#Somalia: "The Arab/Muslim world must save Somalia."

#Somalia: "The Arab/Muslim world must save Somalia.": Somalia has had a real year of "Change" with the election of the new parliament and the Election of a new President and Prime Minis...

"The Arab/Muslim world must save Somalia."

Somalia has had a real year of "Change" with the election of the new parliament and the Election of a new President and Prime Minister/Government.Its maybe the first time after the Presidency of Abdullahi Yusuf A SOMALI Government who stands for the Somali National/Public interest is in power.A government I hope which will never again play "second fiddle" to the whims and Agendas of the hegemonic power of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia.A government which believes in the Rule of law and the human rights of its people-citizens regardless of which clan they are from.A government which is against the " Balkanization" of the Somali Republic in mini-Clan-enclaves run by Puppet leaders allied to Ethiopia.There is still the scourge of Al-Shabaab and its semi- close ally Al-ittixad business cartels,Organized Crimes in every aspect of trade,Drug-trafficking groups which have a deal with Ethiopia in the subdivision of Somalia and control the economies of Somaliland,Puntland,South central regions all part of the Somali Republic.But the most dangerous aspect which will need change is the "minds and hearts" of the Somalis which have been made to think as Clan-based community and not any more as One Somali community. The other challenging factor will be how to reconcile,bring together the two factions of our religion Islam in Somalia. Nobody talks about it as it does not exist this "explosive" division. Today Somalis pray in different Mosques in Eastleigh and most  parts of Somalia.There is a ' cold war" between the Ahlu- Sunna-Waljameca( Sufi-Islam) and the Wahhabi type of Islam which have almost become dominant from the 90". They both are in different spectrum's of the political divide in Somalia and some years ago there were an all out war. Still now the Ethiopians are arming Somalis(in a clan based strategy) in the Central regions in the name of Sufi- Islam but only for their hegemonic agenda to control and subdivide even in religious terms  Somalia.I hope the new government will take up this issue with the help of the Arab/Muslim countries.Another important issue for the new year will be how the Ethiopian government will decide to have a relation with this Somali assertive government who represent the Somali National Interest.They will accept it or as usual will fight to the end?I wish happy new year for all Somalis suffering under hunger,civil wars,in-justice and living in those regions under the hegemony of the Ethiopian and Al-shabaab armada in this moment.Happy New year to all mankind.Wait and see.

#Somalia: The Somali-Kenyan dispute on Jubbaland maybe solve...

#Somalia: The Somali-Kenyan dispute on Jubbaland maybe solve...: The last  three days may well augur well for the Somalis of the Somali Republic but it looks  as usual the Tigre regime of Ethiopia have ot...

The Somali-Kenyan dispute on Jubbaland maybe solved.

The last  three days may well augur well for the Somalis of the Somali Republic but it looks  as usual the Tigre regime of Ethiopia have other ideas. Let me start that the Somali refugees and business community(from Somalia) who are one of the richest groups in Kenya had a very troublesome last three weeks.There were acts of terrorism in Eastleigh and the Kenya government fed up with that  declared that Somali refugees must be repatriated without any agreement with the UNHCR.The arrival of the President of the Somali federal Republic Mr. Hassan Sheik and the subsequent rapprochement between the two countries( read the following article) have brought back the Somalis from an economic crisis and emigration/refugee crisis which was engulfing the mind  and activities of the Somalis.The two government have decided to collaborate on various issues including the issues of refugees and other pressing issues like the stay of the Kenyan Armies in Somalia and the fight against Al-Shabaab etc.The most important is the issues of Kismayo ( Lower region) and I believe the Kenyans have came to realize the policies of IGAD and Ethiopia were counter-productive in the long run for the stability,peace and development of the region as a whole. Kenya is going to have its "own input" in the border region of Jubbaland but not as the Ethiopians wonted to have a vassal state in the Jubbaland region of Somalia.I hope things went as I am thinking and would like.The President of Somalia has thanked the Government of Kenya for their assistance and giving the Somalis the opportunity to prosper as business community in Kenya. The other  issues I would write are about the new "game plan" of the Tigre Regime of Ethiopia and how I see the "the entourage" and some of the things the President has  said here in Nairobi at a Lunch for the Business and Somali Elites here in Nairobi.
The president is a "good"person well mannered and with  a clear vision for the future of the Somali Republic and how the peoples of the region  and government interact.He  already put in writings  his ideas which are the "guiding' principles" of the policies of his government.But the problem in Somalia there is a gap between what he is saying and wants to achieve  and the overall  architecture of the institutions of the State in Somalia and the personnel heading them.I mean those people of his "entourage" who call themselves the security apparatus of the Somali Republic.First they do not have any military training and secondly they have been nominated by the former president by being as him trained in Sudan and good friends of Ethiopia. The are plenty of Somali officers which had good training at Siad Barre era governments   which can do this jobs and are not tainted with human rights abuses.The other group of the entourage is what I call the "Ceel Macaan" Al-Ittixad Business cartels( Ceel Macaan is a port in north Mogadishu which was used by this groups for almost 20 years instead of the Mogadishu port).This group is mostly concerned of having the monopoly of the economy and control of  the political system.They were allied with the I.C.U and together with the former president they became allied with the Ethiopians in 2009.From that time they   also expanded their control on the political spheres and in the four years of the two Sheriffs reign( former president and former speaker)  become the most powerful in the Somali elites.They have also links with the Chinese government and business community and they would like to control the Somali national resources like Oil and Gas for their own benefit.They are still in power and the president must find a method to tell them that the government is a product of the Will of the people and their individual  and Wahabist-Salafist agendas cannot control the Somali national resources or in general the Somali Nation-hood or the National interest of the Somali Federal Republic.He must find the strategy to tell this business conglomerates who are against anything public that if they wont to  survive and be part of the economic structure of the country they must change their agendas and be just one group of the overall economic and political spheres not the only one.Secondly they cannot have foreign policies which are against the Somali national interests.Period. The other thing is as usual they offer money to any government which came to power and in that way corrupt the system and have undue influence in the making  and application of economic policies.This groups  have never paid taxes of any type to any Somali government and by paying so- called charitable huge amounts of money to the government they avoid to have any tax or accountable system to know their finances and "have a "not failed state" which is part of the economic system.The other big story is the Ethiopians having failed in the diplomatic spheres against the Somali government when it came to the Sovereignty to administer the regions of Somalia they have reverted to the Old system of dividing the Somali puppet leaders.The former speaker of the parliament who every body knows is pro-Iranian,China-man and best puppet leader of Ethiopia is in this days with a group of so-called parliamentarian in Addis-Abeba to plan with the Ethiopians how to stop the plans of the new President and bring back the Old Agenda of sub-dividing the Somali Republic in vassal states.I think unless the West and the Islamic,Arab world tells Ethiopia that their meddling in the internal affairs of Somalia and treating Somalia their own backyard to be colonized I believe Somalis will never have peace and Stability and Al-Shabaab fight will be endagered.Wait and see.

#Somalia: Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not S...

#Somalia: Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not S...: Fight against al Shabaab instructive model for future: U.S. general www.hiiraan.com (Reuters) - The African Union war against al Shaba...

Who owns Somalia?Al-shabaab or Ethiopia-IGAD?Not Somali people-citizens.

Fight against al Shabaab instructive model for future: U.S. general
www.hiiraan.com
(Reuters) - The African Union war against al Shabaab in Somalia this past year has left the Islamist group "largely in a survival mode" and is instructive for confronting the......
 
The Americans are as usual naive on Somali issues.The African Union or Amisom did not drive out Al-Shabaab without a big fight.My humble opinion is The Wahhabi-salfist of Somalia has divided themselves in different groups and the two main
groups are:Al-Shabaab the most radical which have foreign fighters and its policies are "partly" made by Al-Qaida.The other group is Al-ittixad business cartels made up of Business people,Organized crimes groups,puppet leaders all in this time allied with Ethiopia-IGAD,China,Russia,Iran and some western countries.From the 80" this two groups have a parallel lives with the Business cartels and puppet leaders leading from 1991 till 2006.From 2006 the more radical group of Al-shabaab emerged from the ashes of Al-Ittixad political movement and I.C.U and started having its leadership Role asserted with the Union of Islamic Courts. .From 2009 the Al-Ittixad business cartels/Puppet leaders made a strong alliance with E
thiopia-IGAD-China-Iran-Russia and started the strategy of weakening economically Al-shabaab to whom they where the main financiers domestically..Al-ittixad business cartels now was totally controlling the economy of all the Somali Republic and for them was strategically more convenient being allied to states who approved their long term interest to dominate the Somali economic infrastructure and indirectly the political system. There were now States ready to ally themselves with al-Ittixad business cartels,Puppet Leaders/Warlords-.Drug barons/Organized crimes to get in exchange the Somali national resources by subdividing Somalia in new Republics and support this groups. You can see this policy in the last U.N security council debate on the Somali Charcoal issues. States Like Russia and China stood for the project of Ethiopia-IGAD to waive the ban on the selling of charcoal.But I suspect things are not all clear cut and Al-Shabaab has started using the nationalist card plus the clan/regional cards to tell the local Ittixad Business cartels that they role will be usurped if the" Foreign Armies" succeed and bring new groups to control their regional economies and Foreign countries taking over their territory.The other factor is the Somalis are clan based society and sufi-Islam has been their main affiliation in Islam and the radical policies of Al-Shabaab have aliened them.But still those Clans who see their interest is better served with Al_shabaab are still part of it and fighting for it.But this fight is not Ideological but political by nature with also business interest connotations.
The African armies will never succeed in defeating Al-shabaab because their are part of the problem and would like with al-ittixad Business cartels to have a vassal-mini-clan-enclaves states under the hegemony of Ethiopia-IGAD and China.Wait and see.
 
Written on 5/ December 2012.

History of the alliance between Ethiopia and Al-ittixad political movement.


Thursday, October 11, 2012
History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-Ittixad political movement.Wait and see.

Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business dealings Al-Ittixad business cartels which are allied with   Ethiopia and Al-Shabaab. Somali politics
is very complicated for those which are new comers and at first-sight if you think in black and white you will never understand it. Myself who has being involved in it for a very long time as a human rights lawyer and activist and lately as a blogger  it took me a very long time to understand it and came to know how the Islamist of Al-Ittixad business cartels could be allied with States like Ethiopia, China, Iran,  and France. First was about the hegemony of Ethiopia of the Somali territories but it became from the 90’ about the Oil and Gas of Somalia. For this reasons atheist State like China and Islamist-radicals like All-Ittixad business cartels are  allied. The masterminds of this alliance were Somali elites warlords-drug-barons linked to All-Ittixad political movement and in the same time members of the so-called movement-oppositions based in Ethiopia in the late
80".Later during the first conference for Somalia to reestablish a transitional government in Nairobi from 2004 the alliances was remade
 and strengthened including some”‘Ruling elites" of IGAD( Ethiopia,Uganda,Kenya,Tanzania,Sudan,  Professional Elites in politics, business, professionals in media-print and TV and Organized crimes groups of those countries.) and the governments of China, Iran, France, Italy, Russia. From 2004 the main agenda was to outsmart the Americans, The Arab world, the Islamic world  and have total control of  all  Somalia with sub-clans groups who call themselves autonomous regions-breakaway States and at the end have a Confederation of Somali States with names like Somaliland,Puntland,Jubbaland,Hiiraanland,Bay/Bakol land,Benadir land etc.In that way there is not anymore the Somali Republic but new states with new sovereignty and then the spoils would be divided between this international groups and Al-ittixad business Cartels who would control the economies of this new satellites states while the Ethiopians and IGAD will install leaders of their liking.
In the 80” when this quasi inhuman agenda was hatched the Regime of Menghiste needed to control Somalia by subdividing it in sub-clan based States. The two main leaders of the U.S.C- Manifesto group who said no to the Ethiopian hegemony were assassinated in Italy, masterminded by Somali Ittixad leaders’ members of the U.S.C and the Ethiopians, with the complicity of Italian mafia and the Italian intelligence services in April and July1990. The two were my  late father Ali Mohamed Ossoble who was one time vice-president of The S.N.M(1984-1987) and later president of the U.S.C Roma( 1989-1990) and DR. Ismail Giumale Ossoble who started the Manifesto group(1990). After
the assassination of these two leaders the U.S.C was taken over in Ethiopia-Nairobi by pro-Ethiopian groups and in Mogadishu by the All-Ittixad political movement members masquerading as U.S.C leaders. That is main reason instead of fighting against the Siad Barre regime for" regime change" the U.S.C started a civil war and the total destruction of the State infrastructures in Mogadishu and all over Somalia. The Militia of the U.S.C in Mogadishu  and the S.N.M( in the north) and S.S.D.F in (northeast)  were looting and destroying every system connected with the Somali state and started as a policy to have  sub-Clan Based regions-areas.
The other policy of Al-Ittixad is to take over the  economies of all regions of Somalia specially the Trade, Communication Hawilaad/money-remittances,the education systems starting from the madrasa to the universities. The policy of the Ethiopians to subdivide the Somalis in sub-clans groups which are fighting each other,have borders between themselves and ruled by Warlords/puppet leaders was made the main agenda. The ittixad Movement accepted this model agreed with the Ethiopian and conceal any accusation that they were controlling the political spheres  in all regions and central government.
(To bee continued)-next  piece the will be about(1) Organized crimes,(2)How the Ethiopians made the alliance with All_ittixad business Cartels(3)The economic expansion of the All-ittixad business cartels and their connection with International companies and Organized crimes.

#Somalia: Last U.N Security Council resolution for Somalia.T...

#Somalia: Last U.N Security Council resolution for Somalia.T...: Security Council SC/10806 Department of Public Information • News and Media Division • New York Security Council 6854th Meeting...

Last U.N Security Council resolution for Somalia.There is not any "powers" to make any administration for:Kismayo.

Security Council
SC/10806
Department of Public Information • News and Media Division • New York

Security Council
6854th Meeting (AM)

Security Council, Adopting Resolution, Extends by Four Months

African Union Mission in Somalia, Adds Civilian Personnel

The Security Council this morning reauthorized the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) to maintain its deployment for four months, until 7 March 2013, while deciding to expand the United Nations support package for the Mission to additional civilian personnel.

Unanimously adopting resolution 2073 (2012), the Council authorized AMISOM to maintain its presence in the areas set out in its strategic concept of January 2012 for countering the threat still posed by Al-Shabaab and other armed opposition groups in coordination with Somali national security forces, in order to establish secure conditions for legitimate governance, reconciliation and the provision of humanitarian assistance across Somalia, which, the Council said in a resolution of 18 September, had recently made great strides in security and governance but still faced great challenges in both areas (See Press Release SC/10768).

Today’s move came exactly one week after the Council met under “unusual circumstances” in the immediate aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, which had ripped through New York, paralysing the city and forcing an unprecedented three-day shut-down of United Nations Headquarters.  With AMISOM’s mandate set to expire at midnight on 31 October, the Council had quickly adopted resolution 2072 (2012), which had authorized a short-term extension of the Mission — 7 days — under the terms of its existing mandate (See Press Release SC/10804).

With the current text, the Council decided to extend the logistical support package to a further 50 civilian personnel for a period to be determined by assessment and “on an exceptional basis and owing to the unique character of the mission”, underlining the importance of swiftly deploying them to areas recently liberated from Al-Shabaab in line with a request from the African Union.  In line with previous resolutions, it also requested the Secretary-General to continue to provide support to 17,731 uniformed personnel until the end of the authorization period, along with providing advice to the African Union on implementation of the Mission’s strategic concept.

In his most recent report on AMISOM (document S/2012/764), the Secretary-General recommended a four-month continuation of the current support package, with slight adjustments, awaiting the results of a thorough assessment of the Mission in view of the challenges ahead, to be conducted by the African Union working together with the United Nations.

Following the vote, the representative of the United Kingdom, which sponsored the resolution, welcomed its adoption, commending AMISOM and its troop contributing countries in their role in helping to “free Somalis from the dark shadow of Al-Shabaab,” and helping to restore their faith in governmental structures.  He said that today’s attack on the Somali Parliament showed the difficulties that remained in that context, but he firmly told the armed groups:  “You will not succeed.”

The Council, he added, must now re-examine some of its positions, including those on the arms embargo and the charcoal embargo in Kismayu, in consultation with the Somali Government and other partners, to give the Government the space to make progress on key priorities.  The review of AMISOM would allow the Council to set clear divisions of responsibilities and further readjust support.  The Council must do all it could to turn Somali hope into reality, he stressed.

Also welcoming the adoption and commending AMISOM and its troop contributing countries, the representatives of South Africa, Germany, Guatemala and India, regretted, however, that a more sustained extension of the support package was not approved through the text, and that the resolution did not address support for a maritime component of the Mission, as requested by the African Union, which they said was important for countering Al-Shabaab and piracy off the coast of Somalia.  They awaited the results of the assessment and work on the next resolution on Somalia to address such issues.

South Africa’s delegate, in addition, regretted that the lifting of the arms embargo, as it affected Somali national security forces, was not addressed.   Germany’s representative added that he would have preferred more sustainable funding be provided for AMISOM and that the proposed guard force for officials be addressed.

The representative of Somalia, finally, took the floor to stress the country’s progress in governance in recent months, including the appointment of an inclusive cabinet which included a woman as Foreign Minister.  All such progress had been achieved with the unfailing support of AMISOM and the Ethiopian forces, supported by the Security Council and the international community.  Now nation-building must begin for a country that had had no effective Government for over two decades.  He, therefore, welcomed the strengthening of AMISOM and additional support.  He had hoped, however, that the authorization and support would have been approved for one year, to better support the Government’s efforts, but nevertheless looked forward to working together with the Council on meeting future challenges.

The meeting began at 10:12 a.m. and ended at 10:35 a.m.

Resolution

The full text of resolution 2073 (2012) reads as follows:

The Security Council,

Recalling its previous resolutions on the situation in Somalia, in particular resolution 1772 (2007),

Reaffirming its respect for the sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence and unity of Somalia and reiterating its commitment to a comprehensive and lasting settlement of the situation in Somalia,

Recalling its decision in resolution 2036 (2012) to expand the logistical support package for AMISOM to include the reimbursement of certain contingent owned equipment including force enablers and multipliers,

Determining that the situation in Somalia continues to constitute a threat to international peace and security in the region,

Acting under Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations,

“1.   Decides to authorise the Member States of the African Union to maintain the deployment until 7 March 2013 of AMISOM, which shall be authorized to take all necessary measures, in compliance with applicable international humanitarian and human rights law, and in full respect of the sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence and unity of Somalia, to carry out the following tasks:

(a)   To maintain a presence in the four sectors set out in the AMISOM Strategic Concept of 5 January 2012, and in those sectors, in coordination with the SNSF, reduce the threat posed by Al-Shabaab and other armed opposition groups in order to establish conditions for effective and legitimate governance across Somalia;

(b)   To support dialogue and reconciliation in Somalia by assisting with the free movement, safe passage and protection of all those involved with the peace and reconciliation process in Somalia;

(c)   To provide, as appropriate, protection to the Somali authorities to help them carry out their functions of government, and security for key infrastructure;

(d)   To assist, within its capabilities, and in coordination with other parties, with implementation of the National Security and Stabilization Plan, in particular the effective re-establishment and training of all-inclusive SNSF;

(e)   To contribute, as may be requested and within capabilities, to the creation of the necessary security conditions for the provision of humanitarian assistance;

(f)   To protect its personnel, facilities, installations, equipment and mission, and to ensure the security and freedom of movement of its personnel, as well as of United Nations personnel carrying out functions mandated by the Security Council;

“2.   Decides on an exceptional basis and owing to the unique character of the mission to extend the United Nations logistical support package for AMISOM civilian personnel for a further 50 civilian personnel, on a temporary basis to be reviewed in light of the upcoming AU and United Nations strategic reviews, underlines the importance of these civilians deploying swiftly to areas recently liberated from Al-Shabaab, in line with the letter dated 18th October from the Chairperson of the African Union Commission to the United Nations Secretary-General;

“3.   Requests the Secretary-General to continue to provide technical, management and expert advice to the African Union in the planning and deployment of AMISOM, through the United Nations Office to the African Union, including on the implementation of the AMISOM Strategic Concept and the AMISOM Concept of Operations;

“4.   Requests the Secretary-General to continue to provide a logistical support package for AMISOM referred to in paragraphs 10 and 11 of resolution 2010 (2011) and paragraphs 4 and 6 of resolution 2036 (2012) for a maximum of 17,731 uniformed personnel until 7 March 2013, ensuring the accountability and transparency of expenditure of the United Nations funds as set out in paragraph 4 of resolution 1910 (2010);

“5.   Requests the African Union to keep the Security Council regularly informed, through the Secretary-General, on the implementation of AMISOM’s mandate, and report to the Council, through the provision of written reports, 60 days after the date of this resolution;

“6.   Decides to remain actively seized of the matter.”

* *** *
For information media • not an official record

#Somalia: #Kismayo: Charcoal for Al_ittixad Business cartels...

#Somalia: #Kismayo: Charcoal for Al_ittixad Business cartels...: By asking the ban on the export of Charcoal to be lifted the African Union,IGAD and Amisom are showing that they have some hidden Agen...

#Kismayo: Charcoal for Al_ittixad Business cartels allied to Al-Shabaab.Wait and see

By asking the ban on the export of Charcoal to be lifted the African Union,IGAD and Amisom are showing that they have some hidden Agendas for Somalia.Everybody knows this Al-ittixad Business Cartels of Kismayo are the ones who where allied
to Al-Shabaab .Now they are allied with the Ras Kamboni Militia/ Clan Militia group who recently took over Kismayo together with the Kenyan Army /Amisom.If the regional powers really wont to have a federal.peaceful and neighborly relations with Somalia they must desist in their meddling in the Somali murky Clan alliances and stop supporting some groups without knowing the real political and economic Agenda of that Militia or Group.The Ethiopians have made to think our Clans/Warlords.Al-Ittixad business Cartels like national entities who are allied with foreign powers like China,Iran,France,Russia and Italy all allied with the regional powers like Ethiopia and IGAD. The Ras kamboni sub- Clan Militia is dong the interest of Ethiopia and IGAD not the Somali National interests.The regional powers forget that Somalia is sovereign to its territory and running of its internal affairs and till know the Somalis are a sovereign State.The meddling in the internal affairs of Somalia and the plans to sub-divide Somalia in mini-vassal states who are sub-Clan enclaves it only helps the Agenda of Al-Ittixad Business Cartels( Wahabi Salafist) and those super powers in the U.N security Council who are allied with Ethiopia and IGAD namely China,Russia and France who are after the OIL and GAS of Somalia.The main Agenda is to have a new Somali  sovereign State in Kismayo run by Ras kamboni.-Clan Militia which is loyal to the Tigre Regime of Ethiopia.That is the reason an organ like the U.N security Council is discussing things  like the exemption of the Ban of Charcoal in the Kismayo region of the Somali federal Republic.This is like Kismayo is not part and parcel of the sovereign Republic of Somalia.Wait and see.
UN resisting African calls to end Somalia arms embargo
www.hiiraan.com
The UN Security Council has given the African Union’s peacekeeping mission in Somalia a seven-day extension while it weighs

#Somalia: #Kismayo; IGAD/Ethiopia jurisdiction or under Soma...

#Somalia: #Kismayo; IGAD/Ethiopia jurisdiction or under Soma...: Last Friday(26 October 20012) the day of the Iid when all Muslims and all Somalis where celebrating the festivities was also a day of co...

#Kismayo; IGAD/Ethiopia jurisdiction or under Somalia? Wait and see.


Last Friday(26 October 20012) the day of the Iid when all Muslims and all Somalis where celebrating the festivities was also a day of controversy, political warfare on the airwaves between the president of the Federal Republic of Somalia and the Regional president of the state of Puntland of Somalia. What it was about the controversy?
         This controversy which is getting hotter these days is about in general about two different Visions/Agendas about the future, legal/constitutional architecture of Somalia. In particular it’s about who got the authority to nominate the administrators and government officers of the City of Kismayo and the lower Jubba region. What are saying the two conflicting views and what the laws says about it?
            Lets me start with the two sides take on the issue. One fronted by the Clan- militias called Ras- Kamboni with other militias recruited by Kenya and calling themselves so-called Somali army who together with the Kenyan Army/Amisom took over Kismayo is saying” we have got the right and authority to nominate and administer this town of Kismayo as this have been done in other cities like Baidowa,Beledweine who have been liberated by Ethiopian armies and installed Clan  militias as they Rulers”..Period. The other opinion  is that of the federal government of Somalia which says” there is a new federal constitution which specifies that the federal government has got the authority and the powers in Law to nominate the administrators for Kismayo( Lower Jubba),Beledweyne( Hiiraan) and Baidowa( Bay and bakol Region).Period.
        Before I go back what this different political opinions represent for the future of Somalia let me explain what the Law says in the new provisional constitution of Somalia enacted in August 2012.First let me also explain that our new constitution is almost “dysfunctional and idiosyncratic “like any other thing in Somalia which is linked to governance and Rule of the law”. My opinion is this law has been made badly and contradictory on almost different subjects and parts but we have to abide to it till the parliament and the Somali people emend those parts which are contradictory and are against the letter and the spirit of the document itself.
The new Constitution on article 48.C.2 says” No single region can stand alone. Until such time as a region merges with another(s) to form a new federal member states, “a region shall be directly administered by the federal government for a maxim period of two years”. There is not any single article saying otherwise. I mean the concept and right of the local clan communities and their militia to organize and form/nominate an authority for Kismayo and the Lower Jubba or including the two other regions. There is one article 142 which says” Existing member States in Somalia. Until such time that all the federal member states of Somalia are established and the adopted federal member States constitution are harmonized with the Somali federal Constitution, the federal member states states existing  prior to the provisional adoption of this provisional Constitution by a national Constituent assembly shall retain and exercise powers endowed by their own State constitution” Personally I do not agree what this article says and others in this new Constitution which are preparing and are made for the subdivision of Somalia in a new Confederate state.
       The idea that people-citizens of the newly nominated liberated areas or regions can nominate or choose by themselves new administrations is not in the Constitution and that act is illegal and against the sovergniety, Unity and territorial integrity of the Somali Federal Republic. It looks the right of “self determination of people” sanctioned in the U.N charter has got a new interpretation by IGAD/Ethiopia when we write and explain the Somali situation.
The so called supra-national outfit IGAD/Ethiopia has re-interpreted that article and made it like” all Somali sub-clans have the right to self-determination” as we were different national communities and not one Somali national communities which is from the same ancestry, culture and religion. This pseudo- legal interpretation of the right of self-determination with the added incentive of puppet leaders/warlords political mobilization that all Somali sub-clans have the right of their own administrations and Self Rule is what makes the new Constitution “dysfunctional and idiosyncratic” and the every clan militia make/ believe concept that they are a   national community within the only Somali community-Nation State.
        This two different Visions for Somalia: one which says that Somali Republic is one and have a federal system of governance with the Rule of Law and the other one which is advocating a Confederate System for the governance of Somalia where the Regions States are more powerful of the national State. The is the crux of the matter or the real controversy. (The two visions are in the new constitution)
       If the Clan militias running the show in Kismayo now succeed in self-declaring themselves rulers of the Lower Juba/Kismayo it will mean every Clan have the right of self-determination and Somalia will be made a Confederate State under the hegemony of Ethiopia/IGAD.
      But unfortunaly for Kismayo and Somalia things are getting worse by the days and weeks by applying this vicious Clan politics/self-determination which the Ethiopian are supporting to have an independent State in The South of Somalia to have direct access to the Indian Ocean and exploit in the future the vast mineral resources of Oil and Gas with their friends China and France. Russia which are in the security Council of the U.N.
      It’s not a coincidence that in these days there is a discussion on the exemption of the ban for the export of Charcoal from Kismayo .Why?
It looks African union which plays second fiddle to the policies of IGAD/Ethiopia has requested the U.N Security Council to lift the Ban.
But the lifting helps the Al-Ittixad business Cartels which one time where allied with Al-Shabaab and now with the Ras kamboni clan Militia to get more financing for their control of the economy of Kismayo.This group of Business people have worked in tandem with the warlords who were allied with Ethiopia and after that for  the last five years with the Al-Shabaab.For the Clan Militia to consolidate their powers they need the percentage of commission from the sale of the Charcoal by this Wahabi-Salafist group called Al-Ittixad business cartels. This is the typical system Kismayo used to be administered for the last 20 years. Wait and see.   


#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...

#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...: Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business...

#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...

#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...: Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business...

#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...

#Somalia: History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-I...: Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business...

History of the alliance between Ethiopia and All-Ittixad political movement.Wait and see.


Its quasi reasonable analysis of the Turkey role in Somalia. What I know is our friends Turkey one time has close contacts and business dealings Al-Ittixad business cartels which are allied with   Ethiopia and Al-Shabaab. Somali politics
is very complicated for those which are new comers and at first-sight if you think in black and white you will never understand it. Myself who has being involved in it for a very long time as a human rights lawyer and activist and lately as a blogger  it took me a very long time to understand it and came to know how the Islamist of Al-Ittixad business cartels could be allied with States like Ethiopia, China, Iran,  and France. First was about the hegemony of Ethiopia of the Somali territories but it became from the 90’ about the Oil and Gas of Somalia. For this reasons atheist State like China and Islamist-radicals like All-Ittixad business cartels are  allied. The masterminds of this alliance were Somali elites warlords-drug-barons linked to All-Ittixad political movement and in the same time members of the so-called movement-oppositions based in Ethiopia in the late 80".Later during the first conference for Somalia to reestablish a transitional government in Nairobi from 2004 the alliances was remade
 and strengthened including some”‘Ruling elites" of IGAD( Ethiopia,Uganda,Kenya,Tanzania,Sudan,  Professional Elites in politics, business, professionals in media-print and TV and Organized crimes groups of those countries.) and the governments of China, Iran, France, Italy, Russia. From 2004 the main agenda was to outsmart the Americans, The Arab world, the Islamic world  and have total control of  all  Somalia with sub-clans groups who call themselves autonomous regions-breakaway States and at the end have a Confederation of Somali States with names like Somaliland,Puntland,Jubbaland,Hiiraanland,Bay/Bakol land,Benadir land etc.In that way there is not anymore the Somali Republic but new states with new sovereignty and then the spoils would be divided between this international groups and Al-ittixad business Cartels who would control the economies of this new satellites states while the Ethiopians and IGAD will install leaders of their liking.
In the 80” when this quasi inhuman agenda was hatched the Regime of Menghiste needed to control Somalia by subdividing it in sub-clan based States. The two main leaders of the U.S.C- Manifesto group who said no to the Ethiopian hegemony were assassinated in Italy, masterminded by Somali Ittixad leaders’ members of the U.S.C and the Ethiopians, with the complicity of Italian mafia and the Italian intelligence services in April and July1990. The two were my  late father Ali Mohamed Ossoble who was one time vice-president of The S.N.M and later president of the U.S.C Roma( 1989-1990) and DR. Ismail Giumale Ossoble who started the Manifeto group(1990). After the assassination of these two leaders the U.S.C was taken over in Ethiopia-Nairobi by pro-Ethiopian groups and in Mogadishu by the All-Ittixad political movement members masquerading as U.S.C leaders. That is main reason instead of fighting against the Siad barre regime for regime change the U.S.C started a civil war and the total destruction of the State infrastructures in Mogadishu and all over Somalia. The Militia of the U.S.C in Mogadishu  and the S.N.M( in the north) and S.S.D.F in (northeast)  were looting and destroying every system connected with the Somali state and started as a policy to have Clan cased regions-areas.
The other policy of Al-Ittixad is to take over the  economies of all regions of Somalia specially the Trade, Communication Hawilaad/money-remmitences,the education systems starting from the madrasa to the universities. The policy of the Ethiopians to subdivided the Somalis in sub-clans groups which are fighting each other and ruled by Warlords who made the main agenda. The ittixad Movement accepted this model to outsmart the Ethioapians and canceal any accusation that they were controlling the political spheres of the society.
(To bee continued)-next  piece the will be about(1) Organized crimes,(2)How the Ethiopians made the alliance with All_ittixad business cartes.(3)The economic expansion of theAll_ittixad business cartels and their connection with International companies and Organized crimes.  

#Somalia: "Pseudo-legal argument to sub-divide the Somali fe...

#Somalia: "Pseudo-legal argument to sub-divide the Somali fe...: The new Somali constitution.This new Document has been misquoted and abused although the document itself is "idiosyncratic". In this ...

"Pseudo-legal argument to sub-divide the Somali federal Republic.

The new Somali constitution.This new Document has been misquoted and abused although the document itself is "idiosyncratic". In this new document there is not any article saying that foreign powers like IGAD can make or install an administration or the administration of the regions of Somalia have their source of powers in" foreign capitals" or International organizations like IGAD.There is not any article saying the parts of Somalia liberated by the Amisom/Somali armies can have an administration out of the legal jurisdiction of the Somali state.There is one article which says that the " regions so-called states in existence prior to the enactment of the constitution can have their own local statutes and administrations". If the people-citizens of the Region which have been liberated now decide to convene a constituent assembly to choose their transitional leaders or governor this must be done within the framework of the new constitution.In other words this must be convened and done by the legitimate government of the Somali federal Republic. I do not believe the source of " powers' to make legitimate this new authority is out of the jurisdiction of the Somali state.The regions of Hiraan and Bay and Bakol have been made by the Ethiopians using local clans prior the new constitution but this has been ratified/re-nominated by the President of Somalia at that time.The idea that people-citizens of the newly liberated regions can nominate or choose by themselves new administration is not in the constitution and that act is illegal and against the sovereignty ,Unity and territorial integrity of the Somali federal Republic.It looks the right of " self determination of people' sanctioned in the U.N Charter has got a new interpretation by the IGAD representative when we write and explain the Somali situation.The so-called IGAD outfit has re-interpreted that article and made that" all clans and sub-clans of Somalia have the right of self-determination" as we were different different National Communities and not one Somali national community which is from the same ancestry,Language and religion. Already this has been applied in the past illegally in the constitution of so- called break-way States of Somaliland and so-called semi-autonomous region of Puntland from when those Somali Clan, Sub-clans convened in the 90" and in so called Clan assemblies to declare themselves "powers" as there were not already part and parcel of the excising Somali National State and part of the sovereign territory of the Somali Republic.That process is still going on. Now after the enactment of the Somali Federal Constitution there is not any justification to install different institutions on the same Somali territory invoking "pseudo-legal"concepts and infringing on the Somali Republic sovereignty.

#Somalia: Analysis & Comments.

#Somalia: Analysis & Comments.: Here is a well though analysis on the failed theoretical concept on Somalia and names of  some so-called "Thinkers" who do not underst...

Analysis & Comments.

Here is a well though analysis on the failed theoretical concept on Somalia and names of  some so-called "Thinkers" who do not understand nothing about the historical factors and the ones at play in the " so- called perpetual failed" state situat
ion in the Somali Republic. I will add that there have always been an Ethiopian Agenda and Al-ittixad movement Agenda in the destruction of Somalia (from the 80" planned by Menghiste and the Somali  Al-ittixad political movement) and in the sub-sequent institution building of Somali land and Punt land as Building blocks and models for Somalia preplanned by Ethiopia. Professor Menkhaus is not Somali and could not understand the Clan based  culture of the Somali which is biggest political vehicle used by the Ethiopians and Al-Itticad to make their power base among the Somalis and use as clan-based political movement to destroy the country.. Somalis are one ethnic or Clan  group but for historical reasons linked to their survival and subsistence-nomadic  way of life their fought each other for centuries for water and pasture and camel raids with very far Clans or sub-Clan- neighbors.That culture of fighting has been made into folklore and poetry is the backbone of the history of every Clan and sub-clan. Every sub-clan has ingrained in their hitorical mind the wars theiy fought aganist other Somalis.The Anti- Colonialist and before them  the Somali freedom fighters who fought the Ethiopians and the British/Italians  have started the concept of a centralized Somalia as a culture and Nation who speaks the same language and have same ancestry., religion. .The S.Y.L political movement  and the political parties of the north have decided to unite the the Somali speaking sub-Clans of the Horn and  that went against the expansionist plans of the Ethiopian regime of that time which have participated in the Berlin Conference for the scramble of Africa. The Ethiopians knew that Somalia have great deal of Oil and Gas  in their Somali region( region  five of Ethiopia ) and have planned that to get that Oil & Gas  they have to destroy Somali and subjugate them to their hegemony as  a  SUB-DIVIDED MINI-CLAN ENCLAVES BUNTUSTAN BREAK-AWAY Republics.. As a matter of fact in the new Somali constitution Somalia have been subdivided in new States and we have a ready made Confederation of Somali States.The last Somali conference to approve the new constitution the Elders who were there at  the constituent assembly refused to ratify  it.Only after the promise that things will be changed at the next parliament they passed it reluctantly. The Al-ittixad political movement has partecipated in that destruction why they have the agenda to change completely the secular system which was based the Somali republic.Both have used the Clan based political opposition movement to destroy and start a new one based on their ideas and plans.Wait and see.
Destructive Governance Model for Somalia: the case of Prof Ken Menkhaus
www.hiiraan.com
Immediately after the imposition of the Provisional Constitution (PC) establishing a medieval model of governance in Somalia, Prof Ken Menkhaus, scholar and

Comments.Wait and see.

I think the West and the Arab world must do more to help Somalis in general.Somalia in general is hostage to Ethiopia and Al-shabaab-Al-Qaida. A hostage-nation which needs to be helped in liberating themselves.But it needs that in the first phase more technical-know- how and manpower of the fight against those enemies must be deployed.The State structures and institution existing now is made to he
lp those two groups to hold Somalia hostage.From 2004 till know the Ethiopians and IGAD have discouraged a National Somali state and encouraged and made a so- called Clan based Bantustan type administrations in all over Somalia. For the Ethiopians the existence of Al-Shabaab is part of their game plans to have a Somalia "failed State" and a security situation where they are always needed.The destabilization plans going on now in Mogadishu are against the new Change in government which is against the short and long term plans of the Tigre regime of Ethiopia and Al-shabaab.The new President has a lot of enemies in the Horn which would like to make him helpless and give up the fight and have "Business as usual". In other words to accept like some of his predecessors the Plans of Ethiopia and Al-shabaab to sub-divide Somalia and have a safe-haven to Organized crime and International terrorism. Wait and see.

#Somalia: Analyis& Comments.

#Somalia: Analyis& Comments.: We must know that the idea of a "iJihadist Islam" which fights other Somalis has not been feasible in Somalia for at least the last fi...

Analyis& Comments.

We must know that the idea of a "iJihadist Islam" which fights other Somalis has not been feasible in Somalia for at least the last five years.We have seen the failed experiment of The Islamic courts and the sub-sequent resurgence and of
Al_shabaab joining Al-Qaida. All failed because the Somalis got tired and understood the "wrong" ideas and plans of this groups. Al-shabaab has used just like the warlords-drug-barons( linked to Ethiopia) to take power and hold to it the concepts of sub-clans,the control of resources( including the local business and its licensing) and the Islamic Religion to woo the youngsters and the idealist. All the use of this concepts including the sacred one of the religion have failed .What we need know is a Somali national State which unites all Somali clan-communities,have a just economic vision where the role of the state as regulator and participation in the economic sector is for the Somali society. Where our religion is not used anymore to kill and acquire power for a Somali group or Jihadist transnational.To implement all those ideas we need a State which is representative of every clan and sub-clan. The international community must help the Somalis to resurrect their pride,nation-hood and stop the meddling of regional powers in controlling the Somali Elites and imposing on them puppet leaders and Warlords who never wont a peaceful and just Somali republic.The international community must help the Somalis to have a strong regulatory and administration for our economy because Organized crimes groups are controlling big chunks of our economy together with the Al-ittixad business cartels( a wahhabi salafist group) which has monopolized the Somali Republic economy and national resources.Wait and see.

#Somalia: Change has came to Somalia? With a surpriise.

#Somalia: Change has came to Somalia? With a surprise.:     Last night there was a celebration in the small district of Eastleigh,Nairobi Kenya  where the biggest concentration of Somali refuge...

Change has came to Somalia? With a surpriise.

    Last night there was a celebration in the small district of Eastleigh,Nairobi Kenya  where the biggest concentration of Somali refugees and business community outside of Mogadishu lives and work. There was a celebration for the election of the new Somali president-elect Mr. Hassan Sheik Mohamud.Who is this man? What interests he represents? How he succeeded in the high wire competition where regional powers- mainly Ethiopia and in small measure Uganda and local business interest( All-Ittixad Business Cartels ),Warlords-Drug barons ,Puppet leaders allied to the Tigre regime were dictating who will win the race?
    Here I will try to answer to this questions. But first I would like to tell that myself have to eat humble pie because I thought the Old regime will be back. What happened?
     Mr. Hassan Sheik is from academia having started a private College of management studies in Mogadishu and having also opened a branch in Punt land region. He was active in the Civil society circles and also came to my knowledge four months ago when I heard him debating on The BBC.Somali service about the infamous Road map and the corruption and mismanagement in the regime of the two Sherifs(the former speaker and the former president).
      In the last six months he started canvassing about every imaginable group and most importantly he had his own party called the party of Peace and Development through which he started a Coalition Building with all the groups who were in the opposition. Prof. Samater who came from the U.S ,Mr. Formajo the former Prime minister and the other presidential contenders including the last incumbent Prime Minister were in agreement to fight together the incumbent President and during the voting sessions to put all their efforts in who has got more votes after the first round.
     Mr. Hassan the president –elect succeeded to garner all the votes necessary in the first round coming second and in the second round all his friends-competitors in the opposition including the incumbent Prime minister choose to support him in the last round against the incumbent president. It was the victory of the Change vote and it was the victory of the people-citizens compared to the Old regime.
     Every body agrees in all the Somalis I myself canvassed that the Game-changer factors in terms of the election were Three: the first is the newly-re-found alliance the between the two sheriffs (the incumbent president and the former notorious Speaker) which was declared last Sunday  has made everybody angered and instead of helping damaged the incumbent president. The notorious former speaker represented everything bad in Somali society and state in other words the corruption, mismanagement, the Tigre influence and most dangerously the monopoly of the Al-Ittixad business cartels all allied to the incumbent president. The other factor was for some clan- communities the words of Mr. Farole of Puntland that if some groups are elected he will secede from Somalia.  All those factors made the MPs linked to the puppet leaders to rebel and support Mr. Hassan who was allied to Farole and do not came from the same region. Another factor is the support the incumbent President has from the Warlords-Drug barons for whom he fought for their re-admission in the List of the nominated parliamentarians which was done yesterday before the presidential election. All this factors made even the parliamentarians linked to the puppet leaders allied to the Tigre rebel and vote in bloc refusing their Whips-warlords-Puppet leaders to vote for the incumbent President. What a historic day. For the first time the parliamentarians chosen by the warlords-puppet leaders decided to vote with their minds and hearts free from those oppressive groups and voted for Change, Somali national interest etc.
      Last but not least the Somali Civil society  and the International Community in Mogadishu have encouraged and nurtured this would be Change and have taken a neutral role when came to choose  the successor of the incumbent president. Who are the winners and the losers? My guess is for the first time the Somalis have chosen democratically a leader who is not under the influence and dictation of the Ethiopian regimes. Secondly a leader who is not blatantly linked to the Al-Ittixad business cartels, Warlords-drug-barons and puppet leaders. Change has come to Somalia. But I suspect all those reactionary forces will try to stop this change and will work very hard to make things difficult for him and the Somalis in general. I believe the international community and Amisom must show strong  commitment to fight against  the enemies of Change in Somalia and that they will stand for what the Somali people have chosen. This new President needs a strong team of like minded technocrats and intellectuals which are not linked to corruption and past mismanagement plus broad-based plans to solve all ills and problems like the issue on institution building in a national federal government .Wait and see.

Written /September 11/2012.

The next genaration of Tigre-sponsored- government ? Wait and see

                   To tell the truth (political ) about Somalia in this last week has became a very complicated issue.
From 2004 when the first so- called government was installed in Maghabati,Nairobi by the IGAD group sperheeded  and lead by Ethiopia thinghs have been easy to interpretet because there was only one real actor and you followed that lead.What Ethiopia dictated was followed.Period.Now days thinghs look more convoluted and mixed up.More actors-regional and global  have came into play and more game-plans are and scenarios are being sold to the politician and the Somali clan- based political groupings. 
        The political game plan envisaged by the late Meles who was the teal kingmaker of Somali politics has succeeded almost because was executed  by the so- called group of six which was preparing and choosing the new members of parliament and the Clan-based  alliances to elect the new speaker and the new President , First premier.
          My analysis tells me that that plan succesed at least as 65% of the Parliamentarians are linked to the Puppet leaders who are Loyal to the Tigre regime of Ethiopia. and a mere 15%  is so- called Islamist linked to the incumbent President. The Nationalist and Democrats  are maybe 10 members of Parliament but well know and with a fiery stand on Somali issiues.The rest is opportunistic groups from every clans which will follow  the winning groups.
           At that point still things were looking and  could be understood and interpreted in the Old way Fashion and  the plans of the Tigre -sponsored puppet leaders was winning.But came the rejection of the Warlords- drug barons in the lists of the new parliament  and the puppet leaders looking  panicking and confused.There is the suspicion within the Warlords groups that the Tire regime is dumping some of them and retaining only the puppet Leaders. For the Ethiopians the Warlords maybe have became too  cumbersome and a dangerous political alliance.But they are retaining they strong alliance with the former speaker and the regional president of Puntland: this two are the real representative of the Tigre Regime of Ethiopia now in Somali politics. The incumbent president was left alone and that was one of the reasons him and his competitor the incumbent Prime minister went to the funerals of Meles in the middle of the presidential election to seek the approval and support of the Tigre regime.
          If you follow the the old scenario the new speaker has been elected by the alliance of some clans allied to the puppet leaders and other against them.The latest is the the new speaker has carved for himself a political space and would like to dethrone the Old speaker from which are the same sub-Clans and political group.Could it be true?

          The main contenders of the presidential election which would be held tomorrow  are from my point of view: the incumbent prime Minister,The incumbent President and the former Prime Minister Mr. Formajo and two new contenders in the name of a professor Samantar and Mr. Badiyow a declared brotherhood- Islamist with nationalist credentials.The first two enjoyed the support of the Tigre regime in the last three years and my opinion is the Addis-abeba  regime will stand by one of them. Mr. Formajo who is liked by most Somalis and started the current change in Somalia is hated by the Tigre because he doers not accept the sub-division of Somalia in  a Confederate State.
      The latest in Eastleigh is the former Speaker has asked Mr. Formajo and Abdiweli the incumbent premier that if they wont the votes of his regions-Clans they must promise the amnesty from prosecution for him and the warlords-drug barons. The only new story is if the new Speaker will stand for a change or his Clans- mate and those of the North west members of Parliament will follow the lead of the puppet Leaders linked to the Ethiopians. All other MPS are strong supporters of the President or the Prime minister.Wait and see.
      

#Somalia: New MP'S ? Maybe a new Era? WAit and see.

#Somalia: New MP'S ? Maybe a new Era? Wait and see.:                     New MP’s ? Maybe a new Era?              Last week was a very different week because a new Somali Parliament wa...

New MP'S ? Maybe a new Era? WAit and see.


                   New MP’s ? Maybe a new Era? 

           Last week was a very different week because a new Somali Parliament was inaugurated on the 20 of August and all news was on  the death of the PM of Ethiopia who was the real Ruler of the Somali Republic. We all know that Somalia has been “  a perpetual failed State” “run by puppet Leaders and Warlords-Drug-barons” for the last twenty years and this thanks to the Ethiopian regimes of Menghiste and Meles Zenawi and the Somali- Wahhabi-Salafist Movement of Al-Ittixad Political movement who later became the I.C.U/Al-Shabaab and its ally The Al-Ittixad business Cartels.
       I will start with the Death of Meles.Let me say more to the Ethiopian Establishment  and Tigre Elites who Rule that country  this was a shock and loss to the Somali Puppet Leaders of Somaliland,Puntland and the TFG incumbent politicians of Mogadishu specially the Incumbent president and the Former speaker of Parliament till August 20.Why? Mr. Meles was the most powerfull politician of the Region and was the one who dictated where the Somali Agenda was going and where will go. Who will be the next president of Somalia and the next Speaker and Prime Minister. He was the man who planned and made implemented the new Somali Constitution ( a concotations of norms which will make Somalia a Confederal State) through the “Somali puppet leaders” and to give you an example made a so-called state a town with less than 5.000 people in the central regions. There was a game plan by the Tigre regime of Ethiopia on who will be the next members of Somali Parliament. The demise of Meles was a Game –Changer at least for some parts.
          Another example of how the late Meles was influencing the Somali Politics was how in Somali talk shows he is  mentioned and there is even a controversy on Who sends a condolences and if that is un-Islamic and against the Somalis. What uproar..
      The other factor which influenced the composition of the Members of the parliament is for the first time the international community which is the paymaster of the Somali TFG , AMISOM and so-called  Somali regional States has requested and got a vetting process in the selection of new MP’s. This new vetting method has denied the Warlords-Drug-barons to be anymore member’s of Somali parliament, some of the Al-Ittixad business Cartels representative and puppet parliamentarians linked to Ethiopia.
       The Somali people-citizens rejoiced for this new bold move which was meant to improve the quality of the parliament and the process to have accountability for the Somali-citizens. Things are not so easy in Somalia. The incumbent president, the former Speaker who are the best allies of the Al-Ittixad business cartels, Warlords-drug barons got so angered that they started threatening the Somalis ,the International community and as usual they manipulated those UNPOS and Amisom representative to tell the world and their Countries namely Uganda that with out the warlords,Al-Ittixad representative and this pro-Ethiopian candidates to be members of parliament  there will be Chaos  and back to civil-wars.
           This warlords-drug-barons which directed,started and fomented the Somali civil wars from 1991 were the individuals the incumbent president was fighting for. Anyway Mr. Mahiga and officers of Amisom have pushed the international community to relent on the Rules and maybe admit as members some criminals-warlords and friends of the incumbent President who are former members of I.C.U allied to al-Shabaab. As  I know from yesterday my estimate is the pro-Ethiopian groups have got 20% to 30% of the members and the all_ittixad almost 15% to 20% of the total members of the parliament with at least 36 members remaining to be nominated.
If we compare to the parliament of Mbaghati, Nairobi of 2004 and the following compromise- parliament of 2009 there is a reasonable change but nobody can be sure till know if they will be influenced of the Old politics of following the Agendas of the All-Ittixad and warlords-Drug-barons,pro-Ethiopians puppet leaders. There are some more enghlitened, intellectuals and democratic individuals than previous parliaments but we still do not know if they will be corrupted and or stand for the rights of Somali people-citizens and the Unity of the Somali Republic.
          Within the selection of the Parliament there was going on the game of the election of the future president and Speaker. The type of the members of the Parliament would decide what type of leaders we will have and what direction the Somali  national politics will take. Already is started the campaigning for the speaker and that  of the President and ugly tactics of Fear-mongering  are being used like if I am not elected there will not be any Somali political process  and Amisom will not be in Mogadishu to fight al-Shabaab. This fear mongering tactics are from the incumbent president, former speaker and the Old pro-Ethiopian puppet leaders and their allies the Warlords-drug barons.
 They are afraid of the new crop of Leaders who are from the Diaspora which have plans to Change the old Status quo and have a Somali not anymore sub-divided in mini-clan enclaves to be  recognized as would be Sovereign States under a new Confedarate State envisioned by the so-called new constitution.
         There is a fierce political warfare going on in Mogadishu at this moment between those who would like to have a new dawn for the Somali Republic and the Somali –people citizens and those of the Old Guard which would like to have the Old status Quo. Who will win? Wait and see.

Written on 25 August 2012.  

#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS...

#Somalia: WHY Dr abiy AHMED WENT TO MOGADISHU? FOR OIL & GAS... : INTRODUCTION:            On 16 June MR. Abiy  Ahmed PM of Ethiopia ...