IGAD Hegemony" and "Who are the Business people of Somalia" and "Short rebuttal to Matt Bryden interview......"and " For the New PM of Somalia : Lessons from the recent past".
In Somalia from the 90" there were two political groups running the show : 1) the Clan Elites Political Leaders who became Warlords instigating civil strive and fraternal civil wars and 2) the Somali Salafist movement who were made of different sub groups but the most assertive were the the Salafist Business cartels/Organized crimes groups and the Salafist Jihadist in the movement like #AlShabaab which now is subdividing itself in sub Clans groups and some swearing allegiance to #ISIL.The Arabs like Ethiopia were part of the problem of Somalia because by religiuos links they were linked to the Somali Slafist movement.Now if the #UAE government tries to change things they are very welcome but the Somali people-citizens must be involved and Somali civil societies .The Clan Elites Puppetb Leaders are sons and part of the strategic Agenda of the ETHIOPIA-IGAD states and cannot solve or bring forward Change in Somalia. Any agenda for change which is not based on the real National interest of the Somali Republic will fail.Only real Leaders who reppresent the totality of Somali citizens can bring change.Wait and see.
More importantly it looks even the Political landscape in the Horn of Africa is on the verge of a new political paradigm.What I mean and hope is the Political upheaval going on in ETHIOPIA will bring a political Change in the long term for the sub colonizing Agenda of the Tigre Regime for the Somali Republic. The Tigre Regime of Ethiopia has started taking back some of its Armies- specially those well trained Tigre officers - and I hope in the long run it will realize that its policy toward Somalia has totally failed. But for them to recognize their wrong policies we have to wait for a change in the internal political dynamics of ETHIOPIA Will Ethiopia become more democratic with Rule of Law and respect Colonial Borders and give up on its sub colonizing Agenda for Somali Republic? Or will continue in its "Old school" politics for Somalia which started from the days of Menelik, Haile Selassie, Menghistu and continued by Meles Zenawi and the recent regime of subdividing and sub colonizing the Somali Republic to get the vast reserves of OIL and GAS offshore and onshore inside the Somali Republic? The puppet Clan Enclaves Leaders made by Ethiopia- called President- for Somali Republic are already feeling the repercussions of the Oromo protest inside Somalia and started asking where they will get the next Protegee.Did the EU and US be more assertive in their dealings with the African Union, IGAD and Ethiopia vis a vis Somalia? Will some Arab countries to whom Somalia sees as brothers will change their Old politics of supporting the Somali Salafist movement particularly the Somali Salafist Business Cartels in their Agenda to have influence and hegemony in Somali Republic? Will they Change some Arab- rich individuals who profess to be Salafist themselves who support the Salafist Jihadist part of the Somali Salafist Movement? And start supporting a democratic Somali Nation State with Rule of Law in a devolved federal system part of the Arab countries and Arab League? All this Questions and others more radical like the emergence of the dreaded terrorist group #ISIL inside Somali Republic ( some factions of the extremist/Jihadist group #AlShabaab have declared allegiance to #ISIL in north est of Somalia region of Puntland and in Jubbaland region making the Salafist Jihadist groups based in sub-Clans territory and membership) are being asked at this meeting by #UAE government with the Somali Clan Enclaves Leaders in DUBAI this last week. I believe the Arab countries have came to know that the Somali Salafist movement- specially the Somali Salafist Business Cartels with their allies the Drug Cartels/ Organized crimes groups- has had a historical political convergence and strategical alliance with the Tigre regime of ETHIOPIA. For a very long time some members of the Somali Salafist movement started in the 70" in Somalia had relationships and links with the Menghiste regime and later was reinforced during the Meles era to become a strategic alliance which its main aim was to subdivide Somali Republic in Clan Enclaves where Elite Clan Puppet leaders allied to Ethiopia control the political spheres and the Salafist Business cartels the entire economy of this so-called Lands who will become a real sovereign states in the long rum.See my post like "OIL and GAS,Clan Enclaves and ETHIOPIA- IGAD Hegemony" and "Who are the Business people of Somalia" and "Short rebuttal to Matt Bryden interview......"and " For the New PM of Somalia : Lessons from the recent past".
In Somalia from the 90" there were two political groups running the show : 1) the Clan Elites Political Leaders who became Warlords instigating civil strive and fraternal civil wars and 2) the Somali Salafist movement who were made of different sub groups but the most assertive were the the Salafist Business cartels/Organized crimes groups and the Salafist Jihadist in the movement like #AlShabaab which now is subdividing itself in sub Clans groups and some swearing allegiance to #ISIL.The Arabs like Ethiopia were part of the problem of Somalia because by religiuos links they were linked to the Somali Slafist movement.Now if the #UAE government tries to change things they are very welcome but the Somali people-citizens must be involved and Somali civil societies .The Clan Elites Puppetb Leaders are sons and part of the strategic Agenda of the ETHIOPIA-IGAD states and cannot solve or bring forward Change in Somalia. Any agenda for change which is not based on the real National interest of the Somali Republic will fail.Only real Leaders who reppresent the totality of Somali citizens can bring change.Wait and see.
#Somalia: Why #AlShabaab has attacked the Central Hotel. and...
#Somalia: Why #AlShabaab has attacked the Central Hotel. and...: Friday 20/02/2015 the criminal attack at one of the landmarks of Mogadishu: the ex-chinese Embassy and annexed appartements in...
Why #AlShabaab has attacked the Central Hotel. and the symbiotic relationship of Tigre intelligence,,the Somali SalafistBusinessCartels with AlShabaab.Wait and see.
Friday 20/02/2015 the criminal attack at one of the landmarks of Mogadishu:
the ex-chinese Embassy and annexed
appartements in front of “Hawo Taako” monument destroyed by the warlords now renamed Central Hotel must be seen in the
contest of #Somali #Conflict"
and the struggle of #supremacy of #Alshabaab,the #SalafistBusinsessCartels and
the #Tgre Intelligence-
which is housed at the Ethiopian Embassy
within the compound of the Presidency and coordinates the undercover operations
of Ethiopia.It was an attack aimed at two groups: the Elites from Somali
Diaspora and specially those from the Somaliland, Khatuma state regions of
Somalia which usually gather at that Hotel. The Hotel is owned by one of the
richest and oldest families of Hargheisa the Jirde family. The attack was specially
directed at the deputy PM Mr. Arte and his own entourage and MPs from
Somaliland region.You will ask why aiming at this group.? First let me give you
a short time line about the whole Somali conflict and specially in Somaliland
region.. The game Plan of #ETHIOPIA-#IGAD and
the #SalafistBusinessCartels to
subdivide Somalia in Clan #Enclaves#sectarian system
is being rejected by the same Clan communities it was made to subdivide and
make enemies .In the Somaliland region the regime has been rejected by the
Clans of Khatumo State who declared
themselves part of the Somali Republic and
the Clans of Awdal are almost waiting for the right moment to rebel. Within the
Clans of the central regions who are the Clan Blood lineage Ruling Elites of
Somaliland there is division on how they see the future of the region and the
ETHIOPIAN Agenda blow back in the future for their Clans and the regional #SalafistBusinessCartels
hegemony .Just like in all of Somali Republic their #Economy is controlled by few #subClans Elites
part of the Somali #SalafistBusinessCartels fighting over supremacy and in the
political sphere only one sub-Clan blood lineage Elites puppet Leaders has
accumulated all power specially in the administration,executive and security
services. In this contest the coming of Mr. Arte to Mogadishu capital of the
Somali Republic and his appointment as deputy PM is a big blow to the ETHIOPIAN
Agenda to have separate sovereign Republic Clan-Enclaves in Somaliland region
and the Ruling regime of Mr. Silanyo in
Somalialnd region. But where #AlShabaab is in this #picture?
My own analysis which you can get from my posts at "wardigley.blogspot.com" is the following. #Alshabaabi is
part of the Somali #Salafist #Movement just
like the #SalafistBusinessCartels,Organized Crimes and the
Preachers,scholars,NGOs in Education,Charities, and some Mosque Imams.Therefore
there is always some members or groups within the Somali
#SalafistBusinessCartels which have close relations with #Alshabaab which
represents the most Radical and #Jihadist group
in the movement. But also the same#SalafasitBusinessCartels have
a strong #alliance with
the #ETHIOPIA-IGAD countries to #subdivide #Somalia in #Clan-Enclaves
Blood lineage and have the total control of the economy in all over Somalia.
Mr. Mohamed Omar Arte the deputy PM being part of the political federal system
for Somalia – he is now injured but safe-is a big blow to the sinister agenda
of both the Salafist Movement specially the Business Cartels and the
#ETHIOPIA-#IGAD agenda for #SOMALIA. The Deputy PM ,his friends politicians and
all those from Somaliland region has broken the rules of the game made by
ETHIOPIA and the Salafist Cartels. And with the international community- read
the West,the Arab /Muslim World having a second look at Somalia things are not
"Business as usual" for ETHIOPIA.. #Alshabaab linkage with the
Salafist Business Cartels makes easy to kill everybody -using Alshabaab system-
who is against the policies of #ETHIOPIA and the #SalafistBusinessCartels.Read
my post " Who are the Business people of Somalia" and "For the
new PM of Somalia: Lessons from a recent past of December 2013" and also “
Short rebuttal to Matt bryden interview ..June2013.”. My Conclusion is: there is
a symbiotic relationship between the Somali SalafistBusinessCartels,Tigre
intelligence and Alshabaab.If you read also my post titled “ the Criminal
motives behind the Car-bombing of Ahmed modobe.." you will see also the working methodology.The main strategic goal of the Tigre regime of ETHIOPIA and the Somali SalafaistBusinessCartels is to control
the resourece of Somalia specially the vast reserves of OIL and GAS. For that
reasons the US,EU, and the Arab countries who themselves used to finance and support ideologically the Salafist movement of Somalia are out of the game. Somalis must
be subdivided in Clan Enclaves sectarian system like Republic of Somaliland,
Puntland, Jubba regions,South West region ect who are under the Hegemony
of ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries. The Somali Con-federal state called federal state will be
an out fit which will share some powers between this sovereign states as planned by ETHIOPIA. The Salafist Business Cartels which have
total control of the
economy,education,health,Trade,banking,utilities,Agriculture etc and has influence already on some of the regional state stricture like
Ports,airports, taxation policies,security like Police and central government will in future be
part of the exploitation of the OIL and GAS. The Salafist Business cartels
will be able to finance secretly the Global Jihadist groups and ETHIOPIA-CHINA-IRAN
will be the Hegemonic powers in East AFRICA/Horn of Africa and specially Somali Republic. Who
controls the OIL and GAS of Somalia will
control Horn of AFRICA.Wait and see.
#Somalia: It’s SOMALIA Federal Government on the BRINK of IM...
#Somalia: It’s SOMALIA Federal Government on the BRINK of IM...: If we read Somali media in these days it seems all Déjà vu. After 25 Octobert 2014 the day the reshuffle was annonced the us...
It’s SOMALIA Federal Government on the BRINK of IMPLOSION? Part 1.Wait and see.
If we read Somali media in these days
it seems all Déjà vu. After 25 Octobert 2014 the day the reshuffle was annonced the usual infighting between President and PM of the
Somali Federal government started going at full speed with all the recrimination,
accusations on the FM radios and specially the BBcsomali.com and the VoaSomali
.com,Somali websites etc. But to all accounts things are very different from past infighting's although the form is the same. Now the international community looks more united , involved - speaking openly-specially the UN, EU on the issues at stake of the reshuffle and supporting the PM reshuffle , while the Ethiopian government and IGAD countries are siding with the President. The US is silent but every body assuming they are siding with the International community and the UN. Also silent are Turkey and Qatar which I suspect are-mistakenly- siding with the President but U.A.E and Saudi Arabia I do not think they will ever accept a Somalia controlled by ETHIOPIA and a bunch of Salafist Business Cartels allied to Organized crimes. The main issue is the reshuffle of some ministries made by the Somali PM Abdiweli Sheik Ahmed and the one specially on the now "infamous" Minister for Justice and Constitutional Affairs.This Minister Mr. Abdulkadir Farah is of a unique "specimen" in the Somali political kaleidoscope.He is a well know as a so- called Salafist-secretary general of the Salafist party so-called Damu Jadid (New Blood) and in the same time "very Close" ally of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia. This party unofficially is the one who fundraised and collected money from Kuwait foundations ( to whom was working at least for the last 15 years before he became politician and Minister in 2012),Qatar organizations, who where used to finance the Election of President Hassan Sheik in 2012. Also he is the main point man of the sub colonization of the Somali Republic, the subdivision of the country in Clan-Enclaves( he was behind and signed the so- called "Addis-Ababa Agreement" for the Jubba regions which is a total failure and rejected by the Clan- communities of that region ) based on sectarian system and more importantly of the change of our legal system in a subtle way-.read my post " The Rule of Law or Rule of Militant Salafist ". While I was writing this article on Friday 07/ November it came in the news that the a Motion of no-confidence for the PM will be made on November 08 2014. Before I give my take on the main issues of this controversy and infighting let me make a short timeline of past events between PM and Presidents and the usual power struggles and manipulation of ETHIOPIA in the Somali so- called political system.. From 2000 when the IGAD group run and used by ETHIOPIA for the sub
colonization of SOMALIA started being the main architect in the institution Building
of Somali State this infighting was part of the Somali political “system”. It
was mostly engineered by the Tigre Regime of ETHIOPIA and the Somali Local political-economic actors like the Salafist Movement represented by the Salafist Business cartels, their
Close allies the Somali Organized Crimes groups- part of the Business community and Elite politicians- and the Somali Elite Clan puppet
Leaders who usually defend, promote the interest of ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries( to know more read my post called " For the New PM: lessons from a recent past" of December 2013.).
We have witnessed the infighting between President Abdullahi Yusuf and his two
PMs in between 2004-2009. We have also seen the infighting between President Sheik Sharif Ahmed and
his two PMs like Omar Abdirashid Sharmarke and Mohamed Abdullahi “Farmajo”. Every time one prime Minister was
ousted and replaced by another. As the pundits at BBCSomali.com said it was an
average of one PM per year from 2000 till today.President Hassan which everybody
expected to be different –being an academic with a long experience and connections with the West- but looks he is worse or the same
pasta of all the other past Presidents. He is ousting his second PM, the first Shirdoon was ousted when he tried to replace this same Minister Mr. Farah Abdulkadir. Here I am not accusing past and present presidents to be bad or good but everyone was conditioned and pressurized by the local interest groups- mainly the Salafist Business Cartels and the Elite Clan puppet leaders to whom they were linked as Leaders and individual politician. President Abdikassim was an Al-Islah-moderate Islamist group member,former Minister in Siad Barre regime who was disliked by ETHIOPIA by being also a Nationalist who disliked ETHIOPIA and IGAD countries monopoly in Somali National Politics. His PM was a pro- West academic Mr. Ali Khalif Galayr who also disliked the Ethiopian interference and control. .The others who followed were just mere puppet Leaders there for opportunistic reasons.President Abdikassim came there by default.It was the only time the Ethiopians were outsmarted in the making of Puppet Leaders for Somalia.All other conferences and so- called elections were controlled and manipulated by ETHIOPIA-IGAD. At the Carta conference the IGAD group mainly Ethiopia was for the other candidate Mr. Abdullahi Addow in the Presidential race but the conference Clan MPs-delegates elected Abdikassim supported by the Somali Salafist Business Cartels who were financing the conference, facilitated its outcome together with the Djibouti government.The Clans Blood Lineage are all the time used to be the main system to choose the President and PM.After it was the Magbati, Nairobi conference of 2004 in which the Clan based MPs elected Abdullahi Yusuf (2004-2009) a Colonel who was one of the founding members of the Clan based opposition groups the S.S.D.F who later in 2008 will become first President of the second Clan- Enclave administration of Puntland. in 2008. He believed that with military force and the assistance of the Ethiopian-Tigre Armada which will be permitted to invade Somalia, Somalis can be ruled with Iron fist and the Salafist movement- the islamic Courts Union and Al-Shabaab - subdued or eliminated.. But unfortunately his own PM Mr. Prof. Ali Mohamed Gedi who was there thanks to Meles Zenawi regime was against him from day one.Secondly he came to realize that his best friends the Tigre Armada of Ethiopia were there to recolonize Somalia and not to fight Al-Shabaab and the Islamic Courts Union.His second PM has more sympathy to ETHIOPIA Agenda and they did not like each other because he had Presidential ambitions.
The Time of President Sheik Sharif Ahmed.
President abdullahi Yusuf was changed before his time was up.The Tigre regime of ETHIOPIA has its political game plans.They made a political deal in 2009 arranged by the Somali Salafist Business cartels/Organized crimes ( read my post of july 2014"Endemic Corruption? Somali Republic is base to Organized crimes/Drug Trafficking groups from at least last 23 years.") with some members of the now disbanded Islamic Courts Union and some of the so- called members of the Parliament who used to be so- called "rebels" and who were relocated in Asmara.Eritrea. The deal with Ethiopia was made by Sheik Sharif Ahmed -former number 2 of the Islamic courts Union- who will became President in pre- arranged presidential- Clans MPs Election in Djibouti,Djibouti Republic and Mr. Sharif Hassan- best friend of ETHIOPIA and IRAN- who will became the next Speaker of Parliament. This regime will be from 2009- 2012.
(to be continued)
The Time of President Sheik Sharif Ahmed.
President abdullahi Yusuf was changed before his time was up.The Tigre regime of ETHIOPIA has its political game plans.They made a political deal in 2009 arranged by the Somali Salafist Business cartels/Organized crimes ( read my post of july 2014"Endemic Corruption? Somali Republic is base to Organized crimes/Drug Trafficking groups from at least last 23 years.") with some members of the now disbanded Islamic Courts Union and some of the so- called members of the Parliament who used to be so- called "rebels" and who were relocated in Asmara.Eritrea. The deal with Ethiopia was made by Sheik Sharif Ahmed -former number 2 of the Islamic courts Union- who will became President in pre- arranged presidential- Clans MPs Election in Djibouti,Djibouti Republic and Mr. Sharif Hassan- best friend of ETHIOPIA and IRAN- who will became the next Speaker of Parliament. This regime will be from 2009- 2012.
(to be continued)
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...
#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...
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The Somalis have been subdivided for a very long time let's say from the 80" in clans- communities which are fighting each other f...
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In these last week there has been a great controversy between the ruling clique or so-called elites of the Somali Republic which have ...
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The New POLITICAL MAP of the SOMALI Speaking People(s) of the HORN of AFRICA Part 1.Wait and see. Above you can see t...
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INTRODUCTION: On 16 June MR. Abiy Ahmed PM of Ethiopia went to visit Mogadishu as part of his new political offensive ...
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INTRODUCTION: In this post I will try to explain from the point of view of- a Somali from Somali Republic- if it can ...
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In these days-from 23-06-2014- is raging in the airwaves-Somali radio FM and the BBCSomali and VOASomali- the latest controversy...
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This is comment/analysis I prepared after I have read in the internet the last UN Monitoring Group on SOMALIA and partially printed in m...
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My Hope is UNSOM,International Community will not follow blindly the wrong policies,strategies of IGAD-AMISOM-...
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Mr. Bryden is one of those intellectuals who obfuscated Somali issues for a very long time and are without knowing maybe implementing t...
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T his new post is the continuation of my last article entitled " WHO Runs he Show in Somalia?.The Salafist movement......"? Here ...